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Bellhorn04

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Everything posted by Bellhorn04

  1. Bellhorn04
    Castillo did show potential, but at the end of the day he had an OPS of .647 and an fWAR of 0.4.
  2. Bellhorn04
    If Hanley can't play first, there's not much they can do with him, except maybe use him as an expensive 1B/DH platoon option, and wait until 2017 when he replaces Papi as full time DH.
  3. Bellhorn04
    Remains to be seen IMO.
  4. Bellhorn04
    For me a question that arises is: how much better are the projections than what a decently informed baseball could do, based on a review of last year's standings and the offseason transactions? You don't need any fancy projection systems to know that St. Louis and the Cubs are going to be at least 30 games better than Milwaukee and Cincy again this year.
  5. Bellhorn04
    Toss in Castillo and it was a $340 million Golden Sombrero. The 4 had a combined fWAR in 2015 of -1.8. We can only hope for much better results this year.
  6. Bellhorn04
    The 'enigma' factor is that some guys really do fall off a cliff when they come to Boston. Renteria and Crawford were prior examples.
  7. Bellhorn04
    Man, it really hurts that Rosenthal nailed it at the time.
  8. Bellhorn04
    He may not have blue eyes, but he has crazy eyes. Those are good too.
  9. Bellhorn04
    I don't dispute that he's in decline phase or that injuries are a concern. But let's not overstate things either. From 2011 to 2014 he played in 595 games, or 149 games a season. And he finished in the top 10 in MVP voting twice in those 4 years.
  10. Bellhorn04
    He didn't suck when he played. He just didn't play enough.
  11. Bellhorn04
    Allen Craig really falls into a special category of non-roster invitees, where they're paying him 9 million this year and 11 million next year.
  12. Bellhorn04
    I think it's fine to be a homer, as long as you're not a blind homer.
  13. Bellhorn04
    I can see a case for the Sox being projected for 90 wins or so. Their 2015 Pythagorean record was 81-81. I think Price and the bullpen upgrades add about 9 wins on paper.
  14. Bellhorn04
    Oh no, not again.
  15. Bellhorn04
    My statements probably were irrelevant to your simplistic and obvious statement that speed disrupts defense. It just so happens that I'm interested in all the pros and cons and nuances of the running game, not just that one simplistic and obvious concept. Hopefully that clears up any further misunderstandings.
  16. Bellhorn04
    I never made that argument. Your reading comprehension is terrible.
  17. Bellhorn04
    I've always thought that Roberts's stolen base, while a great play, has been blown out of proportion just a bit. The reason I say that is that you don't hear about Bill Mueller's RBI single nearly as much. That was at least as great a play.
  18. Bellhorn04
    You're right. He was no good at throwing out base runners, and other teams disrupted the crap out of us when he was behind the plate.
  19. Bellhorn04
    Here's a question about speed using a guy who was mentioned here just a little while ago: Dave Roberts In 2004 Roberts stole 38 bases and was caught 3 times. In 2005 Roberts stole 23 bases and was caught 12 times. Did Roberts' base-stealing attempts have a positive or negative effect on his team's offense in 2004? Did Roberts' base-stealing attempts have a positive or negative effect on his team's offense in 2005? I'm 99% sure the answers are: Positive in 2004, Negative in 2005. Kimmi can help me out with this - I remember her mentioning a study that showed you have to have a high success rate on steals in order for the positive of the extra bases to outweigh the negatives of the extra outs.
  20. Bellhorn04
    By ignoring batting averages with speedy runners on base, you're taking an important part of the equation out of the equation.
  21. Bellhorn04
    I don't remember his speed doing much for us either.
  22. Bellhorn04
    Just so there's no confusion, I'm not saying speed isn't an asset or that it can't be used as a weapon, and I'm pretty sure nobody else is either. That was never the point.
  23. Bellhorn04
    Don't forget getting picked off, caught stealing and running into outs. It's not all sunshine and roses.
  24. Bellhorn04
    If we had better pitching we would have been a dynasty in the 1970's, slow-footed or not.
  25. Bellhorn04
    What about the disruption to the hitter? Are you denying that or forgetting about it?
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