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Bellhorn04

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Everything posted by Bellhorn04

  1. The Jays made a pretty good run at it last year, taking the champs to 6 games and creating a lot of excitement for the fans. Don't count them out this year just yet either.
  2. OK I'll bite. Other than Carl Crawford, Epstein's record in negotiations was fine.
  3. No love for Eddie Stanky? http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/s/stanked01.shtml
  4. It's team dependent because a pitcher with a good defense behind him will have more runs saved than a pitcher with a bad defense. For example JBJ will run down more balls than an inferior CFer. This has nothing to do with errors. It has to do with fielding range. As for pitcher errors, ERA is meant to measure the pitcher's pitching, not his fielding. As for the luck part, well, you're probably disgusted enough already.
  5. And Buch will squash your hopes every time. He did it to me this year for the last time.
  6. I admit the quotes from Merloni were accurate...that's it. And the quotes from Merloni were harmless. Some doc showed up some day between the years 1998 and 2001 and told the Sox players how not to get caught using steroids, and the players all looked at each other in disbelief. Quite the smoking gun.
  7. Yeah but they usually have something to do with the content that follows.
  8. All of which averages out to a guy who gives you slightly above average quality and well below average quantity.
  9. Now you're trying to start a whole other dead horse debate. Well done.
  10. I don't, but I'm extremely heartened by his advanced metrics. They really do make the world a better place.
  11. No, I'm sure the quotes were accurate. They were also pretty harmless. The headline of the article was total ********, because it's Bleacher Report.
  12. Isn't ERA a team- and luck-dependent stat according to advanced metrics?
  13. 2.6 fWAR Kimmi, $20.4 million value to date. Not far below expectations *if you buy FanGraphs WAR for pitchers*.
  14. Ah yes, that highly respected and credible source, Bleacher Report.
  15. When you add up Buch's sample sizes, you get totals that reflect a slightly above average pitcher, but don't really reflect how incredibly erratic he has been.
  16. Be right, my friend, be right.
  17. Can't live in dreams, folks.
  18. I think it's 5 bad starts. 6.1 / 4 falls closer to mediocre than bad. 4 of the 5 bad starts came in his first 7, only 1 in his last 12. If he keeps trending like he has been he can still end up with a very strong season.
  19. But isn't a half season a small sample by your standards?
  20. I like the way he's trending though. Plus his high K rate suggests that his arm and velocity are just fine.
  21. His fWAR is 2.6. The dollar value is a multiple of that based on current free agent contract stats. His fWAR is higher than his ERA would indicate because of his FIP. (I know, you stopped reading already.)
  22. FanGraphs now has Price's dollar value at $20.4 million.
  23. Better than the offseason though. 4 more sleeps and we're back.
  24. If he's David Price I think you do.
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