harmony
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Everything posted by harmony
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Alex Verdugo speaks out about the Red Sox and the offseason:
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FWIW Luis Castillo is guaranteed $91 million over four seasons with a $25 million vesting option for a fifth season. Castillo's $7 million signing bonus was paid within 60 days of the contract's approval but is spread across the life of the contract for luxury tax purposes. The Red Sox and Mariners probably do not match up in a trade.
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Free agents pitchers find Seattle more attractive than free agent hitters so. The Mariners would likely trade Luis Castiilo only for a prearb impact bat to free up payroll to sign a free agent pitcher. Think an interesting trade centered on Cincinnati third baseman Noelvi Marte. BTW Castillo's contract, which has a no-trade clause, guarantees just $91 million over four years with a $25 million vesting option for as fifth year.
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This year the Red Sox got only a combined 13.6 fWAR from their position players, and that total included 5.1 fWAR from the departed Alex Verdugo, Adam Duvall and Justin Turner. Yet focus is on the starting rotation. The Sox have holes to fill.
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Should the Red Sox be aiming to contend in 2024? Or do the obstacles appear too steep this offseason? In other words, should the Sox eschew the high-end market until they’re only a piece or two away from contention?
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MLB commentator Ken Rosenthal names the Red Sox the Dorks of the Week: At 16:30.
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At least the San Francisco Giants reportedly are swinging.
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Sunday's chat at MLB Trade Rumors has a poll on what team will have a "bigger offseason": the Red Sox or the Giants? https://live.jotcast.com/chat/mlbtr-live-chat-17248.html The early results have the Giants at 76 percent.
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Seattle may wait for the signings of top free agent starters sign before determining the trade value of Luis Castillo. Steamer projects Castillo, Blake Snell and Jordan Montgomery -- who were all born the same month -- with 2024 WAR of 3.4, 3.3 and 3.2, respectively: https://www.fangraphs.com/projections?pos=&stats=pit&type=steamer Aaron Nola, who is six months younger than the trio, is projected with a 2024 WAR of 4.2 after signing for seven years and $172 million. Castiilo is guaranteed $91 million over four years with a 2028 vesting option that could bring the total to $116 million over five years. The contracts for Snell and Montgomery should impact Castillo's trade value.
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A Seattle podcast discusses a proposed Mariner trade for Jarren Duran: An astute Seattle fan posted some comps: https://www.marinertalk.com/viewtopic.php?f=3&t=8790&p=274363#p274363
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Jon Lester and Blake Snell may be the best lefthanders to come out of the Puget Sound area. Snell bested Lester in a 2017 matchup: https://www.baseball-reference.com/boxes/TBA/TBA201709200.shtml
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FanGraphs and Steamer project 27-year-old Jarren Duran with 2024 wRC+ and WAR of 98 and 1.3 in 128 games: https://www.fangraphs.com/players/jarren-duran/24617/stats?position=OF Duran this year finally posted a productive partial season after posting a negative 0.4 in each of the previous two years. Seattle is unlikely to have interest.
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In the unlikely event Luis Castillo is traded, Seattle would want an immediate impact bat with multiple years of team control. Kyle Teel's highest value comes at catcher where the Mariners have four more years of 27-year-old Cal Raleigh, who this year ranked third among all catchers with 4.7 fWAR (and third over the past two seasons at 8.8 fWAR).
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No one should defer to this poster's expertise. On anything.
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So would the Mariners but Luis Castillo could help Seattle land a productive bat (when free agent hitters are reluctant to sign with the M's).
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The Mariners might consider trading Luis Castillo to free up payroll to sign free agent lefthander Blake Snell, the Seattle native who reportedly wants to return home. Castillo has a no-trade clause.
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Traffic and parking are challenging but the immediate neighborhood of Oracle Park is not San Francisco's worst. I enjoy walking the 1.3 miles to the ballpark from the Ferry Building to the north. In May the Giants have a nine-game homestand -- including three games against Shohei Ohtani and the Dodgers -- when I'll be in the Bay Area for my two daughters' commencements a week apart.
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Seattle may have some of the same perception issues (although Washington does not have a state income tax).
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Craig Breslow hired as Head Of Baseball Operations
harmony replied to Tedballgame's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
Seattle fans are leveling similar criticisms at Mariner owners. For years the message was that the Mariners would spend for the finishing pieces after developing the cost-efficient young core of Julio Rodriguez, George Kirby, Cal Raleigh, Logan Gilbert, J.P. Crawford, Ty France, Bryce Miller, Bryan Woo, Matt Brash and Andres Munoz. Instead, coming off Mariner seasons of 90, 90 and 88 wins, the owners reportedly are looking to limit payroll. The Red Sox are not the only team with a frustrated fanbase. -
Near the bottom check out the photo of Tyler O’Neill’s father and Arnold Schwartzennegger: https://www.overthemonster.com/2023/12/9/23994595/meet-the-new-guy-tyler-oneill-red-sox-trade-cardinals-analysis
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Minnesota fans compare the trade values of Alex Verdugo and Max Kepler: Verdugo trade good comp for possible Kepler trade? - Minnesota Twins Talk - Twins Daily TWINSDAILY.COM There's been various talk for the last few years about Kepler being traded. The Twins indication that they're going to be lowering payroll in 2024 is the driving factor this offseason while it's previously been about a perceived logjam of corner outfielders, especially ones that hit left handed. ...
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The Seattle Mariners reportedly checked in on Tyler O'Neill, their one-time Top 50 prospect, but apparently dodged the bullet. O'Neill can hang out with fellow British Columbian Nick Pivetta.
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Tyler O'Neill and Alex Vedugo both got benched this year: https://www.si.com/mlb/cardinals/news/cardinals-oli-marmol-benches-tyler-oneill-for-lack-of-hustle-as-tensions-rise-scott7 https://www.si.com/mlb/2023/08/06/boston-red-sox-alex-cora-alex-verdugo-bench-rant
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Cincinnati fans dream of trading second baseman Jonathan India to Boston: https://www.redszone.com/forums/showthread.php?125355-Reds-Trade-And-Free-Agent-Rumours-2023-24-Offseason-II&p=4661477&viewfull=1#post4661477
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Good point. The post has been deleted.