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5GoldGlovesOF,75

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Everything posted by 5GoldGlovesOF,75

  1. 5GoldGlovesOF,75
    The thing to remember most about ERod after his career year is that in the first pre-Covid Spring Training of 2020, he looked great. We're talking All-Star dominance, mowing down hitters in mid-season form. There didn't seem to be any up-and-down inconsistent nibbling -- just progressive improvement. And then by summer, no one was worried about issuing walks, when he wasn't even allowed to go for a walk. Can ERod -- still not 30 -- fully recover and regain that combined confidence and peak physical form? Why not.
  2. 5GoldGlovesOF,75
    Hated by fossil fools, but sung by newbreed Sox fans who know all the words to "Mr. Brightsides": Destiny Is calling me...
  3. 5GoldGlovesOF,75
    Let's see: according to bb-ref, Chris Taylor's "career-to-date (may be incomplete)" earnings = approximately $18 million. He's in his 30s and was just offered another $18+ mil for one season... by his club where he won a ring two years ago and just made the All-Star team for the first time. Despite his versatility he was also a negative DWAR, and the only category he's ever led the league in is strikeouts. It is quite possible that a year ago -- when Taylor finished a season where he made $5.6 mil -- that he would've taken an offer of $18 mil for the next three years.
  4. 5GoldGlovesOF,75
    ... unless there's just one club willing to spend $30 mil plus a draft pick for Taylor (probably not). But can he at least be this winter's Kike and get the same AAV, like $21 mil for three? It's not much more than the QO -- but a couple million to a guy in his 30s at his peak earning power? Would Bloom offer that, plus a pick? Take the QO, Chris...
  5. 5GoldGlovesOF,75
    ... and yet, with $60 mil earned by age 32, why would anyone ever need to work again in his lifetime? How much is the interest alone on even $40 mil -- I really have no idea, and just threw out that number considering agent fees, taxes and living large expenditures.
  6. 5GoldGlovesOF,75
    But is that good or wellian?
  7. 5GoldGlovesOF,75
    For a minute there, I thought you were describing a guy tripping over the bag jogging to the outfield before an inning...
  8. 5GoldGlovesOF,75
    Yahoo coverage of the Arizona Brawl League: https://www.yahoo.com/news/minor-league-prospects-brawl-arizona-011450776.html Wonder if this will carry over on the day Winckowski pitches against Pittsburgh in the 2025 World Series... Is this an indictment of Josh Winckowski's mound control or self-control -- or a display of heavy mettle for future foxhole battles that someday matter? "No idea," said Dave Dombrowski, taken entirely out of context for this post.
  9. 5GoldGlovesOF,75
    The QO also limits the teams that would be interested in signing a good but not great starting pitcher. A club like Boston with a CBO like Bloom may prefer a Stroman over an ERod simply because the cost is only money and doesn't also include losing a draft pick. This is what JD is up against more than ERod: why sign a guy like JD in his mid-30s for $20+ mil, plus a draft pick, when you can sign a younger Schwarber and keep your pick.
  10. 5GoldGlovesOF,75
    Good research. It explains why a club like Detroit may make a serious bid for Correa, who has past success playing for Hinch, plus would be a star to lead a team with good prospects (from past high draft picks) to the brink of contention. It also shows why a lot of clubs might be inclined to wait until after the new CBA is in effect -- if new tax/penalty terms are better for clubs signing free agents...
  11. 5GoldGlovesOF,75
    Duran needs to play, whether it's in Fenway, Worcester or a Boston rec league.
  12. 5GoldGlovesOF,75
    I think -- and I have no evidence whatsoever, so this is just my opinion -- that free agents who don't come with QOs (because they accepted them a year ago or were traded midseason) will be among the most attractive -- and possibly sought after -- if Bloom is shopping this winter. That could include Graveman, Stroman, Gausman, Scherzer, Rich Hill, Kris Bryant, Jorge Soler and Starling Marte.
  13. 5GoldGlovesOF,75
    And yet, even with your statements that you're very, very confident about, I'm still wondering if the Sox will trade Duran this offseason -- which you, yourself, have proposed a few times already. I don't recall posters fantasizing about Duran as a bench player, but I do know that I've said he at least needs to be part of a regular platoon in the majors or back playing everyday at Triple A. We all agree it would be great if Duran becomes what the team's CBO has predicted: a very good MLB player. Hopefully, that's in Boston, where speed is a rarity on the roster. Adding a guy like Locastro -- who led the MLB in Statcast sprint speed in '19 and '20 -- is two steps in the right direction... if Locastro doesn't lose a step recovering from his injury and makes the 26-man next Spring.
  14. 5GoldGlovesOF,75
    I wonder if this acquisition may be a hint at a possible trade involving Duran? If not, Locastro fills the PR role off the pine, so that Jarren can still play everyday in Triple A. Locastro has little power potential, so he doesn't exactly make Duran redundant, but if the slow-poke Sox are determined to get faster, they may as well start by adding the fastest runner in the big leagues.
  15. 5GoldGlovesOF,75
    Agreed that the first four slots are priorities. If just two of them come via free agency, does that max the budget and prevent signing a DH or extending an All-Star infielder (unless Henry doesn't care about the as-yet new CBA limitations...)?
  16. 5GoldGlovesOF,75
    It's logical that arms get tired throwing pitches in any era, but it's not coincidental that the only .400 hitters in history roamed the Jurassic Era, when starting pitchers regularly faced lineups four or even five times a day. Ted Williams admitted as much, because relief pitchers in his day were mostly mop-up guys not good enough to start; plus, very few pitchers ever threw over 90 mph (except Bob Feller).
  17. 5GoldGlovesOF,75
    Should starters now get paid two-thirds of what they used to make? Do middle relievers deserve a raise, depending on how many batters they retire in comparison to closers? Maybe pitching staff budgets should be based on piece-work for some kind of 27-out ratio. Is it unreasonable to expect some analytics departments working with GMs or CBOs on such a breakdown when planning offseason strategies?
  18. 5GoldGlovesOF,75
    I agree, especially if a universal DH drives up the price for guys like JD, Schwarbs, Nick C, Cruz, etc. Sluggers are not a priority on a team with thin pitching. Merloni said this week he doesn't think the Sox will end with either JD or Kyle from Waltham.
  19. 5GoldGlovesOF,75
    He's always spent sensibly -- or at least tried to make sensible moves. Which makes more sense in building a sustained contender: four years for Stroman or Gausman, or two for Scherzer? And to those ends, do any longterm offers to a DH make sense? For example, an extension for JD or $75 for five years to Schwarber?
  20. 5GoldGlovesOF,75
    From everything we've seen so far of Chaim Bloom: to go further in the postseason a year from now, he'll spend payroll on more roster depth, instead of paying big bucks to one old pitcher who broke down in this postseason.
  21. 5GoldGlovesOF,75
    Hope so, but we might not know so until the owners and players shake hands (which is now just a metaphor for dap fists, in this day and age).
  22. 5GoldGlovesOF,75
    Patience may be a strategy based more on market uncertainty with the CBA. For all we know, Bloom may have been hired by Henry -- who is on the board of directors for the owners -- in part, at least, to get the Sox through these tricky times. Knowing that chief competitors have controllable young stars won't force Bloom to offer "large market contracts" (such as those projected on Bleacher Reports) to older, more established players.
  23. 5GoldGlovesOF,75
    Braves were also missing All-Star starter Soroka (injured himself) and NL home run and RBI champ from a year ago, Ozuna (injured another). But somehow, all four outfielders grabbed by the deadline came through. Atlanta finished first four years in a row, sometimes with arguably better teams than this season (the Braves won 97 in '19). But it finally all came together at the right time. Red Sox management knows it could spend big this winter to upgrade for '22, and trade for better reinforcements next summer, and still not repeat the magic of '21 next October. A better bet is that clubs like Tampa and Toronto will stay dangerous because they currently boast the best young players, at least in the AL East. That reality could cause continued patience from Boston's front office... and impatience with its fans.
  24. 5GoldGlovesOF,75
    So according to this source, small market contenders in Tampa, Oakland and Seatttle, plus zero Central Division teams cannot or choose not to spend on "Top 10" talent... How many of the "not mentioned" guys can Boston afford to add in one winter: a starter, a closer, a hitter, and a multi-position infielder?
  25. 5GoldGlovesOF,75
    ... especially if robos use cameras from the side and call strikes in 3D... A hitter who plants his back foot on the far transverse chalk line of the batter's box (like coaches instruct players to do vs. fast pitchers and umps with high zones) can be standing 12-24 inches behind the farthest point of home plate... and then the catcher catches the pitch behind the hitter. https://groundskeeper.mlblogs.com/how-to-layout-homeplate-6477ddaa457b
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