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harmony

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Everything posted by harmony

  1. Is anyone concerned that FanGraphs projects Trevor Story and Marcelo Mayer with 2026 wRC+ of 93 and 90, respectively? https://www.fangraphs.com/projections?type=fangraphsdc&stats=bat&pos=all&team=3&players=0&lg=all&z=1769744686&sortcol=16&sortdir=desc&pageitems=30&statgroup=dashboard&fantasypreset=dashboard Ceddanne Rafaela and Carlos Narvaez come in at projected wRC+ of 97 and 89, respectively.
  2. The Red Sox place five prospects on ESPN's Top 100 list released Tuesday: https://www.espn.com/mlb/story/_/id/47684202/top-100-mlb-prospects-2026-kiley-mcdaniel-konnor-griffin-kevin-mcgonigle-jesus-made
  3. Twin Daily blogger Nate Palmer proposes a catcher-for-catcher trade between the Twins and Red Sox: https://twinsdaily.com/news-rumors/minnesota-twins/a-deal-with-boston-could-twins-ship-ryan-jeffers-out-in-a-catcher-for-catcher-swap-r19672/
  4. https://www.baseballtradevalues.com/valuing-major-leaguers
  5. Harry Ford is the 42nd-ranked prospect at MLB.com after posting a .283/.408/.460/.868 line as a 22-year-old catcher last year at Triple A (4.8 years younger than the league's average age).
  6. Those BTV valuations are puzzling. FanGraphs projects Marcelo Mayer with a 2026 wRC+ of 96 and 1.8 WAR in 122 games after Mayer posted a wRC+ of 80 and 0.4 fWAR in 44 games last year. FanGraphs projects Luke Keaschall with a 2026 wRC+ of 112 and 3.0 WAR in 131 games after Keaschall posted a wRC+ of 134 and 1.6 fWAR in 49 games last year. With 164 days of MLB service, Keaschall is likely headed to Super Two status in two years while Mayer, with 128 days of MLB service, could be on the Super Two cusp in two years. As a result, Keaschall could be more expensive for four seasons before free agency. Mayer, who is four months younger than Keaschall, could be clinging to value as a former top draft pick.
  7. FanGraphs projects Marcelo Mayer with 1.8 WAR and a wRC+ of 96 in 122 games this year after Mayer posted 0.4 WAR and a wRC+ of 80 in 44 games last year. Mayer is projected to walk in 7.3 percent and strike out in 22.7 percent of 525 plate appearances this year after walking in 5.9 percent and striking out in 30.7 percent of 136 plate appearances last year. https://www.fangraphs.com/players/marcelo-mayer/29668/stats/batting
  8. Isaac Paredes is not Eugenio Suarez. Last season Paredes walked and struck out at a 11.4 percent and 17.4 percent clips, respectively, and for his career has clips of 11.1 percent and 17.4 percent. Last season Alex Bregman walked and struck out at 10.3 percent and 14.1 percent clips, respectively, and for his career has clips of 11.8 percent and 13.4 percent.
  9. How many trade partners would be willing to take on Patrick Sandoval's 2026 salary of $12.75 million? Nevertheless, Baseball Trade Values assigns Sandoval a modest surplus value of $5.4 million: https://www.baseballtradevalues.com/trades?page=1&q=sandoval As the Red Sox negotiate the luxury tax thresholds, trading Sandoval for nothing would not save the club $12.75 million in the tax calculation. The Sox would save only the $9.13 million AAV under the left-handers's two-year contract.
  10. Over the past four seasons Ranger Suarez posted an ERA+ of 117 and 12.1 bWAR in 588.1 innings while over the same period Sonny Gray posted an ERA+ of 117 and 11.3 bWAR in 650.2 innings. Suarez overtook Gray with a 4.7-to-1.4 bWAR edge in 2025. The 30-year-old Suarez and the 36-year-old Gray may be trending in different directions. Or not.
  11. If the St. Louis Cardinals can trade Nolan Arenado to the Arizona Diamondbacks, who are on the hook for $5.5 million annually for two years, can the Red Sox trade two years of Masataka Yoshida (and cash) to achieve a similar AAV for the trade partner?
  12. Just Baseball podcasters propose trades of Jarren Duran for Isaac Paredes (and others) and another trade of Wilyer Abreu for Nico Hoerner (and others): https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oEv1aX0Yfcw
  13. Eugenio Suarez, who was traded at the deadline, was not eligible for a qualifying offer. Ranger Suarez, on the other hand ...
  14. In a heartbeat. Kristian Campbell may be hard-pressed to match the career of one-time top hitting prospect Dustin Ackley, another ACC college product who likewise made an MLB debut in his age 23 season. https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/a/ackledu01.shtml Baseball Trades Values likely undervalues Isaac Paredes, although FanGraphs' Roster Resource does not even project Paredes in the Houston starting lineup: https://www.fangraphs.com/roster-resource/depth-charts/astros On Friday Seattle podcasters speculated on Paredes as a Mariner trade target: https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/a/ackledu01.shtml BTW Paredes and the Astros may be headed for an arbitration hearing after failing to agree on a 2026 salary. MLB Trade Rumors projected a 2026 salary of $9.3 million after Paredes earned $6.625 million in 2025. Paredes has filed a salary of $9.95 million, while the Astros have filed a salary of $8.75 million.
  15. After Alex Bregman reportedly signed with the Cubs, numerous proposed Red Sox trades for Astro third baseman Isaac Paredes popped up at Baseball Trade Values: https://www.baseballtradevalues.com/trades?page=1&q=paredes Scroll down.
  16. FWIW in 365 games with the Seattle Mariners, Eugenio Suarez posted a .227/.317/..424/,741 line with an OPS+ of 112. In 715 games with the Seattle Mariners before joining the Red Sox, Adrian Beltre posted a .266/.317/.442/.759 line with an OPS+ of 101. Seattle is a tough place to hit.
  17. AB Part 2. Alex Bregman and Adrian Beltre were 31-year-old third basemen who spent only one year in Boston before leaving town.
  18. Is Wilyer Abreu back from Venezuela after winning a home run derby in Valencia last month? https://worldbaseball.com/the-latest-mlb-players-stuck-in-venezuela-after-maduros-capture-future-of-lvbp-playoffs-serie-de-las-americas-uncertain/ https://worldbaseball.com/amid-military-action-by-the-u-s-venezuelas-lvbp-playoffs-scheduled-to-continue-tonight/ https://bosoxinjection.com/red-sox-news-wilyer-abreu-home-run-derby-kristian-campbell-offseason-update#:~:text=Prospects-,Red Sox News: Wilyer Abreu Home Run Derby%2C Kristian Campbell,Francisco Rentería and Yasiel Puig. The Milwaukee Brewers reportedly are working to bring rising star Jackson Chourio and others back from Venezuela: https://heavy.com/sports/mlb/milwaukee-brewers/chourio-brothers-shining-amid-venezuela-uncertainty/ The projected Red Sox lineup has three Venezuelans in Abreu, Willson Contreras and Carlos Narvaez.
  19. Is Alex Bregman a "done deal" for the Arizona Diamondbacks? https://x.com/AZSports/status/2004602775838359694 https://sports.yahoo.com/articles/alex-bergman-done-deal-arizona-232246453.html https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GQFxnF0sj9c Probably not.
  20. Tjhose stats provide a significant difference in production. And Ryan O'Hearn can play in the field (and is 11 days younger).
  21. The Seattle Mariners were an absolute mess 10 years ago but have posted 90, 90, 88, 85 and 90 wins over the past five seasons (88.6 average) while the Red Sox posted 25 fewer victories with 92, 78, 78, 81 and 89 wins (83.6 average). Last season the Red Sox closed the significant gap of the previous three seasons. The Red Sox and Mariners have reasons to be optimistic about 2026. In last week's preliminary ZiPS projections, columnist Dan Szymborski speculated: "There's a high probability the Mariners enter 2026 with the most projected wins in the American League, at least according to ZiPS." https://blogs.fangraphs.com/2026-zips-projections-seattle-mariners/ No need to address the payroll differences.😉 Today Szymborski concluded: "At least according to ZiPS, the Red Sox have a roster that ought to have them competing with the best in the AL." https://blogs.fangraphs.com/2026-zips-projections-boston-red-sox/
  22. Have the Red Sox adopted the Seattle Mariner model of the past decade?😉
  23. Too rich for the Seattle Mariners IMHO.
  24. Rob Refsnyder is going to Seattle on a one-year, $6.25 million contract with another $250,000 in incentives: https://x.com/ChrisCotillo/status/2003217858822832466
  25. The Red Sox and the Cardinals have been active on the trade market. Is Brendan Donovan next?
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