They moved Campbell off 1b fulltime, so it must not be a long term fit for him. I just don't have faith that Casas will be ready to go early on next year or at any point.
Top 10 AAV SP contracts from last season:
Burnes 0.7 fWAR (11 starts)
Snell 1.9 fWAR (11 starts)
Fried 4.8 fWAR
Eovaldi 3.7 fWAR (22 starts)
Flaherty 2.5 fWAR
Severino 2.5 fWAR
Manaea 0.4 fWAR (12 starts)
Martinez 2.1 fWAR (24 starts)
Buehler -0.3 fWAR
Kikuchi 2.5 fWAR
One contract really worked out, a few were good to decent and 4 that leave something to be desired (though Snell is at least pitching in the postseason).
Tolle had one exceptional pitch and his rise was meteoric. Witherspoon doesn't have that one plus plus pitch to lean on so we wouldn't see him until '27 IMO. He may have a higher ceiling than Tolle, but Sox won't rush him to the bigs IMO.
SP is crowded, but it wasn't crowded at the end of the year! Injuries are to be expected now.
I'm just forecasting what they'll do, not what I'd want them to do TBH.
OF of Anthony/Rafaela/Abreu/Campbell/Refsnyder should be good enough IMO
Need to add offense to DH and 1B. They are stuck with Masa. Signing Hoskins would go a long way IMO.
One starter, but not TOTR.
One late inning reliever.
Breggie leaves.
Mayer to 3b. Signs an extension.
Romy to 2b.
Campbell is the bench guy 1b/2b/LF/RF.
Hard to forecast them trading Duran or Abreu. If I had to guess, it's Duran.