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Bellhorn04

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Everything posted by Bellhorn04

  1. Bellhorn04
    Ah yes, one example proves the point.
  2. Bellhorn04
    No, I am not taking that position at all. Disruption to the defense is not good for the defense. But disruption to the offense is good for the defense. So the issue is, which benefit is greater? And the only way to answer that is with the empirical evidence. For that I have to refer to Kimmi.
  3. Bellhorn04
    The only explanation I can see is that they did some cherry-picking on his 2014 numbers. Here are the monthly OPS splits: Apr .564 May .865 June .750 July .799 Aug .859 Sept .550 Oct .888 (17 postseason games)
  4. Bellhorn04
    Isn't the basic point that it's a simultaneous distraction to the pitcher, the defense and the hitter?
  5. Bellhorn04
    Hanley's offensive struggles may have been a direct result of the injury he suffered playing the outfield. Manny played outfield his whole career, so he at least came to Boston with a lot of experience at the position. The Sox were forced to keep putting Hanley in the outfield even after they saw how badly he was doing, because there was no other option. And they were paying him 22 million.
  6. Bellhorn04
    The idea of putting Hanley in left is hard to defend, given the results. It was a gamble that failed in a big way.
  7. Bellhorn04
    FWIW, Headley pretty much sucked last year too, just not as much as Panda did.
  8. Bellhorn04
    The major argument I would try to make is that Price is a true elite player, with a total fWAR over his 2 most recent seasons of 12.5, whereas Sandoval's total fWAR over his 2 most recent seasons was only 5.1.
  9. Bellhorn04
    OK, just for fun, here is a list of the top 30 average fastball speeds for the year 2015, with their heights. This includes any pitcher who had 60 innings pitched or more, so obviously it brings in a lot of relievers: Aroldis Chapman 6 4 Arquimedes Caminero 6 4 Trevor Rosenthal 6 2 Kelvin Herrera 5 10 Dellin Betances 6 8 Jumbo Diaz 6 4 Nathan Eovaldi 6 2 Noah Syndergaard 6 6 Ken Giles 6 2 Blake Treinen 6 5 Jeurys Familia 6 3 Tommy Hunter 6 3 Hector Rondon 6 3 Daniel Hudson 6 3 Jose Fernandez 6 2 Wade Davis 6 5 Garrett Richards 6 3 Yordano Ventura 6 0 Jeremy Jeffress 6 0 Roberto Osuna 6 2 Gerrit Cole 6 4 Joe Kelly 6 1 Luis Garcia 6 2 Stephen Strasburg 6 4 Fernando Rodney 5 11 Kevin Gausman 6 3 Matt Harvey 6 4 Carlos Martinez 6 0 Justin Wilson 6 2 Luis Severino 6 0 The average height of the top 10 is about 6-3. The average height of the top 30 is just a shade over 6-2.
  10. Bellhorn04
    And that should be the end of that.
  11. Bellhorn04
    Needless to say, a lot of the criticism about Panda and Hanley didn't come until after the fact of the bad results. That's just the nature of fans. Excluding, of course, User Name and any others who hated the Panda signing right away.
  12. Bellhorn04
    Now you've got me interested in this. My question is what type of correlation exists between height and fastball velocity. I just went through FanGraphs list of hardest throwers in 2015 and there do seem to be a lot of guys 6-3 and taller. http://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=pit&lg=all&qual=y&type=10&season=2015&month=0&season1=2015&ind=0&team=0&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=0
  13. Bellhorn04
    Correct me if I'm wrong on this, but didn't Panda come into the 2014 season having lost a bunch of weight, get off to a terrible start, put weight back on and start hitting again?
  14. Bellhorn04
    It really isn't used very much any more. In 2015 the average AL team had 30 successful sacrifice bunts. That's less than 1 every 5 games.
  15. Bellhorn04
    Maybe they didn't feel comfortable about Hanley at third. Or maybe they just got a little greedy - thought they were really beefing up the offense.
  16. Bellhorn04
    Sure. Howard led the majors in HR and RBI that year, well ahead of Pujols in both categories. And his team won the division, while Pujols's team finished 11.5 games out. In the traditional criteria, Howard had a lot going for him.
  17. Bellhorn04
    On the topic of amphetamines, in one of Spaceman Lee's books he talks about the alcohol-speed cycle a lot of players were on, including himself. Guys would drink heavily after games and wake up the next day with brutal hangovers. They would take uppers to revive their systems and get them in shape to play baseball. After the game they would still be wired and they would need to drink to level themselves out again.
  18. Bellhorn04
    And I promise that'll be the last time I use the word 'optics' on this topic.
  19. Bellhorn04
    Some of it is optics. We saw guys like Canseco and McGwire who were built like Marvel superheroes clobbering balls into next week. We saw Barry Bonds effortlessly flicking baseballs over the fence (or being walked half the time), and then we saw Barry's head all puffed up. Seeing stuff like that gives you the impression that steroids and other recent PED's are powerful and dangerous stuff.
  20. Bellhorn04
    I would argue that the difference in the World Series was the bullpens. The Mets blew late inning leads in 3 of the 4 losses. Switch bullpens and they'd be champs.
  21. Bellhorn04
    I can't really answer that question. The most HR he ever hit in a single season was 47 though. That's a far cry from what the 3 guys I mentioned did.
  22. Bellhorn04
    I respect your position absolutely. Myself, I think McGwire and Sosa and Bonds made a mockery of the home run record and brought all their numbers into question, and they are paying the price for it. OTOH if thinking changes and some of these guys do get in eventually I can accept it.
  23. Bellhorn04
    Sabermetrics re speed and defense had a LOT to do with Jason Heyward procuring a 184 million contract.
  24. Bellhorn04
    Major optics problem. During his playing days McGwire looked like he could give Thor a go in an arm wrestle. When he appeared before Congress he looked like a pitiful, embarrassed dweeb.
  25. Bellhorn04
    The Chris Young that pitched for the Royals this year is 6-10. I was watching one of the games he pitched in the postseason and one of the commentators was going on about how his delivery angle makes the ball harder to pick up and makes him trickier than his stuff would indicate he should be. That's about all I have on this topic...
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