AtWork
-
Posts
2,023 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Boston Red Sox Videos
2026 Boston Red Sox Top Prospects Ranking
Boston Red Sox Free Agent & Trade Rumors, Notes, & Tidbits
Guides & Resources
2025 Boston Red Sox Draft Pick Tracker
News
Forums
Blogs
Events
Store
Downloads
Gallery
Everything posted by AtWork
-
Exactly, that's why I was humored when a poster thought the Mets having scouts at one of their own minor league games which happened to be against the Sea Dogs meant that we were seriously involved in Beltran.
-
I don't think there's any debate as to the fact that the majority of his value comes from his defense. With average defense he'd be a 2.4 WAR player. I'm not penalizing him for playing multiple positions, I just think his UZR is far to generous in caparison to his positional adjustment in left field.
-
For those of you who didn't see it, here's a picture. You can see the letters on the back of his right foot from the front of him. I'm not sure which was more gruesome though, him breaking the ankle or trying to put it back together afterwards. http://cache.boston.com/resize/bonzai-fba/AP_Photo/2011/07/21/1311225649_0487/539w.jpg
-
I totally agree that we need a reliable 5th starter. As for a lefthanded reliever, Morales has actually done quite well and Okajima is killing it down in AAA. I think he's walked 2 batters all year.
-
Article's getting blocked at work so it'll have to wait until later. The issue I have with Gardner's value estimate, which is almost entirely derived from his defense, is that he's a centerfielder playing left field. If you took a different rangy centerfielder and put him in left field his defensive numbers would be equally off the charts for that position and inflate his value as well, but he'd still be the same player. Does that make sense at all?
-
-
I totally agree that his line drive rate and BABIP will most likely regress. But you can't take away hits for him that were completely legitimate in order to normalize his stats as the other poster was attempting to do. I'm at work right now so I can't look up his sabermetrics to comment on what will most likely happen when his statistics normalize.
-
That's not how BABIP works at all. Given Reddick's line drive rate, which was something like 26% last time I checked, his BABIP is exactly where it should be. In fact, it's .001 points lower that what would be expected. There are players who hit for a BABIP well above .300 their entire careers, you can't just regress everyone to a .300 BABIP.
-
I'd have concerns about Beltran playing right field in Fenway through age 36. There's a lot of room out there, it's almost like a second CF and Beltran's defense has been subpar the last three years.
-
This probably bears posting considering how many of you are referring to his minor league performance as mixed or underwhelming without taking into account his age at the time. Reddick at age 21 in advanced A - .343/.375/.593 Ellsbury at age 21 in advanced A - .299/.379/.418 Reddick at age 22 in AA - .277/.352/.520 Ellsbury at age 22 in AA - .308/.387/.434 Reddick at age 23 in AAA - .266/.301/.466 Ellsbury at age 23 in AAA - .298/.360/.380 There's a reason why Reddick's always been considered one of our best prospects even when his raw numbers haven't always been that impressive.
-
-
So you don't think it's fair to compare to him Ellsbury but you just tried comparing him to Daniel Nava? As for Reddick's "disappointing" minor league career, is it really all that disappointing that he struggled as a 21 year old in AA or is that to be expected? If you compare their production at the same age, Reddick had a better OPS as a 21 year old in A than Ellsbury did, Reddick had a better OPS as a 22 year old in AA than Ellsbury did and Reddick had a better OPS as a 23 year old in AAA than Ellsbury did. Seems like a fair comparison to me.
-
How do you know Montero's bored and he's not just struggling?
-
Could you imagine if we traded Ellsbury after 2007 because his trade stock was at an all-time high and he was due to regress? Ellsbury's peripherals at the time suggested much more so than Reddick's peripherals this year that he was going to fall back to earth and he's turned out to be a pretty good player. We'd be kicking ourselves now if we traded him for a temporary fix.
-
-
-
It's obviously different facing major league pitchers, but his minor league statistics seem to suggest that he hits both righties and lefties pretty equally. Here are his stats for every position of the minors that he got more than 100 AB. 2010 AAA vs. L - .274/.310/.430 vs. R - .262/.303/.482 2009 AA vs. L - .279/.351/.524 vs. R - .259/.377/.552 2008 AA vs. L - .241/.371/.552 vs. R - .214/.267/.417 2008 A vs. L - .348/.370/.640 vs. R - .336/.376/.570 2007 A vs. L - .310/.337/.530 vs. R - .306/.366/.536
-
-
Anyone else see Stephen drew snap his ankle in half sliding into home plate and then try to reattach his dangling foot to his leg?
-
He'd be a middle of the order bat on most teams with his OPS. I like him batting leadoff though because of his combination of OBP and speed. And I think a lot of the reason he gets such good pitches to hit is because pitchers don't want to walk him and put him on base with his speed to lead off innings. If slow runners like Gonzalez, Youkilis or Ortiz were on base in front of him, pitchers can pitch much more cautiously to him knowing he speed won't be much of a factor.
-
Lavarnway is way too slow to be an outfielder.
-
-
Why would the Red Sox sit Ortiz? They've had him play 1st base previously in World Series away games. Besides, even if he did sit every game it's not worth giving up one or two of our best prospects for the possibility that Beltran could play in 4 away games in a World Series.
-
-
Or they could have had scouts at the game because the Sea Dogs were playing the Mets AA team