harmony
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Everything posted by harmony
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Why can't you ask the question without dropping the f-bomb?
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The Red Sox/Yankee series provided the intro to this piece about pitch selection: https://sports.yahoo.com/slow-down-yankees-leading-change-114640425.html
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BTW, David Phelps was a Golden Domer.
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Reliever David Phelps, in whom the Red Sox reportedly had interest, has been traded from Miami to Seattle for four minor leaguers. https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2017/07/marlins-trade-david-phelps-mariners.html https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2017/07/red-sox-interested-in-martin-prado-david-phelps-package.html
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I thought you had written somewhat fondly of Danny Valencia in the past. As I write the Mariners are 1.5 games back in the race for the second Wild Card slot with a 10-game homestand against the Yankees, Red Sox and Mets coming up. The August schedule, however, is brutal with 20 road games and only seven home games.
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With four Defensive Runs Saved, Danny Valencia is tied with Mitch Moreland and Matt Carpenter for sixth place among qualified first basemen this year: http://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=1b&stats=fld&lg=all&qual=y&type=1&season=2017&month=0&season1=2017&ind=0&team=0&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=0&sort=10,d However, at a -0.1 Valencia has the only negative UZR/150 among the top eight first basemen in DRS.
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The Seattle Mariners, who are almost "near out of it," have first baseman Danny Valencia, who has posted a wRC+ of 109 in his final year of team control. The 32-year-old Valencia has a .298/.353/.475/.829 line in 266 plate appearances since April.
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For what it's worth, ZiPS, Steamer and FanGraphs Depth Charts project Wilmer Flores with rest-of-season WAR of 0.1 in 57 games, 0.8 in 64 games and 0.7 in 67 games: http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=5827&position=3B/SS Flores has a UZR/150 of a negative 6.2 in 893 career innings at third base, including a negative 9.4 in 299 innings this year. The nearly 26-year-old Flores remains under team control for two more seasons working off his 2017 arbitration salary of $2.2 million.
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oldtimer has my support.
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Nelson Cruz remains under team control through the 2018 season.
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Citing batting average instead of on-base percentage evokes the 1950s.
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What prospect could the Red Sox land for Hanley Ramirez, who has posted 0.1 fWAR this year on his annual salary of $22 million? The Sox would likely need to add a prospect to offset the negative value of Ramirez.
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Michael Chavis does not have a long enough track record for the Athletics to trade Yonder Alonso for him.
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This year Rusney Castillo will be paid upwards of twice as much ($11.27 million) as Oakland's top-paid player (Jed Lowrie, $6.5 million). Perhaps if the Red Sox package the 30-year-old Castillo with Rafael Devers.
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Let's not forget 1997: https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/s/slocuhe01.shtml#all_transactions_other
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ZiPS, Steamer and FanGraphs Depth Charts project rest-of-season WAR of 1.0, 1.2 and 1.2 for Todd Frazier and 0.7, 0.8 and 0.8 for Yangervis Solarte: http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=785&position=3B http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=5352&position=2B/3B Because he comes with two more years of team control, Solarte is likely to cost more in trade (for less immediate contribution).
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The win was unlikely because the Red Sox trailed going into the bottom of the ninth inning against an elite closer with an ERA of 2.17 in 408 career appearances.
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The flip side is that Drew Pomeranz surrendered four runs in six innings on Friday evening but the Red Sox managed to grab an unlikely win.
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The Red Sox could bounce back with 10 runs in the nightcap. Baseball has a certain random nature.
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With an on-base percentage of .330 (compared to the .292 OBP posted by Red Sox third basemen this year). Batting average is so rarely cited in player valuations these days. As a side note, the huge new scoreboard at San Diego's Petco Park has so much information that I struggled to find the stats I wanted. But one player stat was conspicuous in its absence: batting average. Times have changed.
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This year Todd Frazier has posted a wRC+ 104 -- with rest-of-season projections of 101, 106 and 103 -- at a position where Red Sox third basemen have produced a wRC+ of 61 this year: http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=785&position=3B http://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=3b&stats=bat&lg=all&qual=0&type=8&season=2017&month=0&season1=2017&ind=0&team=0,ts&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=0&sort=16,d Frazier has an OPS+ of 107 while Red Sox third basemen have an sOPS+ of 63. https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/f/frazito01.shtml https://www.baseball-reference.com/teams/split.cgi?t=b&team=BOS&year=2017 Many Red Sox fans underestimate Frazier's worth. ZiPS, Steamer and FanGraphs Depth Charts have only four Red Sox hitters exceeding the rest-of-season WAR projections of Frazier (who is projected to produce at least at the level of Andrew Benintendi). http://www.fangraphs.com/projections.aspx?pos=all&stats=bat&type=rzips&team=3&lg=all&players=0&sort=24,d
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Will Middlebrooks made improvements in his strikeout rate at every minor league level before making his MLB debut in 2012: http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=7002&position=3B
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Fifty-nine games at High A this year aren't enough to change my mind (or likely the minds of many baseball executives). Michael Chavis' K/BB ratio at High A resembled that of Will Middlebrooks at High A at a slightly younger age.
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Remember the discussion a year ago about how much Drew Pomeranz cost in trade: http://www.talksox.com/forum/threads/17799-Red-Sox-Acquire-Drew-Pomeranz?highlight=diego
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White Sox fans have their ideas about a trade of Todd Frazier to the Red Sox: http://www.soxtalk.com/forums/index.php?showtopic=103296