2011 Red Sox Predictions

[Dipre]

Also you're predicting a career year from Scutaro.

 

 

Marco Scutaro 2009 statistics: .282 /.379 /.409 .789 OPS, 60 RBI, 100 Runs, 11 HR, 38 2B

 

I know you're in the middle of your "Jed Lowrie is the cure for cancer" campaign, but it takes 30 seconds to check these statements out for accuracy.

[SoxFanForsyth]

Marco Scutaro 2009 statistics: .282 /.379 /.409 .789 OPS, 60 RBI, 100 Runs, 11 HR, 38 2B

I know you're in the middle of your "Jed Lowrie is the cure for cancer" campaign, but it takes 30 seconds to check these statements out for accuracy.

 

...which are better than Jeter's 2010 stats

 

As for as Gonzo's 44 blasts, I think Gonzo will hit over 40, so I don't think that's too far of a reach.

 

I think Crawford's average may be a few ticks high, HR a couple low, and Pedroia's HR's are about 5-7 low.

[diony]

...which are better than Jeter's 2010 stats

 

As for as Gonzo's 44 blasts, I think Gonzo will hit over 40, so I don't think that's too far of a reach.

 

I think Crawford's average may be a few ticks high, HR a couple low, and Pedroia's HR's are about 5-7 low.

 

One good year of Scutaro over 15 of Jeter. Good one :thumbsup:

[Spudboy]

I predict that the Red Sox will play baseball this year.

[SoxFanForsyth]

One good year of Scutaro over 15 of Jeter. Good one :thumbsup:

 

Maybe Cashman will sign Scutaro for 3 years/51mm when he turns 37 and comes off his career worst season? :thumbsup:

[Northern Star]

I predict that the Red Sox will play baseball this year.

 

I'll take some of that action.

[EXman369]

The Sox will lead the league in SB this year after being one of the worst teams last year finishing with only 68. last year. Putting last year aside the team has incredible upside with a full season of a hopefully healthy Ellsbury, and the addition of the most feared base runner in all of baseball.

 

 

Career Baserunning Stats – Red Sox Players

Player Stolen Bases Caught Stealing SB% RS% (% a baserunner scores a run)

Carl Crawford 409 90 82% 43%

Jacoby Ellsbury 136 24 85% 41%

Dustin Pedroia 56 12 90% 35%

Mike Cameron 296 83 78% 33%

Darnell McDonald 11 1 90% 29%

 

 

Oh and i forgot, last year we finished second in the AL in stolen base percentage only being caught 20% of the time.

Can't wait to see the sox tear up the paths a big offensive tool i think that is over looked by the casual fan.

[BSN07]

The Sox will lead the league in SB this year after being one of the worst teams last year finishing with only 68. last year. Putting last year aside the team has incredible upside with a full season of a hopefully healthy Ellsbury, and the addition of the most feared base runner in all of baseball.

 

 

Career Baserunning Stats – Red Sox Players

Player Stolen Bases Caught Stealing SB% RS% (% a baserunner scores a run)

Carl Crawford 409 90 82% 43%

Jacoby Ellsbury 136 24 85% 41%

Dustin Pedroia 56 12 90% 35%

Mike Cameron 296 83 78% 33%

Darnell McDonald 11 1 90% 29%

 

 

Oh and i forgot, last year we finished second in the AL in stolen base percentage only being caught 20% of the time.

Can't wait to see the sox tear up the paths a big offensive tool i think that is over looked by the casual fan.

 

I'll put the over under on Pedroia's SB this season at 5.5. Not even considering his foot is still f'd up, he may be hitting in the 3 spot. So I doubt they will be sending him a lot infont of Agon. But that's just my take on it.

 

A healthy Ellbury and Crawford will steal a lot of bases. Passed that I wouldn't look for anything to write home about.

[SoxSport]

Looking at that lineup with Crawford and Ellsbury, two prime time basestealers, you wonder how Tito is going to handle this. Will he run more? Looks like he'll have to, with all that speed. The problem is the Red Sox have never been much of a running team with Tito--though Ellsbury has looked like he's been given the green light and has stolen a lot when healthy.

 

I should say this has not been a small ball team--more a team that plays for the big inning. Seems like they have the flexibility now to go both ways--reverting to small ball in those close games on the road that are inevitable. They have the speed and talent now to do that.

[Youk Of The Nation]

I predict that the Red Sox will play baseball this year.

 

I will bet you one dollar that the Red Sox play cricket instead!

[RedSoxfanforlife305]

I'll take you up on that bet.

[Station 13]

Looking at that lineup with Crawford and Ellsbury, two prime time basestealers, you wonder how Tito is going to handle this. Will he run more? Looks like he'll have to, with all that speed. The problem is the Red Sox have never been much of a running team with Tito--though Ellsbury has looked like he's been given the green light and has stolen a lot when healthy.

 

I should say this has not been a small ball team--more a team that plays for the big inning. Seems like they have the flexibility now to go both ways--reverting to small ball in those close games on the road that are inevitable. They have the speed and talent now to do that.

 

If he can run why stop him? It's a big part of his game.

[Palodios]

If he can run why stop him? It's a big part of his game.

 

Agreed, take away Crawford's speed, and his value is cut down by 90%.

[Station 13]

Agreed' date=' take away Crawford's speed, and his value is cut down by 90%.[/quote']

 

I just hope he develops power like Youk did later. If Crawford hits 20-25HR it'll be a plus. He's outta the trop where conditions will factor in. He could also see a drop in HR with the deep RF we have. He has only 1 HR his career at this park.

[EXman369]

You understand when signing Crawford though that your not getting power out of him 20 homeruns will be a pleasant surprise and i hope that you are right

[BSN07]

Not sure how Tito is going to handle this. I expect Ellsbuy and Crawford to run. But not sure either one tops 60. Ellsbuy's ribs might hold him back and Crawford isn't going to be asked to steal 2B and 3B(yes I know he didn't steal 3B on a regular basis, just over exaggerating to make a point) every time he gets on base like he was in TB. Plus he's on the Red Sox. That takes away at least 20 SB a season. Also Posada isn't catching full time anymore, that's what another 15?

[Dojji]

I expect them to be comfortably over 30. I never expect more than that from any speedster in a given year.

[Keeper]

If Crawford and Ellsbury don't each swipe at least 45 bags, they will have had down years.

[SoxFanForsyth]

If Crawford and Ellsbury don't each swipe at least 45 bags' date=' they will have had down years.[/quote']

 

I agree, but I'd say anything over 40 would be a good year, but now we're just splitting hairs.

 

For the record, I predict Crawford will hit .300, 20 HR, 100 RBI, 100 Runs Scored, and 40 SB.

 

That's 1 more HR and 10 more RBI's from last year. With the line up he's in this year, I think it's very attainable.

[Palodios]

If the steal leader isn't from the Red Sox, I will be sorely disappointed.

[SoxFanForsyth]

If the steal leader isn't from the Red Sox' date=' I will be sorely disappointed.[/quote']

 

Michael Bourn, Rajai Davis, Scott Podsednik, and Juan Pierre are all legit contenders.

 

I'm going to go ahead and say Ellsbury SB + Crawford SB > 100. And if neither of them lead the league, that's fine, they'll both be in the top 5.

[SoxFanForsyth]

Total SB - I'd say the Sox will put up around 150.

Ells 55

Craw 50

Pedey 15

D-Mac 8

Cam 5

Scut/Lowrie 10

Misc Other 10

 

Something like that.

[Dojji]

I like Lowrie, but he isn't a base stealing threat, and Scutaro's 36 and only stole 5 in 150 games last year and has only cleared 10 SB once in his life. Expecting 10 between is ambitious.

 

Also when it comes to all of Lowrie, Pedroia and Ellsbury I'd like to see them take it a little easy on the basepaths for the first couple months until we know they're 100% healthy and the extra physical risks won't do them in. And certainly Ellsbury in particular should not be sliding headfirst.

[SoxFanForsyth]

Sorry - My post probably wasn't very clear.

 

I meant that Lowrie and Scutaro will combine for 10 SB, not 10 individually.

[BSN07]

I like Lowrie, but he isn't a base stealing threat, and Scutaro's 36 and only stole 5 in 150 games last year and has only cleared 10 SB once in his life. Expecting 10 between is ambitious.

 

Also when it comes to all of Lowrie, Pedroia and Ellsbury I'd like to see them take it a little easy on the basepaths for the first couple months until we know they're 100% healthy and the extra physical risks won't do them in. And certainly Ellsbury in particular should not be sliding headfirst.

 

Same can be said for Pedroia. He will be moving base to base for awhile.

[EXman369]

Yeah Pedroia should still be able to hit 10, and hopefully Cameron can give us 10 as well even though its a tad of a stretch it would be nice seeing him run at the bottom of the lineup.

 

I do expect Ells and Crawford to both break 50 hopefully Ells can get his legs under him by late May and then really start to shred the base paths. Regardless of what happens we should be in the top 5 for SB in all of MLB i love the thrill of hearing the announcer yell that some one is taking off.

[RedSoxfanforlife305]

Michael Bourn' date=' Rajai Davis, Scott Podsednik, and [b']Juan Pierre[/b] are all legit contenders.

 

I'm going to go ahead and say Ellsbury SB + Crawford SB > 100. And if neither of them lead the league, that's fine, they'll both be in the top 5.

 

Yeah!:thumbsup:

[SoxFanForsyth]

Yeah!:thumbsup:

 

Wait. Are you mocking me?

 

He stole 68 last year, and lead the league.

[Palodios]

I doubt it. My first guess would be that Pierre is on his fantasy team.

[RedSoxfanforlife305]

Wait. Are you mocking me?

 

He stole 68 last year, and lead the league.

 

No haha he's my favorite player.