I don't know how many people were saying he won't, just that "he hadn't" since 2019. This is the first time he's gone over the 2nd threshold in a long time. He retracted his spending. There were reports from Speier that they wouldn't go over the 2nd threshold, but now they have. You can't be mad at people for listening to Alex Speier, a guy with real, insider knowledge.
My guess is that they wanted Bregman, got pie in the face and pivoted to Suarez. Now they need to go out and find a cheaper solution at 2B or 3B. They wouldn't have signed Suarez if they had signed Bregman.