I am in big time withdrawal needing a big move. The team as constructed will not be able to get the job done. They will not win the Division and probably not have enough for a Wild Card spot. The Yankees have taken a big step forward and they only needed to close a 1 game gap.
Our offense is not going to "regress" to the mean enough to appreciably improve their run production. Pedroia will miss 2 months. That will be a hit to the offense right out of the gate, creating a big hole. I am expecting marginal improvement from Betts (+40 OPS) and a healthy Bogaerts (+30 OPS). I expect no improvement from Bradley or Benintendi. I expect a slight downturn from Moreland and only the slightest improvement from Hanley if any. Who knows what to expect from Devers. He could be a break out star or maybe the pitchers have adjusted to him and he will struggle out of the gate. I would not be surprised by a notable step back by Vasquez. Overall, I expect run production to struggle maybe more than last year, because we will not have Nunez stepping in for Pedroia. It is the same squad. Expecting big improvement is just homer-ism supported by nothing.