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Hugh2

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Everything posted by Hugh2

  1. Hugh2
    Exactly. Most teams want to sign their top ten picks, because if you DON'T sign one of those guys, that slot allotment is subtracted from your bonus pool. While it does happen from time to time it's relatively rare. The Sox draftees who are high schoolers 1-10 SHOULD sign. Mayer, Rodriguez, McEvleny. After that, you can count on a few HS kids signing, sometimes they take a kid for insurance to see if someone else doesn't sign with the hope that they might be able to scoop them up. Or, to build a relationship etc etc. Sometimes, with some of these kids, they just want to play ball and start their professional careers and it doesn't take much to sign them. Like Brandon Howlett who signed for 180,000 in the 2018 draft 21st round. I'd think with only 20 rounds, you're going to see teams drafting less and less players they can't sign, but I still think you will see 3-4 guys with most teams drafts who do NOT sign.
  2. Hugh2
    I would like to correct myself. Kavadas is an 11th round pick. So I would not be completely shocked if they failed to sign him, but I still think they sign him. Odds are, they don't sign about 3 of these guys, and the odds are those guys are ones who were drafted 11-20. I think there's a small chance they don't sign Fabian, in which case any moved around for him can be thrown at someone else who I don't think will sign but perhaps they drafted as insurance if they did fail to sign Fabian. Like Peyton Green, Hood, Vela.
  3. Hugh2
    I do not know, but the reports I've read on him talks about him having the option of returning to school.
  4. Hugh2
    Are we talking about Jose Berrios? a really good MLB starting pitcher with an extra year of team control Jose Berrios? add in trade deadline premium? The package you would need to land Berrios would make 90% of this thread laugh in disbelief.
  5. Hugh2
    Also, and perhaps more importantly, I believe Kavadas is eligible to return to college and play another year. So he has a little bit of leverage.
  6. Hugh2
    The guy is shaped like Pablo Sandoval, and he's not ever going to play 3B, he might not even play 1B that well. He's 1B/DH profile. He has to hit, and when he fell everyone was taking senior signs rounds 4-10. He will get an above slot deal, in that the Sox will pay him north of $125,000. He probably gets around 225K-400K. EDIT: probably closer to that 225 range.
  7. Hugh2
    I would be absolutely shocked if any of the top 10 picks don't sign. He's signing.
  8. Hugh2
    You have got to really hate your minor league pitching to draft all pitchers. They're going to have to put these guys on rosters which means that either 1/2 of them aren't signing or they're releasing a bunch of guys. Maybe next year they draft 20 hitters.
  9. Hugh2
    A good projection for him is Dalbec at the plate, but the plus defense in CF and speed on the bases give him a much higher floor. If he figures it out at the plate, he has a chance at being more. Worth the risk for a 2nd round pick.
  10. Hugh2
    It will be interesting to see what the Sox do today. Every slot moving forward is $125,000 which means the biggest bonus the Sox can pay anyone here is that number, anything over goes towards their draft cap. So if they take a high school kid and have to throw him 425k to convince him not to go to college $400,000 of that will go towards their bonus pool. With drafts reduced down to 20 picks I think teams are less likely to draft guys who are NOT going to sign, so who they take today could be very telling to what type of bonus demands Mayer and Fabian are going to command. I'm sure they're saving some money with their day two picks, and they will spend their 5% overage but if they aren't taking all guys who look like they will sign for slot then I'll take that as a sign that Mayer and Fabian are getting paid. I think Mayer gets somewhere in the 6.9-8 million range and Fabian gets somewhere around 2.5 million.
  11. Hugh2
    Just saw some scouting video on Elmer Rodriguez-Cruz. I can’t tell why this kid wasn’t regarded much higher, he has the frame and delivery that really makes you dream. He’s a young pitcher though, so it’s a high risk.
  12. Hugh2
    scouts think his swing and miss is related to pitch recognition, he goes up there and guesses. If it's fixable, this is huge. It's a boom or bust pick. Keep in mind, he's highly athletic with speed and scouts think he sticks in the Center. Again, he comes with risk, but he has all star potential.
  13. Hugh2
    On pure ceiling alone I think you can make an argument for Mayer at #1, but they're so close in pure talent and Casas is further along. Proximity to the majors matters. I think Mayer will slot in at #2 on the Sox rankings.
  14. Hugh2
    Show me where the Hatfields hurt you on the doll.
  15. Hugh2
    You did, I read it in one of his scouting reports too.
  16. Hugh2
    Pretty much. He projects to have average power, people are pointing out because he's not a "weight room" guy that if he adds some muscle he may have the opportunity to add plus power in the future. Plus hit, Plus glove, Plus power at Short Stop? Yeah......I'm happy with that.
  17. Hugh2
    I care. I want to see every Yankee prospect bust, no offense. I hope he gets injured, then recovers gets Whitlocked by us and has a great career.
  18. Hugh2
    This is a deep draft, with lots of talent in the later rounds, I'm sure the Yankees are looking to position themselves to take advantage of that.
  19. Hugh2
    The point is he batted .000 against high velocity. You could tell me, "well he didn't see a lot of fastballs" and that just uncovers another knock against him. He didn't see elite pitching in college, he just didn't face any and that's a fact. That doesn't mean he won't turn into a stud, but it is what it is. The sweeney pick is going to play out with what the Yankees do in the rest of the draft, I think they reached for a guy so they can save money. That doesn't mean the scouting department doesn't like him, perhaps they have confidence that he will be fine and develop with time against more advance pitching. But, it was a reach.
  20. Hugh2
    The issue with Sweeney is there are questions if he can hit quality pitching. JJ Cooper @jjcoop36 · 11h Here's the tricky part of this Trey Sweeney pick for the Yankees. Sweeney just didn't get to see many top-notch fastballs this year. He hit .425/.564/.800 on fastballs overall (!). But he hit .000/.250/.000 against 93+ mph fastballs. He only saw 16 of them. None harder than 95.
  21. Hugh2
    Yeah, of course. 22-23 is reasonable for most players. If he's a phenom you will see him sooner, guys will ultimately let you know when they're ready.
  22. Hugh2
    It's tough to say when we can see him. Obviously, you project a high school talent to take a few years longer because of how young they're. Some guys take a few years to progress and then still take another year or so until they're a staple in an everyday lineup. We also see phenoms who reach the majors by the time they're 20. Given his talent and upside, it's not crazy to think we could see him in Boston in 2 years, but we might not see him for 5 years and he still might end up being an all star.
  23. Hugh2
    Jobe is considered the best high school pitching prospect in years. High risk, but very high reward. High school pitchers are the riskiest, but high school hitters are the second riskiest. Same thing with the Mayer pick, hugh risk high reward. Detroit like Jobe, and reportedly had a deal cut with him pre draft. They didn’t budge when Mayer fell, and stayed true to their commitment to Jobe. I respect that. I was a little surprised to see Davis #1 but not completely shocked. It was no secret Pittsburgh wanted to cut a deal at the top and Davis likely gave them the best deal. Leiter at #2 was the most unsurprising thing for me. I found it laughable that teams would be scared off by his “high bonus, drop me off at Boston” demands.
  24. Hugh2
    Anyone is expendable at the right price. I like Downs, he plays all facets of the game well. I hope he fills in at SS soon. I think he’s ahead of Yorke right now. Yorke, has been hitting VERY well down on the farm.
  25. Hugh2
    The crazy thing is winning at the end of last year and falling from 3-4. We thought we were tanking for Kumar. If the Sox were 3rd, they’d end up with Mayer anyways.
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