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Bellhorn04

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Everything posted by Bellhorn04

  1. Bellhorn04
    Unbelievable about Kalish. Two promising young outfielders, both named Ryan (Westmoreland the other), two sad stories.
  2. Bellhorn04
    Tazawa isn't eligible for free agency until 2017.
  3. Bellhorn04
    Not meaning to gang up on you here, but Bailey is a goner. Who knows if he'll even pitch in the big leagues again. And Tazawa? He's not going anywhere. He's been our second-best reliever and his numbers since returning last year are outstanding.
  4. Bellhorn04
    Drew is on a 12-game hitting streak. He has 19 hits and 9 walks in the 12 games. Pretty sure some of those were off LHP. Also, Bogaerts has 10 errors in 53 games. Defence counts too.
  5. Bellhorn04
    If Napoli stays healthy he'll get 12 or 13 million. His base contract is 5 million but he has a series of bonuses for days on active roster and plate appearances that can take him up to 13 million.
  6. Bellhorn04
    Based on what? WAR, contract comparisons or just your own personal sentiments?
  7. Bellhorn04
    I don't even know what to say about Naps at this point except hope. When he connects it's a thing of beauty. But he's been swishing with such force lately that he could probably be harnessed as a power source for a small town.
  8. Bellhorn04
    Playing above his talent level? Come on man, are you a major league scout? He's 28 years old, he hasn't even played 600 games yet. Isn't it possible he's improving with experience? And 'replace the offense somewhere else' - you're making that sound pretty simple. What if the new catcher has a .580 OPS? At what position are we going to make up the lost 200 points of OPS?
  9. Bellhorn04
    How can you possibly give Napoli a higher grade than Drew or Gomes? Even by the crudest of measures that doesn't make sense. Drew and Gomes now have higher OPS's than Napoli. And don't forget that unless Napoli misses a bunch of time before the season ends he's going to get 13 million. By WAR ratings, Drew and Victorino have emerged as solid values this year.
  10. Bellhorn04
    But in the modern era of baseball, the starter is almost always out of the game by the 9th inning, and any late inning heroics have to be performed against the other team's closer, who usually has one of the lowest ERA's on the team. And in order for there to be heroics, it usually means you're trailing in the game. So really, getting the starter out of the game has little to do with late inning heroics. They're certainly not a 'fairytale'.
  11. Bellhorn04
    I'd say it's been analyzed sufficiently now.
  12. Bellhorn04
    Sorry jung, but there's nothing to support these statements. It would be more accurate to say that you win games by knocking out the starting pitcher because it means you've put up a bunch of early runs to accomplish that. In general you don't win that many games against the other team's bullpen. And late inning heroics are not fairy tales. It's just not something you can do consistently. Here is the Red Sox OPS broken down by innings: 1-3 .836 4-6 .780 7-9 .741 The best time to score runs is early. In the late innings you're more likely to be facing effective pitchers.
  13. Bellhorn04
    My own feeling is that 2012 isn't even worth analyzing.
  14. Bellhorn04
    Some people like to go through each individual transaction and assign it a grade and leave it at that. But it doesn't really tell the story. For example, has Ben done a good job or a bad job with the bullpen this year? The truth is, it's still too early to say. Everyone agrees the Uehara signing was a fantastic move, one of the best moves any team made this offseason. Breslow was also a good acquisition. But Ben has also had colossal failures with Melancon, Bailey and Hanrahan. And Thornton doesn't look much better at this point. Overall the pen looks like it go either way down the stretch. The story is yet to be written.
  15. Bellhorn04
    I would give him an incomplete for 2012. I decline to answer the 'If the season ended today' question. It's a pure hypothetical.
  16. Bellhorn04
    My point of view is pretty close. The team's record is ultimately all that matters and is the primary measurement of a GM's performance .
  17. Bellhorn04
    The numbers are not on your side.
  18. Bellhorn04
    Who cares? Well, I respect your indifference. But analyzing what the GM's do is one of the favorite topics on baseball forums.
  19. Bellhorn04
    There's no mention of the option on Baseball-Ref, but it says there he's not a free agent until 2015, and he's arbitration-eligible for 2014.
  20. Bellhorn04
    I hear you. This thread is purely for shooting the breeze purposes.
  21. Bellhorn04
    No, don't get me wrong, you're not crazy for liking Stanton a lot. I think we all know he's an offensive stud. It's a question of how much is too much to give up. And you know that Miami would want some of our top pitching prospects in the deal.
  22. Bellhorn04
    The big question for me is whether the Sox see Bogaerts as a shortstop or a third baseman. If it's third base, then you have to consider re-signing Drew.
  23. Bellhorn04
    So what if he required Bradley, Cecchini, Owens and Ranaudo? No thanks. I agree with what SCM said.
  24. Bellhorn04
    Oh I know what you're saying. But on a night like this, what the hell else is Farrell supposed to do. You have to nail down a game like this. And let's face it, if he did something other than use Tazawa for 2 innings, our chances for winning this game would have dipped significantly.
  25. Bellhorn04
    Tazawa + Uehara = f***ing awesome.
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