After April 30, the Sox will have played 31 games (barring rainouts). If they want to be 15-16 at that point, they need to go 12-7 (.631 pace) . 16-15 obviously takes 13-6 record(.684 pace) from here on. The 108-54 season was a .667, and the 11-3 playoffs/WS was a .785. This is essentially the same team, discounting Leon, Kimbrel, Kelly , so they could get just below or above .500 with results mimicking 2018's season pace. Easier said than done , but then they did go 17-2 in the same timeframe last year.