Bellhorn04
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Everything posted by Bellhorn04
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Article: Episode 4: PECOTA Hates The Red Sox
Bellhorn04 replied to Alex Mayes's topic in Talk Sox Front Page News
PECOTA says we not only didn't get better, we're gonna be worse. That'd be a revoltin' development.- 5 replies
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- roman anthony
- jarren duran
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Instead of that it looks like Sam is pretty much official team spokesman now. Such is life in the upside-down world of the Sox.
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It's hard to be serious about this stuff when you have a lot of doubt that the team is serious about it. You'd think if there was a deal to be made it should have happened before this. Not sure what changed to put it back on the table. Seems like the Sox just want some rumors out there to keep us entertained while the clock runs out on the offseason.
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It's even worse with me. I've concluded that hardly anything is on the level.
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Consider it done. 😛
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Why? Well, let's look at a few details here. 1) The amount in this particular transaction was $200,000. 2) The total amount reportedly stolen was "almost $17 million". That's $200,000 TIMES 85. 3) The story given by the interpreter for the $200,000 was that it was for a car loan to a friend. I can see getting away with that story once, but it doesn't really cover the other $16.8 million, does it? Maybe it's because I'm an accountant who has worked on audits. Maybe I'm just a born skeptic. But I think the bank still has some 'splaining to do.
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I was merely answering who the AAAA relievers are. These are the guys we saw way too much of for a stretch last year blowing leads aplenty, along with other departed ones of course.
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Well, we did finally learn that they have a recording of the interpreter on the phone with the bank. https://apnews.com/article/shohei-ohtani-interpreter-ippei-mizuhara-bank-recording-030c0d89ecd7a6b8c55811d92842ab48#:~:text=A nearly four-minute audio,loan%2C federal prosecutors said Thursday. I still find it amazing that this could have happened over and over without the bank thinking it might be useful to have a quick sit-down with Ohtani in person.
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Bernardino Weissert Wilson Winckowski
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It wasn't until I typed that last part that it occurred to me that Yates is actually going to cost the Dodgers about $27 million!!!
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I will admit to being somewhat influenced by Recency Effect. Call me crazy, but I have to think a guy who had a good 2024 and was healthy at the end of the year is usually going to be a better bet than a guy who didn't play in 2024. The Dodgers seemed to think it was worth a shot. Of course, $13 million is couch cushion stuff to them, even with 110% tax added on, right? 🙃
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No worries, we'll all get nothing. The Sox are equal opportunity disappointers.
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It's always about the fans, folks. If Roger Goodell says so, it's gotta be true.
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So you don't really like what they've done outside of Crochet, I take it.
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Yeah but it's a 1 year deal and a total risk of $13 million. And the Red Sox are light years short of the big spenders in payroll commitments. I'm sticking with "they're being cheap" unless I see some real evidence otherwise.
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And yet the Sox have no issue acquiring guys like Buehler, Sandoval, Hendriks and Fulmer who are obvious "injury discount" deals. But Yates you have as an automatic "waste". OK...
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My main issue is guys like Yates and Robertson that the Sox could easily have afforded. And yes that means I'm assuming they don't sign Robertson.
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If reported interest was aggression, the Sox would be prime Mike Tyson.
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And how much information do we have on his methodology in doing this?
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The early signing of Wilson was a bad omen for anyone keeping an eye on the REAL PAYROLL BUDGET number, the one that is making Sam Kennedy a little funny in the head because he has to keep pretending it doesn't exist...
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Dodgers got Yates for $13 million. Seems pretty reasonable to me. We couldn't have done that? Robertson is still there. He'll probably sign for about the same as Chapman got, and not with us. Pennies are being squeezed hard, and not all the Sam Kennedy gibberish in the world can hide it.
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As cynical as I've been, the PECOTA number seems wacky. I think when it comes to W-L projections the best place to look is Vegas, which has us at an over-under of 84.5, which seems eminently reasonable. (And before anyone jumps in with an explanation of how Vegas odds-setting works, that the intention is to have equal money bet on both sides, I know that. They move the number if there's heavy betting on one side.)
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We have you here for that. 😉
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To clarify, I meant who they played against that month.
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Sam clears the air as only he can! 😀🙃😀 Sam Kennedy on pursuing Alex Bregman: "I’m not allowed to talk about any specific free agent negotiations or anything, but given that he’s unsigned, I think that speaks for itself." Chris Cotillo 3:11 PM · Feb 3, 2025
