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a700hitter

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Everything posted by a700hitter

  1. JD would not cause as much of a logjam or impede the versatility of the bench as Morrison would cause. A fourth outfielder should get plenty of time subbing for the starting 3 outfielders and playing DH. ANd the key is that the offensive upgrade with JD far outweighs any upgrade with Morrison, so JD would be worth the any loss of bench flexibility. Morrison is just not worth it. If it comes down to Morrison or nothing, I move into the status quo camp despite the fact that I think that is an irrational strategy.
  2. Certainly Tiant and Hodges deserve to be in the Hall, and it highlights why the players would have tough standards. I wouldn't disparage Mazeroski, and don't know enough about Bancroft to disparage him. Most people here aren't old enough to remember Maz, and even if they were old enough, they probably had very little exposure to NL baseball in the 50's and 60's. Maz was a legendary fielder. When he retired he held a slew of fielding records. No one turned the DP like him, earning the nickname "no-touch". The number of DPs that he was involved in was off the charts. He played in a pitching dominated era when middle infielders didn't hit much, and his kind of fielding was highly valued by his peers. Putting him in the Hall doesn't dilute it. He was the best second baseman of his generation.
  3. It doesn't matter how much we paid Moreland, there just isn't room for another first baseman. They aren't going to relegate Moreland or Hanley to such a limited role. Also, Morrison is not enough of an upgrade over either one to be worth relegating either of them to a limited role. And Three first basemen would cut down on the flexibility and versatility of the bench.
  4. Logan Morrison isn’t worth whatever upgrade he would provide, where would he fit? We have 2 first basemen, and if I don’t remember him as an outfielder.
  5. I wish I went to see it. I am considering going to watch him play in the DR next month.
  6. Dream Series to showcase high school talent WWW.MLB.COM Major League Baseball announced Thursday it is teaming up for the second straight year with USA Baseball to host the Dream Series in Tempe, Ariz., next week, featuring a diverse group of some of the nation's top high school prospects confined within a Spring Training atmosphere. The Dream Series is A number of the kids at this showcase are already in the the top 100. Props to my great nephew who is at this tournament and is only a high school sophomore.
  7. The waiting game of Boras is going to make the timing of his alternative plans a little tricky and unpredictable.
  8. It is extremely crate for a player to win more than one MVP or have more than one MVP type season. Players that can do that have a good shot at having hall of fame careers. I think Mookie is an excellent player, but I am not sure yet that he is HOF caliber. It isn’t reasonable to expect him to build on his 2016 performance. That could be his career season.
  9. True, but it doesn’t follow any rules of statistical science. That’s all that I am saying.
  10. You misunderstood what I meant. I wasn’t talking about a late bidder. I was saying that if he has one other serious suitor at the moment, and Boras plays a waiting game, we could really have our offseason plans trashed. I would not find it hard to believe that there is one other bidder or even multiple bidders for him at the moment.
  11. My posts per day have been down dramatically over the last year, so we know what that means— a posting blitz by A700Hitter is about to get under way. #Positive Regression
  12. All we need is one other interested team to throw a wrench into our offseason plan.
  13. I think it is the opposite. Within a season hit and cold streaks tend to even out, but over the long term players can be on an upward or downward trajectory. When they start on a downward trajectory positive regression not a good bet.
  14. No, because players are not instruments of statistical probability.
  15. if he sits and waits, he limits his options and weakens his negotiating position.
  16. I also expect upticks from Bogey and Betts. I expect around the same production from Bradley in his usual very uneven fashion. Beni and Devers are wild cards, IMO. I am not sure what to expect from them. They could have break out years or struggle to make adjustments. I expect a downtick for Vasquez and Moreland. Overall, I see more upticks than down, but not enough to significantly raise our offensive production.
  17. The problem with this is that players are not data. They are human. Sometimes player performance just falls off because of something as commonplace and not noteworthy as wear and tear. Their performance will not regress in a positive manner to meet the statistical mean. The application of the statistical notion of positive regression to player performance is nonsense.
  18. DD shouldn’t wait until camp opens. Move on and make an earnest effort to get Machado, and then tinker with the pitching.
  19. i have no problem admitting that someone is right and that I am wrong. But I don’t do it when it is not true. Enough people told you that you were misrepresenting what I said. But keep trying . It is a good laugh, but an indictment of our education system.
  20. i am glad that you don’t teach reading comprehension.
  21. I guess that you don’t have a sarcasm detector.
  22. I never said that there wouldn’t be one, just that I don’t worry about it, and that it is too far in the future to predict. We are certainly in a window to go for it all with a possible cliff afterward. When you are built to win now, status quo doesn’t make sense.
  23. Again with the false choice. The team was not Championship quality last year and status quo will not convert them into one. They need a big bat.
  24. As you know, I consider it to be irrational to go status quo during a window before a cliff.
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