harmony
-
Posts
6,331 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Boston Red Sox Videos
2026 Boston Red Sox Top Prospects Ranking
Boston Red Sox Free Agent & Trade Rumors, Notes, & Tidbits
Guides & Resources
2025 Boston Red Sox Draft Pick Tracker
News
2026 Boston Red Sox Draft Tracker: Picks & Bonuses
Forums
Blogs
Events
Store
Downloads
Gallery
Everything posted by harmony
-
The trade value of Eduardo Rodriguez is limited by his chronic knee problems that have resulted in a significant surgery this month. Matt Barnes is a mediocre 27-year-old reliever. Each comes with four years of team control. The White Sox, with only $15 million committed to 2018 salaries, are among many clubs that can afford Jose Abreu's projected 2018 salary of $17.9 million. With two years of team control, Abreu offers substantial surplus value after posting 4.1 fWAR, valued at $33.1 million, this year. In a trade of Abreu, I suspect the White Sox will receive far better offers than Rodriguez, Barnes and a prospect.
-
Xander Bogaerts may well have diminished trade value after a somewhat disappointing season but the 25-year-old shortstop certainly has trade value after posting a combined 12.5 fWAR the past three years.
-
J.D.Martinez may well be worth whatever 2018 salary he lands. The JDM sweepstakes may be decided by the team that gives Martinez the most years. Is this off-season of slim pickings, how many years are too many? Five years? Seven years?
-
Joe Cronin was the 28-year-old player/manager of the Red Sox in 1935. Butch Hobson was younger than Alex Cora’s current age when Hobson took the Red Sox helm in 1992.
-
Neither is a reasonable target for the Red Sox.
-
Here is the SoxProspects write-up on 19-year-old outfielder Cole Brannen, who this year posted a .231/.383/.246/.630 line in 168 plate appearances in the rookie-level Gulf Coast League: http://www.soxprospects.com/players/brannen-cole.htm Brannon was 1.4 years younger than the average player in that league.
-
6 Inning Starts + 6 Man Roration = Fewer Arm Problems
harmony replied to bosoxmal's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
I suspect more than one factor has contribured to the increase in pitcher injuries. -
6 Inning Starts + 6 Man Roration = Fewer Arm Problems
harmony replied to bosoxmal's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
Injuries may be an unintended consequence of the advent of the radar gun. -
Two years ago Boston Globe columnist Pete Abraham assessed the trade value of each Red Sox player: https://www.bostonglobe.com/sports/2015/10/09/red-sox-have-plenty-chips-for-trade-market/cnKAEYDanfm1eiZajyAv0N/story.html
-
6 Inning Starts + 6 Man Roration = Fewer Arm Problems
harmony replied to bosoxmal's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
It’s hard to calculate the number of career-ending injuries in the days of 300-inning seasons. Perhaps some pitchers blew out their arms after consecutive seasons of 300+ innings at the minor league level. The 300-inning pitcher at the MLB level could have been the product of survival of the fittest, not necessarily survival of the most gifted, -
The White Sox apparently weren’t interested enough in Blake Swihart to make an offer the Red Sox found sufficient.
-
I don’t doubt that a GM “bit” by making a viable offer that the Red Sox declined.
-
That’s true but I doubt the Marlins will trade Marcell Ozuna for Jackie Bradley’s one added year of team control. The Fish would be looking for longer-term assets. Perhaps the proposed trade works for neither team.
-
I suspect other teams had some interest in Blake Swihart and that the Red Sox were open to trading the switch-hitting catcher. The problem was (and perhaps still is) that other teams did not value Swihart as highly as the Red Sox did. Swihart was not the can’t-miss prospect some folks promoted.
-
To be clear: I do not advocate a trade of Xander Bogaerts. The Red Sox would be trading low on a player with diminished trade value.
-
In terms of trade value years of team control play a significant role. Xander Bogaerts’ team control has dropped nearly 20 percent since the FanGraphs midseason trade value rankings. We’re talking about two years of shortstop who this year dropped to eighth place in the fWAR rankings. Bogaerts has trade value but is an unspectacular shortstop in a field that includes the younger Corey Seager, Francisco Lindor and Carlos Correa, as well as a converted former shortstop in Manny Machado, who is only a few months older. Addison Russell, who is 15 months younger, has been even less spectacular.
-
I would note that Xander Bogaerts’ midseason trade value ranking had dropped from No. 20 the previous year. I suspect the slide continues.
-
The Diamondbacks certainly get the short end of that deal, giving up four years of a potentially better shortstop, plus their top two prospects ranked in the Top 100 overall, for two years of an unspectacular Xander Bogaerts. http://m.mlb.com/prospects/2017?list=ari
-
The Los Angeles Dodgers traded Willie Calhoun to the Texas Rangers in the Yu Darvish deadline deal.
-
I question whether Blake Swihart qualifies as a "good switch hitter." Swihart, who turns 26 in April, has posted a wRC+ of 93 in 390 MLB plate appearances and a sub-100 wRC+ in 485 plate appearances at the Triple A level. http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=13176&position=C Nevertheless I hope Swihart has a productive career.
-
The Red Sox traded for Eduardo Rodriguez in July 2014 after a knee injury had shelved the then 21-year-old lefthander for five weeks earlier in the season: https://nesn.com/2014/09/red-sox-prospect-eduardo-rodriguez-learned-a-lot-from-johan-santana/ The Red Sox have been fortunate to squeeze 5.0 fWAR from Rodriguez in 66 games over the past three seasons: http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=13164&position=P
-
MLB Trade Rumors offered a column and poll on improving the Red Sox hitting: https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2017/10/poll-improving-bostons-offense.html
-
FWIW, this season Eric Hosmer and Jose Abreu each posted 4.1 fWAR in 162 and 156 games, respectively, while J.D. Martinez posted 3.8 fWAR in 119 games. The 30-year-old Martinez has played in more than 123 games in a single season only once in his seven-year MLB career (158 games in 2015).
-
Jose Abreu is not a free agent. Abreu remains under team control for two more seasons with a projected 2018 arbitration salary of $17.9 million. Abreu, who turns 31 in January, would command more than $48 million as a free agent after posting 14.5 fWAR, valued at $113.4 million, over his first four MLB seasons.
-
I agree but I was responding to notin's suggestion that a slugger's contract could bring down the cost in trade.