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Bellhorn04

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Everything posted by Bellhorn04

  1. Bellhorn04
    Some cursory internet research indicates uncertainty over whether surgery would have been the answer for Koufax's severe arthritis.
  2. Bellhorn04
    "Mutual options" are where my brain starts to melt.
  3. Bellhorn04
    And if you look at how it all averages out, it costs about $8 million per 1 WAR.
  4. Bellhorn04
    Team option, that is. Could come into play, you're right. More fun stuff to keep an eye on. 🙂
  5. Bellhorn04
    There are things to be hopeful about. Sasaki isn't one of them.
  6. Bellhorn04
    Breslow said they have no meeting scheduled with Sasaki.
  7. Bellhorn04
    Because the syntax of your sentence made it sound like the 2 decades referred to the years it worked for Boston and St. Louis. But OK, you meant the year the contract was issued and that is indeed 15 years. Still, I've never heard 15 years referred to as nearly 20 years.
  8. Bellhorn04
    Can't say he isn't stocking up on bodies that pitch...
  9. Bellhorn04
    Is 2013-2015 nearly two decades ago already? Holy crap does time fly...
  10. Bellhorn04
    I'm not "gah-gah" over Whitlock, but I'm happy we still have him and hopeful for a good 2025 for him. His ability is not in question.
  11. Bellhorn04
    The report is that the Sox offered 7/190 to Fried. So I'd say they're not completely done with big money free agents.
  12. Bellhorn04
    There's always going to be a lot of luck involved in whether a big free agent signing pays off or not. If you get burned once or twice do you keep trying and hope the luck evens out, or do you stop playing? And if you stop playing, what do you do with that money you're not spending on free agents? The Red Sox have gotten burned a few times without a doubt. OTOH expensive free agents have contributed significantly to all 4 of the Red Sox rings. I'll take that tradeoff.
  13. Bellhorn04
    It's not irrelevant to an objective analysis of the contract, because we traded him. It was our decision to forego the remaining value, which turned out to be significant. The bottom line is, Lackey ended up earning that contract, or close to it, depending on which metric you like.
  14. Bellhorn04
    As for 2025, the Buehler signing has re-triggered my optimism about the team's direction. This was a non-punt move, and to me it validates that Sandoval was also a non-punt move. And I think some more moves are coming.
  15. Bellhorn04
    Personally I would never want to undo a deal that resulted in a ring, so I have no problem with Price or Lackey. Or Foulke for that matter, who was not much use in the second and third years of his contract with us.
  16. Bellhorn04
    Sorry to hear about your loss, moon.
  17. Bellhorn04
    And after posting an OPS of 1.062 for Worcester. Tough game.
  18. Bellhorn04
    Not really fair to Lackey or the contract. His fWAR was much higher. He had a total fWAR of 12.7 for the years 2010-2015 (9.3 bWAR) - 1.3 of those years with St. Louis. Total dollar value per FanGraphs 92.1 million. Total salary 83 million. 2015 was the minimum wage year triggered by his injury, so it's only fair to count it as part of the contract he signed with Boston. The differences between bWAR and fWAR for pitchers can be so big that they can make analysis like this pretty inconclusive, of course.
  19. Bellhorn04
    Really? You sounded like one of the more optimistic ones about the 2025 team not that long ago.
  20. Bellhorn04
    Yeah, Teoscar is looking for his big payday, and why wouldn't he? Probably just a question of whether he gets the $55-60 million deal or the $65-70 million deal.
  21. Bellhorn04
    The Dodgers have a pile of pitchers that they added to with Snell. I was a little surprised they didn't bring back Buehler but I guess the math just didn't work.
  22. Bellhorn04
    Some would prefer Pivetta, sure, because he's more of the Steady Eddie type who will give you 160 innings and a 2.5 fWAR. Buehler OTOH has the potential to give us 5 fWAR but also the potential to spend at least half the year on the IL. So pick your pleasure or your poison. I like the Buehler signing, personally.
  23. Bellhorn04
    It's still somewhat of a hodgepodge, but it's becoming a more interesting hodgepodge when you bring in new names like Crochet, Sandoval and Buehler. Really hoping they add a quality reliever now.
  24. Bellhorn04
    moon, when you were a kid I'll bet you would have loved this signing. "We got Walker effin' Buehler. Let's effin' go!" But now we're like a bunch of old actuaries poring through reams of statistics and calculating probable outcomes...
  25. Bellhorn04
    All of a sudden the Red Sox have 4 starting pitchers (Crochet, Buehler, Giolito, Sandoval) who have: a) never pitched for us before; b) recorded at least one season with an fWAR of 3.7 or higher.
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