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Bellhorn04

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Everything posted by Bellhorn04

  1. Have to look at who they played that month, too.
  2. We have a few decent short term fill-ins. But I think the more they play the less you'd like 'em.
  3. Most of these random predictions be skewin' very positive... 😁
  4. So it appears the Sox pitching's wicked good April was attributable to a combo of the surprise factor of the revamped pitch mix, plus the cool weather. Both very temporary advantages.
  5. The symmetry of that distribution is amazing.
  6. The Sox have the best of intentions of improving the defense. But when they attempt to make the necessary moves, they find that players and other teams are very uncooperative in helping them. So they revert to Plan B, which is to leave everything as is and revisit after the season's over. 🙃
  7. Crawford actually seems like the textbook guy to NOT extend...
  8. Sox interest in EVERYTHING is simply assumed now. 😄
  9. WAR, what is it good for. The simplest way to look at it is that losing Raffy means 4-5 wins down the tubes.
  10. Yeah, when you take Raffy out of our lineup, it looks pretty feeble. Not much in the way of consistent power threats. Casas is about it.
  11. When Theo went to the Cubs, free agents were a big part of building that 2016 championship team. Theo's comments about free agency were always enlightening. He pretty much characterized it as a necessary evil type thing and I think he said if you hit on more than 50% you're doing very well.
  12. I believe that sometimes it really is worth "overpaying". Soto's contract is 15 years. The $8,000,000 figure will likely go up over that time. That will impact the calculations.
  13. Big problem with that joke. The average person actually has two of the latter, and in numerous cases the male's are larger-though not on AVERAGE, of course. 🙃
  14. Grissom's profile is eerily reminiscent of Yoshida's. He has a good eye and makes a lot of contact. But he doesn't have a high exit velocity and he doesn't hit many home runs. And his defense isn't that great.
  15. There are plenty of examples of hitters breaking down from injury too, though.
  16. And which option do you consider better, and have you tried applying it to free agent contracts and production? Bring it on!
  17. Yes. But it's a scary injury because it appears to have resulted simply from a lot of hard swings, which I'm sure he's planning to continue. If he makes it through 2025 OK that will be very reassuring.
  18. To me this is a nonsensical argument. By this reasoning big busts "skew" the average too, and there are plenty of those. If we can't even use averages, what the heck would you use instead?
  19. Well, I guess it's a matter of opinion whether winning a championship makes it worth it. You and I obviously differ on that.
  20. I'm looking at track records and the projections that are based on them. I'm not just going on hopes and hunches.
  21. Well let's see, when I look at B-R, he's projected to bounce back to .778 in 2025. So go talk to them. Don't blame me for looking at some objective numbers.
  22. The average free agent gives you 1 additional win per $8-9 million. It's an expensive way to get better, but no, it's not strictly PR. If it was strictly PR it would have no added value whatsoever. The Red Sox have had a ton of free agent busts, but they've also had plenty of free agent successes that have contributed directly to 4 titles. We can go over that as many times as you want.
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