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harmony

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Everything posted by harmony

  1. harmony
    In light of luxury tax implications, I question whether the Red Sox would want the $220 million remaining on Miguel Cabrera's contract at $28 million to $32 million a year.
  2. harmony
    I suspect the Red Sox want to avoid the luxury tax implications of Justin Verlander's $28 million annual salary for the next three seasons. Because of the luxury tax implications, Chris Sale is worth more to the Red Sox than the lefthander is to a team that is not up against the luxury tax threshold.
  3. harmony
    I was a big fan of new Yankee Matt Holliday in his prime but ... Compare the 2016 lines of Holliday and another righthand-hitting free agent, Chris Carter: MH 426 PA, .246/.322/.461/.783, OPS+ 107, wRC+ 109, fWAR 0.7 CC 644 PA, .222/.321/.499/.821, OPS+ 114, wRC+ 112, fWAR 0.9 Holliday turns 37 years old in January and Carter turns 30 this month.
  4. harmony
    ESPN columnist Scott Lauber speculates that the Red Sox could pursue Curtis Granderson or Jay Bruce as a lefthand-hitting designated hitter now that Carlos Beltran has signed elsewhere: http://www.espn.com/espn/now?nowId=21-0597083688584352404-4 The problem would be getting either salary under the luxury tax threshold. Granderson is owed $15 million and Bruce $13 million next season in the final years of their contracts.
  5. harmony
    In a Clay Buchholz trade, the trade partner would want to trade a reliever with a surplus value that corresponds with the limited surplus value of Buchholz. If the Red Sox are saving $12 million on the trade the return would be a reliever earning $1.5 million with limited surplus value. That's not a particular good reliever ... probably a pitcher in the back end of the bullpen. MLB Trade Rumors, which has been low on its free agent salary predictions, in early November projected Brad Ziegler with a two-year, $16 million contract. In light of the contracts to Brett Cecil and Marc Rzepczynski, the reliever market may be as heated as the starter market. http://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2016/11/2016-17-top-50-mlb-free-agents-predictions.html
  6. harmony
    Roster Resource typically is a comprehensive website, but it does not list Roenis Elias on the Red Sox depth chart: http://www.rosterresource.com/mlb-boston-red-sox/ ... although Elias remains on the 40-man roster: http://m.redsox.mlb.com/bos/roster/40-man/
  7. harmony
    I suspect the Red Sox have explored the trade market for Clay Buchholz. I wonder what they've found.
  8. harmony
    Perhaps the Red Sox are waiting to shed payroll to stay under the luxury tax threshold before spending big on a free agent.
  9. harmony
    I suspect the luxury tax threshold came into play for the Red Sox. I'm not surprised that Carlos Beltran signed only days after the Collective Bargaining Agreement was settled.
  10. harmony
    Bullpen arms won't come cheap this offseason if the contracts for Brett Cecil and Marc Rzepczynski are any indication.
  11. harmony
    The salaries of Allen Craig and Rusney Castillo do not count against the luxury tax because neither is on the Red Sox 40-man roster. The Red Sox would be fortunate to find a trade partner willing to pay $4 million of Pablo Sandoval's $19 million annual AAV salary. The savings for luxury tax purposes would be limited to the trade partner's contribution.
  12. harmony
    Well, I raised this issue last month: http://www.talksox.com/forum/threads/17583-Clay-Buchholz-Is-he-worth-the-2016-option?p=1038051#post1038051 And I guess I made a brief mention in this post about Rusney Castillo's contract: http://www.talksox.com/forum/threads/17963-Looking-ahead-to-2017/page7 And I offered this response to one of your posts: http://www.talksox.com/forum/threads/17549-A-Realistic-View-at-2016/page155
  13. harmony
    I made a brief mention of Clay Buchholz in a largely unrelated post then responded to your inquiries: http://www.talksox.com/forum/threads/17862-Postseason-Happenings-2016?p=1040101#post1040101
  14. harmony
    That's where the luxury tax is likely to come into play. A team that is not bumping up on the threshold could outbid the Red Sox. Now that Tyson Ross is a free agent an acquiring club won't need to rely on the Padres for his medicals.
  15. harmony
    Neither has great value.
  16. harmony
    Fans want to buy into the hype of their favorite team's young players and I suspect Red Sox fans have not abandoned the early hype on Rubby de la Rosa: http://nesn.com/2013/02/pedro-martinez-thinks-rubby-de-la-rosa-could-become-one-of-baseballs-elite-players/ De la Rosa, who will be 28 years old on Opening Day 2017, has posted only 1.8 fWAR in four years of MLB service (and only 1.2 fWAR since his August 2012 trade to the Red Sox): http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=3862&position=P De la Rosa apparently has concerning health issues: http://www.espn.com/mlb/story/_/id/17653903/rubby-de-la-rosa-arizona-diamondbacks-stem-cell-injection-injured-pitching-elbow
  17. harmony
    Rubby de la Rosa will earn whatever the highest bidder will pay. De la Rosa was projected to earn $3 million in his second year of arbitration.
  18. harmony
    The Diamondbacks have non-tendered Rubby de la Rosa: The non-tender of catcher Welington Castillo could impact the trade market for Boston's catchers.
  19. harmony
    Clay Buchholz has been valued at 7.7 fWAR over the past four seasons, including 0.5 fWAR this year. Andrew Cashner, who is two years younger than Buchholz, has been valued at 8.1 fWAR over the past four seasons, including 0.4 fWAR this year. Cashner got a one-year, $10 million contract but did not cost the Texas Rangers a draft pick. Buchholz has one year and $13.5 million remaining on his contract. A Buchholz trade partner would need to send talent in return unless the Red Sox give him away. Cashner and Buchholz provide an interesting comp.
  20. harmony
    Seattle could offer D.J. Peterson, who was drafted as a third baseman with No. 12 pick in the 2013 draft. Peterson's stock has dropped precipitously since twice being ranked among the Top 100 prospects.😜
  21. harmony
    With a projected 2017 WAR of 1.7 and a 2017 salary of $13.5 million, Clay Buchholz has limited surplus value. The return in a trade might reflect a correspondingly limited surplus value.
  22. harmony
    An SB Nation blogger on the Red Sox and third base: http://www.beyondtheboxscore.com/2016/12/1/13775444/pablo-sandoval-travis-shaw-yoan-moncada-boston-red-sox-third-base
  23. harmony
    I suspect the Red Sox will keep Clay Buchholz and hope his "ace stuff" surfaces for a chunk of the 2017 season. I'm still curious what the Sox would receive in an offseason trade of the righthander.
  24. harmony
    I suspect Seattle would prefer a hitter who posted a positive WAR in one of the last two years. Pablo Sandoval is a pariah whose now lefthanded bat would not play on a lefty-heavy Mariner club that traded for the righthanded bat of Danny Valencia. I question whether Clay Buchholz would get three guaranteed years heading into his age 33 season coming off this year's disappointment.
  25. harmony
    Adding a net $14+ million in annual salary for that return might cause a revolt in the Pacific Northwest. Clay Buchholz would not compensate for three years of Pablo Sandoval at $18 million over one year of Danny Valencia at a projected $5.3 million.
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