5GoldGlovesOF,75
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Everything posted by 5GoldGlovesOF,75
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Come on, Sox fan... Martin Perez!
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Also worth considering what price franchises put on assembling rosters of employees who will help unify morale, respect authority and not publicly shame the organization.
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I actually found some interesting stats on bref in the "Pitches" category under Pitcher Comparisons... ... for Kimbrel (2010-20), Barnes (2014-20) and Uehara (2009-17). Strike %: Kimbrel 64.3, Barnes 61.6, Koji 70.9. 1st Pitch Strike %: Kimbrel 59.7, Barnes 57.9, Koji 68.0. 3-0 counts seen: Kimbrel 102, Barnes 61, Koji 38. 0-2 counts seen: Kimbrel 782, Barnes 333, Koji 658. 3-pitch Ks: Kimbrel 203, Barnes 56, Koji 125. And my favorite: 4-pitch walks: Kimbrel 40, Barnes 22... Koji Uehara 4. Just for perspective, I looked up Eckerlsy (1975-1998)... 72.1 and 69.7; 3-0: 68; 0-2: 1,013; 3-pitch Ks: 163; 4-pitch walks: 11... in 24 years.
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Great stats. Koji was a machine, but a quietly efficient machine; we could hardly hear a hum -- so easy to take for granted. The other traumatic event that maybe can't be traced as much is when erratic relievers allow baserunners to advance or even score on wild pitches. WPs don't even have to result in a hit or walk -- pitchers can still retire the batter -- after serious damage done. Lester was tough in the postseason, but Cubs fans had to be horrified in Game Seven of the '16 WS when he came in and bounced two runs home on the same wild pitch! To his credit, he bought everyone in Chicago a beer when he left town last autumn.
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Yup, there's certainly a difference between giving up weak contact or getting tagged. My suggestion of WHIP was more an accounting for guys missing the strike zone.
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That reminds me of another issue guys like Kimbrel and Pap had -- coming into tie games, as opposed to starting with the lead. It almost felt like some of the intensity was missing, or had to be rationed, if there was no personal stat to nail down ("Holds" can't be worth as much as saves at negotiating tables... or in nightclubs).
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Regarding blown saves, no matter the inning, here's a take from a fan watching from home and a player watching from a distance farther from the plate (I don't play catcher): any reactions of disappointment or disgust -- if the guy is getting paid -- are weighted more towards relievers walking batters versus giving up hits. Guys here often admit ERA is deceiving for relievers, who aren't penalized for allowing inherited runners to score. Even batting averages don't show the wildness dreaded by spectators off and on the field. Maybe WHIP is a better stat?
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Everything Moon and Jax have been saying about this topic makes total sense, and I don't know why any organization wouldn't take all those factors into consideration when evaluating such a prospect.
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To me, there are levels of distress in the 9th. If a closer blows one because a smart hitter went with a low and outside pitch for an oppo double, then the other guys beat us. But if a pitcher suddenly can't hit the side of a barn, starts bouncing curves and throwing heaters over the backstop, and walks the house... then we beat us. For fans and teammates, that is abject horror.
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So he recorded over 6,000 outs with the Ms... that's the kind of warrior that WAR could go to WAR with. Jamie Warrior...
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Acquiring "established" closers can also be a crapshoot. Whether you're investing money or prospect capital, it would seem most important to get a guy on his way up -- and not in the other direction. At about the same free agent contract, Hendriks in his prime seems safer than Papelbon past his. But didn't Edwin Diaz look like a good get at age 25? What did Seattle know that they didn't tell the Mets?
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Right, at least that's not subjective...
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But I'm sure there are those who will insist that choosing a top-rated prospect is a total crapshoot, and has absolutely nothing to do with who his father is.
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I don't know why, but for some reason I may trust the wisdom of Al Leiter in teaching his son how to actually pitch and not just enhance the speed of his fastball.
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Rocker and Leiter both dominated yesterday. Leiter flirted with 100 mph on the Vandy radar gun. Hill had great stuff, too, this week, so no current concerns about past arm strain. These guys have the next four or five months to showcase abilities and set the draft order.
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The Boone brothers discussed the topic while announcing the '17 World Series when McCullers Jr. was pitching to Cody Bellinger.
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That means David Price should be Cy Young because he took the whole season off. What about all the players whose bodies were just warming up. It's only a good point if we also consider that those who sucked may have just had slow starts. And I am not defending the 2020 Sox. But all these arguments that certain players are no good anymore because of their '20 stats could also be used to dismiss guys who were great. In August of '73 -- after 108 games -- the Mets were dead last, 11.5 GB. They won the NL pennant and made it to Game Seven of the World Series.Ya Gotta Believe...
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They won't admit it, but they're no different than any other club whose pitching staff strains every fiber in their shoulders and elbows one month longer than usual to finally win it all. Bauer might never be as good again as in 2020. But if a few youngsters burst onto the scene, like Josiah Gray, they could still repeat.
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It's all good as long as we all admit that we're all guessing what will happen, even those armed with stats. Think the Dodgers are a sure thing again? How many NL teams that won the World Series the past 100 years do you think felt confident that they'd repeat? Almost all of them? Only one actually did go back-to-back (hint: they beat the Red Sox, and the next year beat the Yankees).
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Not in the Houston games I've watched. There's also this: Correa = positive dWAR for six seasons; Bogaerts = negative dWAR for six seasons. Correa did move to third on the Puerto Rican tournament team that Cora GMed (but it was so Lindor could play short).
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If things go as bad as wishful Yankee fans think, one or two of the latter three guys on your list will be wearing different uniforms.
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That clever analytics dept., using the dead-pull righty shift. No one is moving anywhere this season while Cora seeks to rejuvenate his boys. If the team is somehow brutal again, and Devers leads the MLB in Es again (his bat was so "bad" last year that he was still a positive WAR), and X's range grows more brittle, then -- and only then -- might Bloom initiate Plan B... which may include moving positions, moving players to other clubs for mega-prospects, and actually signing a big-money free agent star for the infield a year from now.
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I remember how terrible he was in '18, cranking the three-run homer off Verlander that won the pennant, then delivering the clutch pinch-single in the 9th to drive in the winning run in Game Four of the World Series.
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Wait -- did the Red Sox announce they are moving X to third this year? Who's playing short? Where is Devers playing? I also seem to recall when Bogie first came up and played third for about a month, he won a World Series.
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Leiter. In the MLB, these sons of the fathers that make it are often good bets: Bonds, Griffey, Fielder?, Tatis, Mahomes (wha?)... grandson of Yaz... with the Toronto trio and Witt Jr. on deck. Would anyone gamble a future pick on D'Angelo Oritz?
