Jump to content
Talk Sox
  • Create Account

harmony

Verified Member
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    6,313

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Profiles

Boston Red Sox Videos

2026 Boston Red Sox Top Prospects Ranking

Boston Red Sox Free Agent & Trade Rumors, Notes, & Tidbits

Guides & Resources

2025 Boston Red Sox Draft Pick Tracker

News

2026 Boston Red Sox Draft Pick Tracker

Forums

Blogs

Events

Store

Downloads

Gallery

Everything posted by harmony

  1. harmony
    One report yesterday said the Red Sox are targeting a June 1 return for Carson Smith: http://www.cbssports.com/fantasy/baseball/news/red-soxs-carson-smith-targeting-june-return/
  2. harmony
    I guess apple-to-apple would be Jarrod Saltalamacchia in November 2009 and Blake Swihart in November 2016. I suspect Saltalamacchia lost value between November 2009 and his trade on July 31, 2010, after playing only two games for Texas on April 5 and 7, 2010. At the time of the trade, Saltalamachia was a 2010 minor leaguer with 63 games at Oklahoma City. In other words, Saltalamacchia's value was higher in November 2009 than it was on July 31, 2010 (although Saltalamacchia missed the end of the 2009 season with a shoulder injury). Swihart's current value is certainly impacted by his June 4 ankle injury that ultimately required season-ending surgery. The injury marked the second straight year that Swihart had been sidelined with an injury at the left ankle or below. As one blogger wrote recently: http://bosoxinjection.com/2016/10/21/red-sox-new-big-bats-spell-doom-blake-swihart-2017/ As I have written, Swihart's performance in the first four months of 2017 should determine whether he has more, less or about the same trade value as Saltalamacchia had on July 31, 2010.
  3. harmony
    At the MLB level, Jarrod Saltalamacchia has a career OPS+ of 93 and a career wRC+ of 92 while Blake Swihart has a career OPS+ of 90 and a career wRC+ of 92: http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/s/saltaja01.shtml http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=5557&position=C http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/s/swihabl01.shtml http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=13176&position=C
  4. harmony
    Compare the minor league slash lines of Blake Swihart and Jarrod Saltalamacchia: BS 1466 PA, .283/.340/.418/.758 JS 1961 PA, .269/.363/.455/.818 http://www.baseball-reference.com/register/player.cgi?id=swihar000bla http://www.baseball-reference.com/register/player.cgi?id=saltal001jar
  5. harmony
    Again, Blake Swihart may evolve into a top-tier catcher ... or not. I would note that at the trade deadline 2017 Swihart will be the same age Jarrod Saltalamacchia was on July 31, 2010, when the Rangers traded the switch-hitting catcher to the Red Sox for Chris McGuiness, Roman Mendez, Michael Thomas and cash. Baseball America once ranked Saltalamacchia No. 18 on its Top 100 prospect list. McGuiness and Thomas are apparently out of organized baseball while the 26-year-old Mendez had a decent 2016 season in the Pawtucket bullpen. Swihart's performance the first four months of 2017 should determine whether he has more, less or about the same value as Saltalamacchia did in 2010.
  6. harmony
    Steamer's early wRC+ projections have Blake Swihart at 86, Devin Mesoraco at 86, Mike Zunino at 91 and Travis d'Arnaud at 100 after the catchers peaked at No. 17, No. 16, No. 17 and No. 17, respectively, in Baseball America's Top 100 prospect rankings through the years. Setting aside any questions above defensive abilities, compare the minor league slash line for each catcher. Swihart may evolve into an All Star catcher ... or not.
  7. harmony
    Blake Swihart has a career wRC+ of 92 in 103 games despite a career BABIP of .357: http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=13176&position=C One system projects Swihart with a wRC+ of 86. That might be an acceptable number for a defensive whiz of a catcher but otherwise the red flags may scare off potential suitors.
  8. harmony
    Jason Hammel probably has not slumped for extended periods like Clay Buchholz has. In terms of best fWAR seasons, Buchholz posted 3.2 in 2015, 3.0 in 2010 and 2.8 in 2013 while Hammel posted 3.5 in 2009, 3.2 in 2010 and 2.4 in 2015. Just for fantasy kicks, read the results of one poll: https://www.fantasypros.com/mlb/draft/clay-buchholz-jason-hammel.php
  9. harmony
    Dexter Fowler is a free agent who reportedly is interested in returning to the Chicago Cubs. http://www.espn.com/mlb/story/_/id/17965945/dexter-fowler-says-become-free-agent-chicago-cubs-play
  10. harmony
    How does the $13.5 million Clay Buchholz option compare with that of Jason Hammel, whose $12 million option for 2017 has been declined by the Chicago Cubs? The 32-year-old Buchholz has been valued at 5.3 fWAR in 423 innings over the past three seasons, including 0.5 fWAR in 139.1 innings this year. Hammel, who is two years older than Buchholz, has been valued at 5.6 fWAR in 513.2 innings over the past three seasons, including 1.5 fWAR in 166.2 innings this year.
  11. harmony
    In trades from the Yankees to the Red Sox in the past 50 years: Kelly Johnson (2014), Jim Mecir (1997), Tony Armas (1997), Don Baylor (1986), Mario Guerrero (1972), Danny Cater (1972) and Elston Howard (1967)
  12. harmony
    Blake Swihart, who turns 25 years old on Opening Day 2017, may well hit well enough for a catcher but I question whether he'll hit well enough to be an everyday position player elsewhere. Compare these numbers for these Red Sox players with limited MLB experience: Swihart, Travis Shaw, Rusney Castillo, Bryce Brentz and Christian Vazquez: BS DOB 4-3-92, 103 G, 90 OPS+, 92 wRC+ TS DOB 4-16-90, 210 G, 96 OPS+, 97 wRC+ RC DOB 7-9-87, 99 G, 82 OPS+, 82 wRC+ BB DOB 12-30-88, 34 G, 84 OPS+, 83 wRC+ CV DOB 8-21-90, 112 G, 64 OPS+, 61 wRC+ After posting strong numbers at High A and Double A in 2012 and 2013, Swihart posted a wRC+ of 77 in 18 games at Triple A in 2014, a wRC+ of 111 in 20 games at Triple A in 2015 and a wRC+ of 91 in 29 games at Triple A in 2016. Contrast those numbers with the wRC+ of 172, 126, 98 and 118 posted by Ryan Lavarnway in more at-bats over four seasons in Pawtucket. Swihart's career may depend on the development of his defensive skills behind the plate.
  13. harmony
    http://www.thecubreporter.com/book/export/html/3511
  14. harmony
    From today's MLB Trade Rumors chat: https://www.jotcast.com/chat?id=1683
  15. harmony
    What is the trade value of lefthander Brian Johnson, who turns 26 in December after posting a 4.09 ERA (4.73 FIP) and 4.21 BB/9 despite a .284 BABIP in 15 starts this year at Triple A? What is the trade value of 24-year-old lefthander Henry Owens, who posted a 3.53 ERA (4.48 FIP) and a concerning 5.30 BB/9 in 24 starts this year at Triple A? Other teams might be done with the southpaws as well.
  16. harmony
    Andrew Benintendi, Michael Conforto and Kyle Schwarber each made the jump to the majors the season after being drafted out of college. Compare their first-year MLB lines: AB 2016 118 PA, .295/.359/.476/.835, OPS+ 117 MC 2015, 194 PA, .270/.335/.506/.841, OPS+ 130 KS 2015 273 PA, .246/.355/.487/.842, OPS+ 130
  17. harmony
    I am 61 years old and neither the Cubs nor the Guardians have won a World Series in my lifetime ... the Cubs have not played in a World Series since I was before I was born. Of course the Dodgers could keep the Cubs out of the World Series ... again.
  18. harmony
    Because not all injuries are of equal severity?
  19. harmony
    Earlier this month the Boston Globe reported on Carson Smith: "After undergoing Tommy John surgery, he’ll probably miss at least half of 2017 too." https://www.boston.com/sports/boston-red-sox/2016/10/03/final-regular-season-red-sox-player-power-rankings-win-dance-repeat The Providence Journal last week reported that Carson Smith "could be an option for the second half of the season." http://www.providencejournal.com/sports/20161013/red-sox-roster-reset-biggest-bullpen-improvements-figure-to-come-from-within
  20. harmony
    Remember when the Carson Smith trade was considered a big deal? http://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2015/12/redsox-trade-wade-miley-mariners.html The jury is still out on that one as the Red Sox await the return of the reliever. Wade Miley posted 0.6 fWAR and 0.4 bWAR in 19 starts for Seattle before being traded for another lefthander, Ariel Miranda, who posted 0.0 fWAR and 0.9 bWAR in 11 appearances with the Mariners. Jonathan Aro posted 0.0 fWAR in one appearance in Seattle while Carson Smith posted 0.0 fWAR in three appearances and Roenis Elias a negative 0.2 fWAR in three appearances in Boston. Smith remains under team control for four years although the righthander is expected to miss the first months of the 2017 season. Elias likely remains under team control for five years (including four arbitration seasons), Miranda for six years and Aro for six years. In the end the trade may have little impact on either team.
  21. harmony
    I expressed this precise sentiment to a Red Sox fan today.
  22. harmony
    For what it's worth, this year the Mariners got 2.5 fWAR and the Red Sox 2.2 fWAR from the catching position. Seattle got 1.2 fWAR in only 55 games from 25-year-old Mike Zunino. The M's would not want to downgrade to Swihart, who is barely one year younger than Zunino, given Zunino's far superior defensive skills. This season Zunino had a wRC+ of 115 and Swihart a wRC+ of 95, albeit in small samples. Zunino's defensive skills rival those of Christian Vazquez, who is older than Zunino. Seattle's Jesus Sucre is Sandy Leon's counterpart while veteran catchers Chris Iannetta and Ryan Hanigan await decisions on 2017 team options. I suspect Seattle is looking to contend in 2017 after finishing fourth in the league in run differential en route to 86 wins this year. A prospect package is not all that attractive.
  23. harmony
    Kansas City infielder Cheslor Cuthbert is working out at second base in the Arizona Instructional League: http://www.kansascity.com/sports/mlb/kansas-city-royals/article105886017.html I suspect the Royals would have some interest in Rafael Devers.
  24. harmony
    To be precise, this year Francisco Lindor posted 6.3 fWAR and 5.7 bWAR while Xander Bogaerts posted 4.7 fWAR and 3.7 bWAR. The 24-year-old Bogaerts remains under team control for three increasingly expensive arbitration seasons while Lindor, who is 13 months younger than Bogaerts, remains under team control for five seasons. As a likely Super Two, 26-year-old Jackie Bradley remains under team control for four increasingly expensive arbitration seasons.
  25. harmony
    A net $39.5 million for one year of Clay Buchholz and four years of Rusney Castillo is too steep a price for two players with a combined age of 61 coming off a season with a combined fWAR of 0.5.
×
×
  • Create New...