harmony
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Everything posted by harmony
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Teams have little incentive to place a player on the disabled list after the rosters expand on September 1. Last year Carlos Carrasco was out for the season before September 1 but the Guardians never placed the righthander on the disabled list.
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East Coast rain-outs are particularly frustrating for West Coast teams (which rarely have rain-outs). Despite its reputation, Seattle averaged 7.99 inches of precipitation for the six months from April through September while Boston averages 21.11 inches over the same period. Safeco Field's retractable roof is overused. The average precipitation is closer in October when Seattle averages 3.27 inches and Boston 3.94 inches. Of course the Mariners rarely play October baseball.
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Some posters make meaningful contributions to the forum without even alluding to profanity.
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Bingo ... we have a winner. Jamie Moyer posted 34.6 bWAR for the Mariners, Jason Varitek 24.3 bWAR for the Red Sox and Derek Lowe 19.4 bWAR for the Red Sox.
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To follow up on my trivia question: Happy 21st Anniversary of the Darren Bragg trade!
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FanGraphs prospects columnist Eric Longenhagen scouts the traded Red Sox prospects: http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/instagraphs/scouting-the-mets-return-for-addison-reed/
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Win some, lose some. Trivia: Of the deals made by the Red Sox and Mariners at the trade deadlines in 1996 and 1997, what player produced the most WAR for his new team (by a wide margin)?
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I thought two months of Addison Reed would cost more. Good trade for the Red Sox. MLB Prospect Watch ranked the traded Boston prospects No. 18, No. 23 and No. 28 in the Red Sox system: http://m.mlb.com/prospects/2017?list=bos And it may help my fantasy team by turning the Mets closer role over to newly acquired AJ Ramos.
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That's true. The last team to win 78 games and finish last was the 2006 Seattle Mariners.
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If the Red Sox are willing to give up no more than Michael Chavis the Sox probably can't expect to land a reliever better than Addison Reed (and an offer with Chavis might not be enough to compete with other offers).
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If Dan Shaughnessy's tweet is not correct, David Price should be justifiably angry. Otherwise ...
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Xander Bogaerts has a career OPS+ of 101, including 107 over the past two-and-a-half years: https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/b/bogaexa01.shtml This Seattle fan has pondered the respective trade values of shortstops Xander Bogaerts and Jean Segura, who have each posted 7.0 fWAR since the start of the 2016 season. Bogaerts remains under team control for two more arbitration years, through his age 26 season to his 27th birthday in 2019, working off his 2017 salary of $4.5 million. Segura remains under team control through his age 32 season in 2022 by virtue of a five-year, $70 million extension signed last month. Assuming Bogaerts earns a combined $16 million over the next two arbitration seasons, could he then land a three-year, $54 million contract as a free agent? Considering the qualifying offer will likely exceed $18 million, I suspect Bogaerts would cost more than $54 million for three years. As a practical matter, a 27-year-old Bogaerts would be likely to secure a contract of longer duration. Just some thoughts.
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Two-plus years of Xander Bogaerts, with a career wRC+ of 101, including 96 this season, won't land a huge package. As a point of reference, Eduardo Nunez has a career wRC+ of 94, including 100 this year. In his trade value analysis, FanGraphs columnist Dave Cameron wrote: http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/2017-trade-value-41-to-50/ Current projections have Bogaerts at a respectable 3.5 fWAR this year. http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=12161&position=SS
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http://news.soxprospects.com/2017/07/trade-analysis-scouting-prospects-dealt.html http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/instagraphs/scouting-the-giants-return-for-eduardo-nunez/
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Just as the Red Sox won two of three from the Mariners in Boston earlier this year.
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This week my fantasy team has reaped the benefits of starts by lefthanders James Paxton and Chris Sale in their respective teams' 4-0 wins: JP 7 IP, 0 R, 4 H, 0 BB, 10 K, 103 NP CS 7 IP, 0 R, 3 H, 1 BB, 11 K, 115 NP
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That was my hope.
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Crazy from which side? Justin Bour offers three-plus years of a power-hitting first baseman who this year has posted an fWAR higher than all but three Red Sox hitters (Mookie Betts, Xander Bogaerts and Dustin Pedroia, with Jackie Bradley and Bour tied at 1.8 fWAR). A.J. Ramos offers one-plus years of a veteran reliever who is one year removed from posting an fWAR higher than Craig Kimbrel. Jason Groome and Michael Chavis are distant prospects ranked No. 87 and No. 96 in Baseball America's midseason rankings: http://www.baseballamerica.com/minors/2017-midseason-top-100-prospects-july-7/#FdjsDrA5P8rFLjRU.97
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This Seattle fan's fantasy team had the starting pitcher for the winning team in each of the three games in this series. At least that's a consolation.
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Danny Espinosa, who is making his first start for Seattle today, provides an interesting comp for Eduardo Nunez in that Espinosa and Nunez are 30-year-old infielders who switched teams this week. The trends clearly favor Nunez, although Espinosa has posted 10.6 fWAR in 857 career games while Nunez has posted 3.3 fWAR in 631 career games: http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=9219&position=2B/SS http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=6848&position=3B/SS . Espinosa has posted a negative 0.8 fWAR in 78 games this year while Nunez has posted 1.2 fWAR in 76 games. However, over the two previous seasons Espinosa had combined for 4.0 fWAR while Nunez had combined for 3.8 fWAR. The rest-of-season projections give Nunez a clear advantage. Espinosa has played only 16 career games at third base, where the Red Sox had their greatest need. Earlier this week Seattle signed Espinosa to a prorated league minimum of about $200,000 after the Los Angeles Angels released the veteran infielder. The Red Sox reportedly will pay Nunez the $1.56 million balance on his 2017 contract.
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Robinson Cano gets the day off for Seattle:
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In the August 31, 2016, trade for outfielder Ben Gamel, the Seattle Mariners dealt teenage righthanders Juan De Paula and Jio Orozco: https://www.baseball-reference.com/register/player.fcgi?id=depaul000jua https://www.baseball-reference.com/register/player.fcgi?id=orozco000jio Gamel, the 2016 International League Most Valuable Player, started the 2017 season in the minors but has posted 2.0 fWAR in 78 games with the Mariners. Gamel's current .321/.373/.462/.835 line in 336 plate appearances is bolstered an outlying BABIP of .416. Last night a Seattle radio broadcaster noted that the absence of opponents' defensive shifts against Gamel, who sprays the ball to all fields, likely contributes to Gamel's unusually high BABIP. The Mariners are pleased with the performances of rookie outfielders Guillermo Heredia, Mitch Haniger and Gamel (along with veteran Jarrod Dyson) to the point that Leonys Martin, who posted 2.2 fWAR last year, remains in the minors.
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Seattle righthander Andrew Moore, a 23-year-old rookie, posted quality starts in his first three MLB starts but has surrendered five earned runs in each of his last two starts: https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/gl.fcgi?id=moorean02&t=p&year=2017 Today's matchup of the six-foot Moore and 6-foot-6 Red Sox ace Chris Sale reminds me of David and Goliath. I attended a Mariner game Sunday with a sportswriter who covered Andrew Moore three years ago when the pitcher was at Oregon State University. The sportswriter was unaware of Moore's rapid ascent to the majors (over the same period the sportswriter experienced a rapid ascent in sports journalism).
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The Seattle Mariners are the zombies that keep returning from the dead. Ultimately Seattle's postseason hopes are likely to die but to date no one has hammered the nail in the coffin.