Rafaela: 70.6 strike%, 58.9 pitches swung at%, 48.9 1st pitch swing%
Leads BOS and NYY for all batters above 50 PA. He's just up there swinging. He's not a high k rate guy, he's a high volume swing guy, which causes him to chase pitches outside the zone more than almost everyone else in baseball (2nd percentile). Since he chases bad pitches, he's induces into a lot of weak contact. If he gets his pitch, it can go a long way.
Kelly has much higher upside and has seemed to pitch well lately. I know he's a rollercoaster, but he had some great performances last season against the Yankees.
'23 was his best season when the strike out looking % was down to 27%. All other seasons were 10 points higher. If he wants to be productive, he needs to keep that rate down.
The problem with Casas is that he is his inability to protect the plate or be aggressive with 2 strikes. He carried a 37% strike out looking, when league average is 23.5%. Other Sox hitters above 30 were Campbell, Sogard, Eaton and Sabol (not exactly a wrecking crew). His overall strike looking % was only 21.2% which means he was more likely to watch a called third strike than any other pitch.
You got the wrong ballpark for Casas if this is the target.
Fenway is 24th for LHB HR's. Worse than SD and SEA.
It's a park made for 2b's. Head and shoulders #1 for LHB.
My guesses
Bernie, Hicks, Guerrero, Crawford, Anthony, Mayer: ready for ST
Fitts: MiLB ready on AAA Opening Day
Casas: appears in ST, but not in games, MiLB return late May/early June
Dobbins: MiLB return late '26
Houck: out until '27
A zombie in a 53 year old's body that has been decaying for another 53 years. That's like a midlife crisis zombie, I think. Still has lots of brains left to go eat.