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JoeBrady

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Everything posted by JoeBrady

  1. JoeBrady
    The other Raffy.
  2. JoeBrady
    I'm unaffected by it. I care more about being right, and about as importantly, why I am wrong. IRT the WAR/$$$, because of the way players are paid, the model is not linear. The current salary structure pays veterans far better than they pay kids. The correct comparison for Montgomery would be other minimum wage players. The correct comp for Ceddanne is likely other young-ish players with long-term contracts. The correct comp for Crochet is likely other FAs. There are always some cross-over, but you can never compare a high-priced FA, like Alonso for example, to a 3rd year player like Busch for example, on a WAR/basis.
  3. JoeBrady
    If this was real life, I'd use 3%. If this was BB, I'd use 5% minimum, and have 6% in the back of my mind.
  4. JoeBrady
    I agree 100%. I'd extend him for Raffy's price tag.
  5. JoeBrady
    Sure. TBH, a lot of posters complain about people getting paid. But he had less than 600 career ABs at that point. Some posters felt like he hadn't proven himself. And the $340M/14 he received absolutely dwarfed Acuna's $100M/8 extension.
  6. JoeBrady
    That's as important a point as one could make. That and the fact that you are betting on character. When Tatis extended, a lot of people complained that $24.3M AAV was crazy high. That's not even AS money now, and ten years from now, it'll look closer to average-player salary.
  7. JoeBrady
    No extension is necessary. Waiting can save you or cost you money. I think Mayer is a more relevant discussion. If we extend him now, we make a much bigger gamble. But that's offset by the fact that he might sign at Ceddanne prices. If you wait until he proves himself, and he comes in with 20/20/.275 and good fielding numbers, then that price tag increases significantly. Anyone want to extend MM cheaply? I would.
  8. JoeBrady
    IMO, the conversation has gone sideways. There is no moral high-ground like something is good or something is bad. It's more like any FA contract you sign. You can like it or not like it, but there will always be some signings that work out great and some that work out badly. Currently, imvho, we are way ahead on Raffy, ahead on RA, slightly ahead on Bello, well ahead on Whitlock, and behind on KC. IRT to timing, imo, that's a 0-sum game. If you wait for 2 years, and the kid doesn't progress, smart move, you saved money. If the kid does progress, then bad move, you lost money. We didn't extend Abreu and lost money. We didn't extend Casas and saved money.
  9. JoeBrady
    Nice addition for $1M.
  10. JoeBrady
    Why are you comparing Montgomery, who will be lucky to start in AAA for the WS, to Raffy? And FG projects Monty for a 0.0 WAR.
  11. JoeBrady
    Nothing to do with Ohtani, but you should open up your statement each month and scan it for withdrawals. Even if you are dealing with the most reputable banks in the world, accounts do get hacked occasionally. And scanning your statements is a one-minute job requiring no financial sophistication.
  12. JoeBrady
    Monty still has a 5/0 K/W in ST. He has one HR, but I have no idea who he hit it against. In AA, he had 1 HR in 125 ABs, with 41 Ks. If it was me, I wouldn't even open him up in AAA.
  13. JoeBrady
    So, just using random numbers, if you thought you had $16,000,000 in your account, and you signed on and saw -0-, that would likely raise some issues for you?
  14. JoeBrady
    I wouldn't mind at all. Having Italy and Mexico move on is good for the sport overall.
  15. JoeBrady
    On here, sure. But you have to consider the universe of possible SP signings that the RS might've considered. I thought Monty + Snell was the way to go.
  16. JoeBrady
    Nothing better in the world (especially for Da Bears) than trading a king's ransom for the overall 1/1, and not even being sure who you want to draft. Tepper might be a brilliant guy, but you have to know when to stay in your lane.
  17. JoeBrady
    They should've signed: Burnes $210M/7 Monty $47M/2 Snell $137M/5 Walker $72M/4 Manaea $75M/3 Cobb $15M/1 Verlander $15M/1 Scherzer $16M/1 By my estimation, they'd have added a record of 24-34 last year, for a bargain basement price tag of $170M.
  18. JoeBrady
    I always assumed he'd take Romy's slot on the 26. He has serious bench value.
  19. JoeBrady
    You're being conned. I have a Nigerian prince that's going to pay me $52M (in gold), as soon as I send him $100 for customs. Hard to believe that people fall for these things. In the old days, when we had fax machines, a group of us would grab the scam E-mails on Monday morning to read them over coffee.
  20. JoeBrady
    Does Gasper have any shot? Good ST and a switchhitter.
  21. JoeBrady
    We have a much different team now, but I would still be interested in him.
  22. JoeBrady
    One of my co-workers told me his brother use to prepare accounting reports for someone in the Forex department. They got along well, so the forex guy asked him if he wanted to change jobs. He went from being an $80k accountant to being a $300k currency trader. Back when that was real money.
  23. JoeBrady
    From The Rolling Stone Yet perhaps most remarkable was the speed at which the matter was seemingly resolved. Acting with uncharacteristic swiftness, the federal government issued a scathing criminal complaint against Mizuhara just three weeks later — on April 11 — that supported Ohtani’s narrative. The Feds usually move at a snails pace.
  24. JoeBrady
    You haven't checked your account in 30 years? Just imho, that's not something I'd recommend. I don't check my account every day, but I update my spreadsheets once a week. It keeps me apprised of how I'm doing, as well giving me a chance of catch anything unusual. How do you even know how much you have in the account? Or what you are invested in?
  25. JoeBrady
    Yeah, but NY is where QBs go to disappear, only to re-emerge elsewhere as a star.
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