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Bellhorn04

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Everything posted by Bellhorn04

  1. Bellhorn04
    If you're suggesting the Sox weren't that far short, I would agree. My best guess is if they started with an offer of 11/330, Betts would still be with us. For whatever reason they just didn't want to do it.
  2. Bellhorn04
    Me too. I predicted 80 wins last year.
  3. Bellhorn04
    What Zack Short said was that Betts was very interested in staying, just wanted to get market value (exactly as Mookie himself said), and that the Sox simply failed to get there. In other words, they lowballed him. Short also appeared to confirm the final offer was a little short of $300 million, which once again supports what Mookie said. Here's a link to the Zack Short thread. https://talksox.com/forums/topic/89091-zack-scott-explaining-the-mookie-trade-and-a-lot-more-article-from-over-the-monster/
  4. Bellhorn04
    How much money are you planning to bet on that with your wagering service?
  5. Bellhorn04
    That was the classic "good for both sides" deal, as it turned out.
  6. Bellhorn04
    Wait, which "paper" are you talking about for all these rankings?
  7. Bellhorn04
    Sorry, I don't make the metrics, I just look at them.
  8. Bellhorn04
    Bogey was not the same as Lester and Betts. Bogey did get a reasonable extension that kept him around 3 more years. He just happened to cash in on his opt out.
  9. Bellhorn04
    The Sox had 194 HR last year, 9th in MLB. Subtract O'Neill's 31 and you get 163, which would be 23rd in MLB. We are looking at a very low power offense unless the kids do something about it. And I think I'm more worried about Devers than most. How exactly are his shoulders going to be healthier than last year, which he finished in extremely feeble fashion?
  10. Bellhorn04
    There are NO good signs as far as the Sox operating like a serious big market team again.
  11. Bellhorn04
    And Teel and Montgomery, 40% of the Future 5, got chucked out the window.
  12. Bellhorn04
    Well, they probably won't offer enough and Cro Man will be gone after 2026. But hey, maybe we can trade him at the 2026 deadline instead.
  13. Bellhorn04
    So overall, O'Neill was 2.5 fWAR and Yoshida was 0.8. Yoshida is only worthy of starting at DH because there aren't better options. He's a barely above replacement level guy. And if he's in the OF it's an even worse scenario.
  14. Bellhorn04
    As it stands they look like an 84-85 win team. Might be enough to get into the playoffs, because the AL has really become the weak sister of the two leagues. Seems like that's what ownership is shooting for.
  15. Bellhorn04
    fWAR takes it all into account. I'm trying to stick with fWAR here as a reasonable measurement. O'Neill was comfortably 3rd in offensive fWAR.
  16. Bellhorn04
    I would hope you're kidding. O'Neill was 3rd in runs scored.
  17. Bellhorn04
    The Sox have been undisputed kings of baseball at making offers that fall short the last several years. Teams are very different in how they approach these things. The Sox operate nothing like the Dodgers, Mets or Yankees these days.
  18. Bellhorn04
    Sorry moon, it might be context on this message board, but it's not serious baseball analysis. Serious analysis shows that RBIs are not a skill. What's more pertinent is that O'Neill was 3rd on the team in offensive fWAR.
  19. Bellhorn04
    More important than you're giving it credit for, maybe? Big pluses for Duran and Hamilton, big minus for Yoshida. The deltas are large. Grounding into DP's, not able to take the extra base - this is what Yoshida brings.
  20. Bellhorn04
    That's not context, that's just a bunch of message board guys squawking about questionable points.
  21. Bellhorn04
    He's the worst though. Yoshida's only real offensive strength is getting on base, but once he gets there he's a liability. His OPS+ is respectable but every other aspect of his game detracts from it. That's why FanGraphs pins him at about a 1 WAR player.
  22. Bellhorn04
    I think some prayers are needed for Devers's shoulders as well. But as to your main point, if Breslow does nothing further, and neither Anthony or Campbell start the year with the team, this will be a worse team position player wise than the one that ended the year so feebly last year, and probably deserving of the projection of being the second worst group in the American League, ahead of only the White Sox. Which once again screams malpractice. Having said all this I'm thinking that maybe for PR purposes alone one of the kids might be in the opening day lineup.
  23. Bellhorn04
    If the Red Sox cared about his W-L record I don't think they would have traded 2 of their very best prospects and more for him. They're already invested in him. That's what moon's been saying and I agree. You have to follow through on that kind of investment. You can't mess around and see him walk after 2 years.
  24. Bellhorn04
    To me this is very low on the list of concerns one way or the other. If reports are accurate they've been trying to unload Yoshida. It's unfortunate but there was never a good fit for him. Obviously if you can't trade him you play him some and hope he hits.
  25. Bellhorn04
    You omitted the terrible baserunning.
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