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harmony

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Everything posted by harmony

  1. Or not. In September Rafael Devers has posted 0.6 fWAR in nine games while Kyle Seager has posted 0.4 fWAR in six games: https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=3b&stats=bat&lg=all&qual=0&type=8&season=2020&month=1000&season1=2020&ind=0&team=0&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=0&startdate=2020-09-01&enddate=2020-09-11
  2. Rafael Devers will not be expected to settle for a Seager contract (which has been much-maligned despite Seager posting 18.2 fWAR, valued at $145.7 million, so far under the seven-year, $100 million contract, including 4.2 fWAR, valued at $33.5 million, in 149 games since the start of the 2019 season).
  3. After this season Rafael Devers will have three years before free agency to prove that his 2019 season was not an outlier. FWIW this season the aging Kyle Seager had doubled Devers' fWAR in near-meaningless small samples of 43 and 42 games, respectively.
  4. The Red Sox signed Rafael Devers as a 16-year-old in the Dominican Republic while the Seattle Mariners drafted Kyle Seager as a 21-year-old out of the University of North Carolina. Devers and Seager took different development paths.
  5. Throwing out another Rafael Devers comp: Seattle third baseman Kyle Seager, who in December 2014 signed a seven-year, $100 million extension when he was three years shy of free agency. Devers, who this offseason will be three years shy of free agency, is three years younger than Seager was when the latter sgned his extension. When Seager signed his extension the third baseman had posted 13.8 fWAR, valued at $99.8 million, in 527 games. So far Devers has posted 8.3 fWAR, valued at $66.7 million, in 377 games.
  6. And if Kyle Seager retired today he likely would have a higher fWAR than the entire career of J.D. Martinez.
  7. The same can be said of valuation of any player. Jose Peraza could be worth more than Alex Verdugo going forward. Or not. Provided for J.D. Martinez and Kyle Seager were fWAR since the start of the 2019 season, fWAR for 2019 alone and career fWAR. Omitted were the fWAR for the near-meaningless small sample size of the 2020 season.
  8. Turning to veterans, who has more value: Boston's J.D. Martinez or Seattle's Kyle Seager? According to Baseball Trade Values, Martinez has a median trade value of a negative $8.6 million and Seager a median trade value of a negative $13.5 million: https://www.baseballtradevalues.com/ Martinez, who is two-and-a-half months older than Seager, is owed $19.375 million each in 2021 and 2022. He may opt out after this season. Seager is owed $18 million in 2021 with a buyout of up to $3 million of a 2022 option of $15 million to $20 million (depending on incentives). In 185 games* since the start of the 2019 season, Martinez has posted 2.7 fWAR, valued at $21.6 million. In 149 games since the start of the 2019 season, Seager has posted 4.2 fWAR, valued at $33.4 million. Martinez posted a higher fWAR in 2019 with 3.2, valued at $25.7 million, in 146 games while Seager posted 2.9 fWAR, valued at $23.5 million, in only 106 games. In 1,107 career games*, Martinez has posted 23.6 fWAR, valued at $187.8 million. In 1,304 career games, Seager has posted 32.0 fWAR, valued at $245.2 million. https://www.fangraphs.com/players/jd-martinez/6184/stats?position=OF https://www.fangraphs.com/players/kyle-seager/9785/stats?position=3B * not counting Thursday's 0-for-4, three-strikeout performance
  9. Aristides Aquino hit seven home runs in his first 10 MLB games spanning the 2018 and 2019 seasons: https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/gl.fcgi?id=aquinar01&t=b&year=2019
  10. Bingo. September 10-20 of last year: https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/gl.fcgi?id=lewisky01&t=b&year=2019 FWIW 6-foot-4, righthand-hitting Bobby Dalbec is two weeks older than 6-foot-4, righthand-hitting Kyle Lewis.
  11. Who was the last player to hit six home runs in his first 10 MLB games?
  12. Just two days after Pablo Sandoval laid the tag on Seattle's J.P. Crawford trying to stretch a bases-clearing double into a triple: MLB Gameday: Mariners 5, Giants 6 Final Score (09/08/2020) | MLB.com WWW.MLB.COM Follow MLB results with FREE box scores, pitch-by-pitch strikezone info, and Statcast data for Mariners vs. Giants at Oracle Park
  13. What evidence suggests the trade could be made without including Logan Allen? Negotiations typically include numerous permutations and the resulting trade represents the product of that give-and-take,
  14. It's hard to believe the 2021 Red Sox will have more talent than the 2019 club that won 84 games. The Red Sox continue to be a fascinating franchise to follow.
  15. One analysis of Mookie Betts' departure: https://www.nbcboston.com/news/sports/nbcsports/the-real-story-behind-mookie-betts-departure-from-the-red-sox/2168748/ On a tangentially related subject: https://sports.yahoo.com/mookie-betts-humbled-dodgers-support-044943620.html
  16. Shades of the four-game midseason Red Sox debut of another mid-20s righthand-hitting Dominican utility player cast off after two partial MLB seasons with an NL Central club: 2012 PC 18 PA, .625/.647/.750/1.397 2020 YM 15 PA, .533/.533/.933/1.467 Let's give it up for Pedro Ciriaco.
  17. In the 10 June drafts between 2006 and 2015 the Red Sox had 23 first-round draft picks, including supplemental picks. https://www.baseball-reference.com/draft/?team_ID=BOS&draft_round=1&draft_type=junreg&query_type=franch_round Of those 23 picks, Jackie Bradley Jr. has produced 16.4 bWAR, Andrew Benintendi 9.7 bWAR and Daniel Bard(!) 4.5 bWAR. The remaining 20 first-round draft picks have combined for a negative 0.7 bWAR. Over that period the Red Sox never drafted higher than seventh (Trey Ball in 2013 and Benintendi in 2015). The Red Sox did not fare much better in Rounds 2-4 but hit the jackpot with Mookie Betts in the fifth round of the 2011 draft. The point is that high draft picks provide no guarantee, although some franchises are more successful than others.
  18. https://www.stltoday.com/sports/baseball/professional/birdland/before-injury-exam-munoz-left-team-without-notice-and-flew/article_9508c484-1c3d-5d84-b653-e7e1b9c0c9d5.html https://www.vivaelbirdos.com/st-louis-cardinals-news-analysis-mlb/2020/3/9/21171873/yairo-munoz-has-peaced-the-heck-out-of-training-camp-a-hunt-and-peck
  19. Three-plus years at UConn have not cured immaturity.
  20. Including four quality starts! (the same number as the entire Red Sox staff)
  21. Taijuan Walker had consecutive seasons of 29, 25 and 28 starts before undergoing Tommy John surgery. The 28-year-old righthander has not missed a start in posting a 3.42 ERA in six outings this year. With a far better rotation last year the 84-win Red Sox got more than 25 starts from only Eduardo Rodriguez and the departed Rick Porcello.
  22. The Red Sox may have no shortage of openings in the starting rotation.
  23. What? No love for Dee Gordon? Or do you expect the Mariners to choose the $14 million option for 2021 instead of the $1 million buyout? I still like 28-year-old righthander Taijuan Walker, a pending free agent who I hope returns to Seattle.
  24. Top 10 in offense by what measure? The Red Sox are 14th in baseball in runs scored and 19th in wRC+: https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=bat&lg=all&qual=0&type=8&season=2020&month=0&season1=2020&ind=0&team=0,ts&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=0&startdate=2020-01-01&enddate=2020-12-31&sort=16,d https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=bat&lg=all&qual=0&type=8&season=2020&month=0&season1=2020&ind=0&team=0,ts&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=0&startdate=2020-01-01&enddate=2020-12-31&sort=5,d The Red Sox are seventh in the American League in runs scored and 10th in wRC+: https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=bat&lg=al&qual=0&type=8&season=2020&month=0&season1=2020&ind=0&team=0,ts&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=0&startdate=2020-01-01&enddate=2020-12-31&sort=5,d https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=bat&lg=al&qual=0&type=8&season=2020&month=0&season1=2020&ind=0&team=0,ts&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=0&startdate=2020-01-01&enddate=2020-12-31&sort=16,d
  25. Does this refer to Jackie Bradley Jr., who will walk as a free agent at the season's end? The Red Sox received assets in return for their deadline trades.
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