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Hugh2

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Everything posted by Hugh2

  1. Hugh2
    I don't think the Sox intended on handing Tracy the job long term, but they'd be stupid to not be thinking about it now, but it can wait until the offseason. Managers, like players, can be rookies.....and sometimes those rookies are ROTY All-Star types. Yes, he's been helped out by players performing better but I think he's done a helluva job and would love to see him get a chance to manage this team long term.
  2. Hugh2
    Statistically I understand this comment, but Campbell and Arias are not the same. Even when Campbell was lighteing up AA/AAA there were questions about a hole in his swing, where's Arias makes better contact. Also, Campbells long term defensive home was in question where's Arias is an elite defender at SS. He's going to get more rope in the majors because he can play a premium position well. I'm all for waiting on him for next year, not rushing him, and nothing is a sure shot, any prospect including Arias can fail but he seems like a safer bet than Campbell was. Campbell.........might still be a MLBer one day.
  3. Hugh2
    Agreed, we are trading future value for present value, if the Sox win a WS the next two years it’s worth it. another reason I don’t like that line of thinking is I think it sets us up to root for the guys we traded away to fail. They have to fail for us to win!!!! You want those guys to succeed, then other teams are going to want to trade with you. Also, it means you can draft and develop guys and if you keep on doing that well you will replenish the pipeline
  4. Hugh2
    Exactly!!!! tradng isn’t supposed to be a zero sum game.
  5. Hugh2
    Yes, but for the Red Sox you judge it by what Adley does. a bird in hand is worth two in the bush, hypothetically the team buying should always be losing the trade. the Red Sox should be trying to win playoff games not win the trade 15 years from now.
  6. Hugh2
    I think this is the absolute worse way to evaluate a trade. everyone is trying to get value, you have to give up something to get something. It’s not about trying to trade guys who will bust but rather bring in guys who will help your team. the Rutchman trade should 100% be judged by how well Adley performs for this team.
  7. Hugh2
    Do we resign Gray? I would have said no before this year. I certainly wouldn't want to go long term but if he's open to two years I don't know why we shouldn't at least entertain it. If Crochet comes back strong the rotation looks very good for the next couple of years.
  8. Hugh2
    I think it's completely unfair to compare Valera to Perales, because they're two completley different people but I have to be honest with you, I made the same exact comparison in my head. Valera doesn't have a history of injury, but he's also young and inured. So is this the beginning? or what. That's the problem with guys this young, the bar of what he may or may not be is still very wide.
  9. Hugh2
    That's not my expectation, that's about what I think his offensive ceiling can be if he's healthy.
  10. Hugh2
    Narvaez has a .479 OPS, that's over a .200 point jump. That's huge, and I'd also say that Rutchman is capable of doing a lot more than what his offensive line has shown this year. His ceiling is a .750-.800 OPS guy, and considering his elite on defense.........there's just a very very very very small pool of guys who compete with that and I'm not sure a single one of them is for sale right now. The question with him will be health. That's my concern.
  11. Hugh2
    I've been pleasantly surprised with how well Anthony and Story have hit since coming back. I always had a lot of faith in Roman panning out, and I always thought Story was good when healthy. I just thought the odds of either being rusty or reinjured was high and didn't expect them to hit the ground running.
  12. Hugh2
    I never thought he was going to repeat his 2024 season, but I thought he could have his second best season some year, this year perhaps.....perhaps I was wrong.
  13. Hugh2
    And just like that it looks good again.
  14. Hugh2
    I'm not as worried about the lack of pitching as I've been in years past. In the past we didn't have pitching because we couldn't draft or develop it. This year the team is littered with pitchers we've either developed or pitchers/hitters who are contributing that we used pitching prospects to acquire. As long as they can keep that developmental pipeline going......they will be fine. Valera is interesting, because if you go by his pre injury reports you could easily see him having top prospect potential givin the quality of his stuff. However, coming back from injury we will have zero ideal what he will look like. Going back to my point on the player developmental pipeline, it will be interesting to see how this system ranks next year around this time.
  15. Hugh2
    I mean I get it, but 3 at bats each? i'm not going by his numbers vs. those guys....I'm bringing him up when he's ready. If he's good to go I say the sooner the better. If he needs time to adjust start that clock now before the playoffs.
  16. Hugh2
    I believe that is only if he is released, which he would have to pass thru waivers first to do. Otherwise if a team claims him a trade would likely be worked out. I would imagine in said scenario a team is going to want serious salary relief
  17. Hugh2
    It depends. A player can't overstay his rehab assignment, the team has to make a roster move. They could option him if he has options remaining but they would need Story's consent to do so. I see zero reason why Trevor would consent to that. If he did he would have to wait at least 10 days before he could be recalled, the only exception to this would be if someone else got injured and went on the IL; Story could take their place If they place him on waivers and a team claims him they could be responsible for the contract but any team claiming him is going to want salary relief, likely most of his contract. If they can't work out a deal he is DA'd and the team has 7 days to trade him If he passes through waivers, and he refuses assignment the club has to release him. If he is released, and another team claims him the Red Sox are responsible for his entire contract. I could be off a little bit, but generally I believe this is how it goes. The most likely scenario is Story remains with Boston.
  18. Hugh2
    I have maximum faith in Roman Anthony long term, but I'm not very confident he's going to hit the ground running. I'm not betting against him, but he could be very rusty. Shaking off the rust in AAA is good, but it's still not MLB pitching.
  19. Hugh2
    That's the thing though, the free agent market is not looking very good next year. Sure there's always a few decent names but if you want to add one it's increasingly year after year looking like you need to trade for the guys you want. And the guys we want are going to cost us Tolle/Anthony/Rafaela type of players. A 1-1 deal like the Early for Mead are what we are going to need to bring in high end talent, because it just doesn't exist in the minors for us....UNLESS we are willing to part with Arias.
  20. Hugh2
    Problem is, where are you going to get those guys? I think you'd have to go to the trade market for a 1 & 3. I think you can get a good depth option starting pitcher or mid rotation guy in FA. I'd be pretty happy seeing if Sonny Gray wanted to resign and roll out Crochett/Gray/Tolle/Suarez/Bennett next year. And we will also have option such as Bello/Crawford/Houck/Oviedo+ not that I'd put a ton of stock into those 4, but I bet one of them emerges as an important contributor in 2027. And seeing what the pitching staff has done this year.....I'd be very very very curious to see what someone like Oviedo looks like healthy, working with our pitching department. Honestly, besides some depth pieces, the only thing we may really need this offseason is an elite relief pitcher. Whether or not Chapman still has it next year.
  21. Hugh2
    That's what I would bet on happening.....if I was a betting man.
  22. Hugh2
    I'm not really sure we have the names to lose. We shouldn't expect any big trades this offseason, unless we are subtracting from the big league roster.
  23. Hugh2
    I'd say there's a lot of intriguing guys outside the top 3, certainly some guys who have blue chip prospect ceiling, but there's a greater chance they never reach the majors too; Soto/Valera/Delzine, and we haven't seen the 2026 picks in much action yet. But yeah, the system has taken a hit.....as it should.
  24. Hugh2
    I think a lot of this is the graduations and trades. Prospect evaluaters are always weighing proximity to majors and ceiling. When a lot of guys in the high minors are either graduating or being traded it seems to make sense what is left over at the top are high ceiling further away guys. The way I look at that is I try to see the higher variance. Those guys can all bust, but if more break towards good than bad then we'll look back in a few years and not see the system as being very weak right now at all. I really do like the two guys we have at the top after Arias (Gonzalez/Primera).
  25. Hugh2
    Breslow has traded away 5 of our last 6 first round draft picks (exluding this year for obvious reasons). For many other reasons, looking at the team in Boston and the minors top to bottom. The system is pretty much all his now. At the very least about as much as a system can be after only just a few years.
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