His K rate isn't even his worst with the Yankees, so nice try again. He's at 7.69K/9IP, right near his first 2 seasons in NY where he was 7.71 and 7.46. So mistake #1 on your end. Mistake #2 is expecting his HR rate to continue. It's an aberration at this point. If he continues to allow 1.3HR/9 through next yr, then I'll agree with you. Otherwise, it's a blip on the radar. You know, Pedro had a gigantic jump in HR/9IP (0.6 to 1.0) when he moved to Fenway. That didn't become a trend as he held that number well under 1 until his final yr in the bean. HR rates are unpredictable and until a trend is shown, are really useless indicators and show a serious need to grasp at straws. The funny thing is, his peripherals are better than his first 2 seasons in the Bronx and his xFIP is lower, yet miraculously, he's ready for demise!! You are such a homer, lol, and it takes one to know one.
The other funny thing is the splits of CC through the last 3 yrs. His ERA is higher in the second half by about .3 runs per 9, but his peripherals improve by a major amount. From 2010-2012, CC's K rate rises by over 1 per 9 after the ASB and his walk rate drops by 0.2 per 9. So while you are busy expecting him to fail, he's posting his 3rd best xFIP in his Yankee career and his best is yet to come as his peripherals improve down the stretch. I think you might be writing him off prematurely. There are a lot of problems in NY, CC isn't one of them