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Bellhorn04

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Everything posted by Bellhorn04

  1. Bellhorn04
    Tight strike zone.
  2. Bellhorn04
    Being an accountant is not that bad, when you get to the point you have some control over what you're doing. I sit at a desk crunching numbers on the computer for 5-6 hours a day, surfing the net for the other 2 hours or so. My chargeout rate usually works out to about $200 an hour.
  3. Bellhorn04
    That's right. Billy Martin had a lot to do with the modern thinking on pitch counts and inning counts when he blew out the arms of his entire rotation with the A's in 1980.
  4. Bellhorn04
    However, this may be the equivalent of saying 'the days of the Nolan Ryan sort of starter are gone'. Part of it is the game has changed, but you also have to consider the possibility that guys like that are pretty rare physical specimens.
  5. Bellhorn04
    Hopefully, Dopester/Dipster/Densester/Dumbster/Duncester will have one of his good games. Or I may have to start calling him names.
  6. Bellhorn04
    That's not a bad idea.
  7. Bellhorn04
    Yep, I think he has that crazy magic.
  8. Bellhorn04
    So glad my accounting education was finished long ago.
  9. Bellhorn04
    I don't think the 9th inning has any special magic as such. It is what it is - it's the end of the game. The end of the game is different from the beginning and the middle of the game. That applies in just about every sport.
  10. Bellhorn04
    Right now Ellsbury, Pedroia and Victorino are in a virtual dead heat in 2013 WAR values.
  11. Bellhorn04
    And that would be a winning bet. (H/M/L PA's) Papelbon 120/49/86 Bard 132/70/86 So although I'm pretty sure the total population of 9th inning PA's would have more high leverage PA's than the total population of 8th inning PA's would, you've pointed out an example where an 8th inning guy can be assigned more high leverage situations than the closer.
  12. Bellhorn04
    s*** UN, I really didn't think I was cherry-picking. Generally speaking the leverage increases each inning. Of course sometimes the middle of the order will be up in the 8th. And sometimes they'll be up in the 9th. If you want to prove your theory maybe you could check out Robertson & Rivera...they've been a tandem for several seasons.
  13. Bellhorn04
    I'll say one thing, that was some impressive s*** by Ellsbury in the 7th inning last night-the stolen base followed by scoring from second on Pedroia's single. A slower player might still have been on second base after that single, instead of in the dugout with the tying run on the board.
  14. Bellhorn04
    Good stuff OJ. The only thing I disagree with is Ellsbury. He's gone baby gone. Bradley in CF, Vic in RF, Gomes/Nava in LF. Now you have lots more money to play with! An extension for one of Peavy or Lester maybe?
  15. Bellhorn04
    I disagree. The 9th inning can have special significance, and not just for fans, depending on the closeness of the game. The difference between the 9th inning of a 1-run game, and the 6th inning of a 1-run game, is measured by the difference in win probability and 'leverage'. Statistically, a team has significantly less chance of winning a game they trail by one run in the 9th vs. a game they trail by one run in the 6th. So statistically the 9th is indeed special. The real question, presumably, is how this affects the pitcher who has to pitch the 9th vs. the pitcher who has to pitch the 6th. And the only people can answer this are the people who actually do it.
  16. Bellhorn04
    Of course. But my post was directed to sk7326, who was saying that he thought Rodney would stay as closer because he couldn't set up. I couldn't understand his point.
  17. Bellhorn04
    Koji's last 19 appearances: 21.2 innings 0 runs 6 hits 1 walk 27 K's Don't even know the right word to describe those numbers.
  18. Bellhorn04
    Great job by Ellsbury cashing that run with his speed.
  19. Bellhorn04
    In 2011 Lackey got 6.09 runs per game support, enabling him to post a 12-12 record with a 6.41 ERA. The lucky s*** evens out in this wacky game.
  20. Bellhorn04
    It's his year to get the s*** support.
  21. Bellhorn04
    Humanity needs cooperation and it needs competition. We're watching baseball because we want our team to f***ing WIN.
  22. Bellhorn04
    It's almost September. Maybe they won't come down till next year.
  23. Bellhorn04
    Sorry but I can't quite follow the logic. Seems to me if he's not reliable enough to set up he's not reliable enough to close either. I mean setup guys are often given clean innings to work with too.
  24. Bellhorn04
    You'll have to elaborate. You're saying that if Maddon puts him in in the 7th inning, he'll just stand there in a catatonic state?
  25. Bellhorn04
    Also check out the Boston Globe politics forum. If you want some wild and woolly action, that's the place. It's the Combat Zone of online forums.
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