That's what I've been trying to say but you said it well.
I'm not sure there's much difference between Kluber and Eovaldi health wise. I would think Kluber's chance of pitching 200 innings is little better than Eovaldi's. I don't have the figures in front of me.
Bigger issue for me is that anymore the team takes all the risks. Kluber has chance to earn $28M over two years if he meets all of his incentives.
And it's not based on K's, ERA's, or won loss record. It's based strictly on games started and innings pitched. If he gets hurt (think Sale), the team is on the hook for $10M. So if Kluber gets hurt during spring training, the Sox still owes him $10M for doing NOTHING.
I believe that's reasonable.
I like the contract. That and identifying future 'core member' such as Bello and Casas early and buy out at least 2 years of their free
agency. They did that with Whitlock.
Say you give Bello a 8 year deal for $80M starting 2024. That's the type of risks I would take if I'm John Henry.
I'll say it. Players are getting greedy. Many contracts are one sided. Owners have no protection in case of injuries. Incentives based on games played, innings pitched or plate appearance should be utilized more often.