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Posted

Jim Bowden of The Athletic posted an article detailing 20 things he was hearing and watching regarding the MLB trade deadline. Most peculiarly, he pointed out that the Red Sox, although struggling to remain in playoff contention currently, will be buyers at the deadline, with an eye towards improving the current on-field product. He specifically mentions Boston trading one of their current outfielders for starting pitching help, and an upgrade at first base. As we all know, the rotation has mostly underperformed and Abraham Toro has played incredibly well since joining the big league club in the wake of Triston Casas’ season-ending knee injury, but it’s probably a safe bet that Toro is going to come back down to earth, and Romy Gonzalez is best suited for a utility bench role.

While it’s unfortunate that the Red Sox sit so far out of the AL East picture at the moment, the fact that Craig Breslow and company are looking to improve the current product is another sign that he’s settling into his role as President of Baseball Operations. He fleeced the Yankees for Carlos Narvaez, he traded for Justin Slaten from the Mets after the 2023 Rule 5 Draft, and he traded for and locked up Garrett Crochet to a long-term deal. He has taken steps to prove that he’s serious about putting a winning product on the field. Being buyers at the deadline can further reinforce that stance. Even if the Red Sox miss the postseason this year, aggressively trying to win in the second half can only help the team's culture heading into 2026.

Roman Anthony, Marcelo Mayer, Carlos Narvaez, and Kristian Campbell are the future core of this organization. They’ll go through growing pains during this season — we’re currently seeing it with Campbell, and should expect the other three to experience them at some point as well. Bringing in a legitimate first base option and another frontline starter will help ease some of the weight that these four young players are currently shouldering. Being buyers with an eye toward 2026, when the team’s contention window likely actually opens, is a very smart play.

As it stands, we’ve heard rumblings about Jarren Duran and Wilyer Abreu both being available for trades and that would make sense. Either should fetch another frontline starter as the central piece of a trade package. A name that should be floated in deals for a first baseman is Jhostynxon Garcia. He’s currently tearing up Triple-A, but he’s blocked at every turn in the majors. Even if someone like Rob Refsnyder were to retire at the end of the season, something he considered going into the 2025 season, you wouldn’t want to waste the talent of "The Password" by just stashing him on the bench of the major league club. If he’s a Refsnyder type, holding a bench role and starting occasionally, then the team needs to capitalize on his current run and flip him in a package deal for first base help. Mikey Romero is likely going to get some trade buzz as well, since he’s blocked at his natural positions in the majors as well. You could probably include Yoelin Cespedes in that group, too.. A package of two of them with some other additions could likely net the Red Sox the first baseman they are looking for. The Red Sox are loaded with talent at positions of need for other teams, and most of that minor league talent is blocked at the major league level. The front office needs to clear space in the minors, much like they did with Nick Yorke last year, and add to the major league team in a way that helps for the rest of the 2025 season and the seasons beyond.

In a down season, it’s a bit surprising to see the Red Sox are going to be buyers, but it’s understandable. The season isn’t lost yet, and there’s space atop the American League if they can get there. If not, using the rest of 2025 as a learning year for their top prospects while eyeing 2026 as the first year of true contention is the next best thing. Adding another frontline starter and a proven first baseman is a huge step in the right direction for either scenario. Craig Breslow seems like he's not running away from trading household names just because they are popular. Being able to do that and navigate the turbulent seas for a bit after the trade is going to be his next big test. I'm confident he can pass that test with flying colors, and the Red Sox will greatly benefit from it.


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Posted

Larry, is something like this what you had in  mind?

To PIT: Andrew Painter (from PHI) Richard Fitts, David Sandlin, Miguel Bleis & Mikey Romero (from BOS)

To PHI: Jarren Duran, David Hamilton & Hayden Mullins (from BOS)

To BOS: Paul Skenes (pre-Arb) & David Bednar ($5.9M + 1 Arb) from PIT

Posted
1 hour ago, moonslav59 said:

Larry, is something like this what you had in  mind?

To PIT: Andrew Painter (from PHI) Richard Fitts, David Sandlin, Miguel Bleis & Mikey Romero (from BOS)

To PHI: Jarren Duran, David Hamilton & Hayden Mullins (from BOS)

To BOS: Paul Skenes (pre-Arb) & David Bednar ($5.9M + 1 Arb) from PIT

I like your thinking! But Pittsburgh needs at least 2 quality starting bats and the three pitching prospects: 

fitts, tolle, early, Duran, arias, abreau, Hamilton and Jordan for skenes! 

Posted
1 hour ago, Larry Cook said:

I like your thinking! But Pittsburgh needs at least 2 quality starting bats and the three pitching prospects: 

fitts, tolle, early, Duran, arias, abreau, Hamilton and Jordan for skenes! 

Painter is the top 1-3 nationally ranked pitcher on some lists, but they probably would want Abreu, Campbell & Painter. Giving up Duran for Painters would leave two slots in the OF, and then 2B would be open, again (Story?)

2026

C Narvaez

1B/DH Casas/Devers/Yoshida (all lefties)

2B Story

SS Mayer

3B Bregman

LF Jh Garcia/Refsnyder

CF Rafaela

RF Anthony

Posted

Since the Red Sox usually follow a winning streak with a nearly equal losing streak, with two weeks left in June, it's hard to say which way the wind will be blowing with regards to trades in another two weeks.  Buyers?  Sellers?  A little of both?  Tough to say this early. 

NINE game road trip after Sunday!!  All on the West Coast.  SEA, SF and LAA (who just surprised Boston in Fenway by taking 2 of 3).  The team is too streaky to guess this early whether they buy or sell.  

To make 90 wins they need 54 of their next 90 games to be wins.  Only 6 of their final 30 series are against weak teams.  54 might be a bit ambitious but it's possible assuming no key injuries.  90 wins doesn't assure them of the last WC spot, but it should be close.

Posted
8 hours ago, moonslav59 said:

Painter is the top 1-3 nationally ranked pitcher on some lists, but they probably would want Abreu, Campbell & Painter. Giving up Duran for Painters would leave two slots in the OF, and then 2B would be open, again (Story?)

2026

C Narvaez

1B/DH Casas/Devers/Yoshida (all lefties)

2B Story

SS Mayer

3B Bregman

LF Jh Garcia/Refsnyder

CF Rafaela

RF Anthony

Anthony mostly played leftfield in Triple A,  as the organization prepares him to be this century's Ted/Yaz/Rice successor. The only reason Boston has him in RF right now is because Abreu is injured.

The Password has been used almost exclusively in CF and RF in the minors; the me-myself-and-I test says he's a better defender than Roman in these two more difficult Fenway Park positions.

Posted
5 hours ago, 5GoldGlovesOF,75 said:

Anthony mostly played leftfield in Triple A,  as the organization prepares him to be this century's Ted/Yaz/Rice successor. The only reason Boston has him in RF right now is because Abreu is injured.

The Password has been used almost exclusively in CF and RF in the minors; the me-myself-and-I test says he's a better defender than Roman in these two more difficult Fenway Park positions.

Good points. Flip them.

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