iortiz

Probably some people are a bit susceptible recently, probably because the offseason has been slow but probably the spring training could help. Tomorrow we go against the Twins.

Then they shouldn't read them, don't you think? Not sure how this could be an issue.

mmmmm.... Wonder where did I say the opposite?. As I said, stats are a great point to start, but once a game starts, your eyes are your best ally. In other words Spud, my models which are based on stats, advanced math methods and rest on the IBM SPSS software help me pick the best matches and lines from a pull. Once I pick those games and lines, and once those games start, my intuition/knowledge/eyes/expirience are my only allies If I want to close the original bet ticket or simply raise the original bet.

Don't you have another cliche, Gallo?

Oh that. Well they are when you bet, mostly when you bet when a game is already started. When it is already started your eyes are your best ally. As sk said, stats only will show what happened, reason why I said that they are a great point to start.

Did she or didn't she disagree with what I said? Use your common sense Gallo.

Is that crap? Haha it's a simple comment to me. Do you really want to hear crap, come here and listen to our president.

Well, you disagreed with what I said, Or which part did you disagree? Also, people continue to believe something that has been proven false by stats because they know what their eyes see? Like what Kim?

What is the big deal with the 'Farrell ran a Boy Scout camp last St' ? Haha does it really bother you so much? Really?

If stats told you everything, everyone would win at bettings. I'm with sk here, you need both.

Stats are a great point to start, then your eyes, experience, intuition, expirience or whatever you want a call it is your best ally when you try to predict the result of a game when it is already started.

I think he wanted to quote my post #33, probably he just mistook.

I have no idea what is the criteria used to select those ST games, but checking out the schedule almost every NYY game is going to be transmitted. Here's the program. http://mlb.mlb.com/mlb/official_info/broadcasts/spring_mlbtv.jsp?&affiliateId=mediacenter

Some simply won't accept a critic or an opinion against the team Fred, so do not worry u just keep posting as you just do.

You should follow that advise too. Act like a man.

Castillo sidelined.

What do u mean with what spud? Sorry, I just eddited the post.

no many Red Sox games are going to be transmitted on MLB.TV this ST while almost all NYY games will be.

whoa whoa there, gallo. 1. I said that closers are who can handle the pressure better than other good arms in a BP staff. Plenty of examples and situations are out there. In fact most of the teams have a named player for that spot and they usually use those arms in those under-pressure environments because it is a special role. Sorry, It is a fact. 2. Set up arms are under pressure as well but it is not even comparable what a closer face in the ninth. Some set up arms evolve and become closers. Unfortunately some of them can not make that big step and stay in that role because when they give them the opportunity they piss in their pants. This is why closers are the best paid in a BP staff, because they are supposed to shut down games consistently through a season. 3. Leave your kitten alone, it doesn't have the fault. 4. What does the clutch thing has to do with my model? Nothing. In baseball just like in life, out there are intangibles you have to consider like the clutch thing and pressure. In fact when you bet when game is already started (on direct bets) your best ally is your eyes and experience, and the stats frequently do not tell you nothing. 5. Stop? Are you the only one who can emit opinions here?

Yup, and is like saying that regular pressure faced in the 9th is just as the 4th, every single game.

How many clutch situations will a player face in a regular season? Very few, I would say. So... Your approach is ok to me since the environment most of the times in a PO game is always under pressure and could recreate a clutch situation every time when a player is AB. The clutch situations happen time to time and while you need skills to perform well at those situations, I think that some players can handle better those kind of situations. As for pitchers, closers are always in that kind of environments and only one of two in a BP staff can handle those levels of pressure regardless they are good or not.... Look at 2013 Red Sox, asaide Koji, who else could close among those good arms? No one. They even gave him the ball a couple of times in the 8th in PO since the "clutch" situations and pressure involved was too much.

You can say whatever the heck you are pleased to say Fred, for good or bad, just as anybody else here. If someone find out your posts irritant, they better put you on ignore or simply ignore what you say, instead of complaining everytime about everything you say.

Or genius sabermetrician? Haha Next year I will try to make my first ST trip to FM. Seems like a great experience. At least this year I'm going to make the first two games of the season at Fenway, can't wait.

Sounds great! Do not forget to give us feedback about how you see the kids performing mostly about Moncada (although not sure if he is invited to ST)

LOL! Btw are you already there compadre, or when do you arrive?