Hugh2
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Everything posted by Hugh2
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German in 1 year without taking up the 40 man today.
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Yeah, but it’s everytime. He’s lower on the Sox system than everyone just about every year. That’s consistency. It will be interested to see where others rank the Sox
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I also think one can’t discount the timing of Betts extension. $365 million looked a lot more enticing during a time when there was so much certainty in the world and we didn’t even know if there would be a season.
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I agree with Notin here, otherwise we have to compare Betts to Wong/Verdugo and whatever 30.5 million gets you. Which is arbitrary, I could fudge the numbers and chose the contracts that give me negative WAR or 7 WAR. Realistically, it make sense to evaluate the trade through the lens that you traded one year of Betts, because that’s true, and whether or not LA traded for him knowing they would extend him probably doesn’t change the fact that he wasn’t signing an extension here.
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Three points about Keith Laws rankings: 1. This is one man, who hasn’t seen the vast majority of the guys he ranks, opinion. 2. A recent trend we’ve seen in baseball is how much higher value is placed on prospects in the upper minors. The Sox strength appears to be in A ball (Mayer, Bleis, Romero) 3. This is probably the most important one. Keith Law is very biased. He’s not a bad guy, I’ve heard him interviewed many times, he comes on the Soxprospects show sometimes but he is biased. He’s a lifelong New Yorker and maybe that’s a coincidence but he always has the Sox ranked lower than everyone else. It’s like clockwork. You can always count on Law to discount the Sox system compared to everyone else. It’s Laws law.
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And becomes a closer. With a name like that, lord make it happen.
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Odor gave you even platoon splits. He was a career .725-.681 hitter vs RHP/LHP the last 3 seasons Valdez has had much larger platoon splits. 2022 (.598-.388) 2021 (.926-.665) 2020 (.722-.567). Unlike Odor who is maybe a fringey starter, Valdez is a prototypical platoon player.
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I like Valdez, and I think he has an MLB future but I have two big concerns about him. His ability to hit LHP, and his defense. His defense is very subpar, and if he's a blackhole against LHP he's most definitely a platoon bat. I think he will contribute in 2023 but if the Sox are counting on him to play every day at some point for a prolonged period of time I think they are in trouble.
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In the absence of a significant injury in ST I think he absolutely does start the season in AAA
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This is the one area that even a Bloom un-fan has to give him credit for; that bottom of the roster churn. They might turn around and then say he’s allergic to making good moves at the top of a roster. They….aren’t exactly wrong here. I think we can trade German. I don’t think we get much but it will be something. I think. Who knows, maybe not.
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I mean, if you're projecting a future roster several years in the future and only include players under team control you have to pick from guys in your system. At that point in time a lot of your arbitration guys are gone, not resigned, and other contracts have expired, so of course it's going to be 19-year-old kids. The fact that the 2026 roster looks horrible. Now, Whitlock and Bello might take steps forward and maybe someone in the Cruz/Walter/Perales group pops and then that rotation might have potential. It's tough to say. But I think the futures page does a great job of outlining organizational depth and seeing area of needs. Where they look thin in the system in 2026/27 is where they should be focusing on development now. Of course, you can always rob peter to pay paul.
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Also there is this. "Disclaimer: This Future Projected Rosters page is NOT intended to reflect our actual roster projections for future years. These rosters only include players who are under team control for the respective future seasons, and do not account for trades, free agent signings, re-signings, future draft picks, or other acquisitions. These projections only include players under team control for future years (even if in some cases that control is subject to a player option). This page will be updated on a monthly basis."
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Mondesi is an exciting player, not a superstar but he will add a lot of value......for a few weeks. Jokes aside, it's a low risk high-reward gamble BUT what is your plan if he goes down? because given his history that is a massive concern.
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A small market team that doesn't plan on contending could trade for Barnes, in the hopes that he has trade value at the deadline this year. Sox would probably have to eat most of his salary.
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Hope seems like an effective strategy for this team at this point. Maybe they hope he stays healthy long enough for Story to return. If healthy, Mondesi is a great pick up for this team, even if it's only for the first half of the season. This feels like a tall task given his history, but they gave up Josh Taylor for him....so whatevs.
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Does anybody here really have any ideal what his "market" was??? The narrative that the Sox grossly overpaid for him appears to be purely conjecture. In reality, an agent would never leak that kind of information, if anything they would make it seem like other teams were out there bidding up with them. If they get the reputation of blowing smoke at GM's and grossly overstating other offers they'd lose the trust of those front offices. People can say what they want about the John Henrys and the Scott Boras of the world but there is an unspoke business language they all generally follow. From what I've heard, teams often have a general ideal of what other teams are involved in and what they are willing to spend. But no one really knows. If Yoshida is as good as they say he can be here, he would have got double in this market.
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Also, after losing a series to the Yankees, they beat them in the WC game so whatever.
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No, they wanted Story at SS and to extend Bogey. Just because they royally screwed up bringing Bogey back doesn't mean they didn't want him.
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I don't think this is a team that will be playing in October, maybe they compete for a WC if a lot breaks right. But I'd take the over on 78 wins. I'd run to Vegas on that.
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I'm not saying this a great team, but I'd be willing to bet they win more games than they did in 2022.
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2022 season?
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If we are going to critisize not trading guys in hindsight, we shouldn't be critical when guys are traded mid season from a team thats' fighting for .500 Heres a reason to be optimistic on Duvall, who at times had been a pretty darn good player. His value, and offense took a big hit the last two years as his offense was ZAPPED by a wrist injury. We all know how a wrist injury can affect you long-term. David Ortiz came back from one and had a whole sub .800 OPS season and looked like he was falling off a cliff then proceeded to have 7 great seasons afterward. Now I'm by not saying he's going to do that but a full season recovered from a wrist injury should yield much better offensive production. Even last year, as the year went on and he was further removed from his inury his offensive gradually went up. .565 .494 .864 .976 If he can provide average to better defense in the outfield with an ops north of .800 and Kike can stay healthy at 2B. Then Duval/Kike might give you just as much value as Kike/Story. We still need a short stop (or a 2nB)
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Unfortunately I think they are the only one. If Yoshida was a top 100 on another outlet the Sox would be eligible for draft picks depending on how well Yoshida does in the ROY voting. Oh well, they still have Casas.
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Yes, but they could have got under at the deadline if they wanted too. I don’t want to say they went for it but they didn’t give up either. They also didn’t need to reset last year, there’s more pressure to do so. I’m also not saying they definitely will, only that if they did go over and Chose to get under at the deadline….moving those contracts are your best options.
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Yes, Barnes is perfect for my list. I can’t believe I omitted him. I’m not saying we trade ANY of these guys but under certain circumstances it makes sense to move them, and they’re guys you can move to save you money. Devers is omitted. Let’s take Barnes for example. Let’s say he has a good season and is looking like his old self. You can move him for a return and clear out a decent amount of money. If the team is doing poorly this makes perfect sense. It doesn’t make as much sense of you’re in contention, unless the bullpen is VERY good and stocked this year and you can trade Barnes for something you need.