harmony
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Everything posted by harmony
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Will the Red Sox tender Eduardo Rodriguez a 2021 contract working off his 2020 salary of $8.3 million? Much will depend on the medical updates between now and non-tender deadline (which may still be December 2). .https://www.masslive.com/redsox/2020/09/eduardo-rodriguez-boston-red-sox-starter-may-not-have-full-workload-in-2021-you-lose-a-lot-when-youve-been-down-as-long-as-he-has.html https://d39ba378-ae47-4003-86d3-147e4fa6e51b.filesusr.com/ugd/b0a4c2_95883690627349e0a5203f61b93715b5.pdf Last offseason the Red Sox beat Rodriguez in arbitration when the three-arbitrator panel went with the team's $8.3 million salary over the lefthander's salary submission of $8.975 million. https://www.masslive.com/redsox/2020/02/boston-red-sox-defeat-eduardo-rodriguez-in-arbitration-lefty-will-earn-83-million-in-2020.html MLB Trade Rumors had projected Rodriguez with a 2020 salary of $9.5 million. https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2019/10/mlb-arbitration-salaries-2020.html
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Updated stats: With his solid start Thursday, this season Nathan Eovaldi has posted 0.6 fWAR in eight starts covering 42.1 innings. Yusei Kikuchi has posted 1.1 fWAR in seven starts covering 37 innings as the lefthander awaits his eighth start tonight. bWAR tells a different story this season, giving Eovaldi 0.9 bWAR and Kikuchi 0.0 bWAR. https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/e/eovalna01.shtml#all_pitching_value https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/k/kikucyu01.shtml#all_pitching_value
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One Nathan Eovaldi comp might be Seattle lefthander Yusei Kikuchi. Or not. Kikuchi signed a multiyear free agent contract less than one month after Eovaldi signed his multiyear free agent contract in the 2018-19 offseason. According to Cot's Baseball Contracts, Kikuchi signed for four years and $56 million with complicated options through 2025. Eovaldi's contract is for four years and $68 million. Kikuchi, who is 16 months younger than Eovaldi, has posted 1.4 fWAR in 39 starts and 198.2 innings since joining the Mariners. Entering Thursday's solid start, Eovaldi had posted 0.1 fWAR in 30 appearances, including 19 starts, in 105 innings. This season Kikuchi has posted 1.1 fWAR over 37 innings in seven starts while, entering Thursday's game, Eovaldi had posted 0.3 fWAR over 37.1 innings in seven starts. Each pitcher has generally disappointed since signing a free agent contract. https://www.fangraphs.com/players/yusei-kikuchi/20633/stats?position=P https://www.fangraphs.com/players/nathan-eovaldi/9132/stats?position=P
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I did not intend to call out the most revered poster on this forum. My apologies. Be well.
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On an Over the Monster podcast, Corey Kluber was mentioned as a potential Red Sox target: https://www.overthemonster.com/2020/9/15/21437623/boston-red-sox-podcast-bobby-dalbec-tanner-houck-free-agency
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As recently as mid-July Kimmi wrote that "ERod will be like our trade deadline acquisition to put us over the top." https://www.talksox.com/forum/threads/19719-A-Realistic-View-at-2020-Part-II/page55 https://www.talksox.com/forum/threads/19719-A-Realistic-View-at-2020-Part-II/page58
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That has been the familiar refrain of some Red Sox fans the last two seasons.
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Indeed. That 89-win Seattle team in 2018 had a remarkable Pythagorean record of 77-85: https://www.baseball-reference.com/teams/SEA/2018.shtml BTW this year 24-year-old Seattle lefthander Justus Sheffield has posted 1.3 fWAR in 44.1 innings while 31-year-old Yankee lefthander James Paxton has posted 0.3 fWAR in 20.1 innings.
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Seattle's current record of 22-26 (.458) is empirically better than the Red Sox record in 2020 (17-31, .354), 2014 (71-91, .438), 2012 (69-93, .457) and 1992 (73-89, .451). https://www.baseball-reference.com/teams/BOS/ The Mariners have only once posted a winning percentage lower than the Red Sox current .354 at 17-31. In their second season the Mariners posted a 56-104 (.350) record in 1978. https://www.baseball-reference.com/teams/SEA/ We can agree that the Red Sox have been the far more successful franchise since the inception of the Mariners in 1977.
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After being projected to finish a distant last in the AL West again, the Seattle Mariners are in third place, closer to the second-place Astros than to the fourth-place Angels. With baseball's youngest roster, the Mariners are 14-7 since August 20. Mariner fans still have moments to cheer: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QCR56BOvqWw
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A comparative progression: 2018: Boston 108-54 (.667); Seattle: 89-73 (.549) 2019: Boston 84-78 (.519); Seattle 68-94 (.420) 2020: Boston 17-31 (.354); Seattle 22-26 (.458) Coming off an 89-win season in 2018, the Seattle Mariners made the difficult decision to "step back" in light of the daunting forecasts for the Houston Astros and the Oakland Athletics. The Mariners jettisoned Edwin Diaz, James Paxton, Jean Segura, Robinson Cano and Mike Zunino, who had combined for 16.0 fWAR in 2018. The Red Sox must assess their chances of competing in 2021 against the likes of the Tampa Bay Rays, New York Yankees and Toronto Blue Jays.
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FWIW Trevor Bauer was given the most attention in the 2019 book The MVP Machine: How Baseball's New Nonconformists Are Using Data to Build Better Players by Ben Lindbergh and Travis Sawchik: https://www.powells.com/book/mvp-machine-how-baseballs-new-nonconformists-are-using-data-to-build-better-players-9781541698949
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Unless Trevor Bauer's stance has changed since February 2019: https://www.usatoday.com/story/sports/mlb/columnist/bob-nightengale/2019/02/14/trevor-bauer-Guardians-contracts-free-agent/2874691002/ Perhaps Bauer, who enters free agency for the first time this offseason, will want to sign with the Mariners because the righthander trains in the offseason at Driveline Baseball in Seattle: Or not.
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If Trevor Bauer signs the rumored one-year contract the righthander could be a valuable commodity at the trade deadline. In a three-way deal at the trade deadline in 2019, a year and two months of Trevor Bauer netted the Cleveland Guardians Yasiel Puig, Franmil Reyes, Logan Allen, Victor Nova and Scott Moss while costing the Cincinnati Reds Taylor Trammell, Puig and Moss. https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/b/bauertr01.shtml#all_transactions_other
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Perhaps the Red Sox should acquire low-cost, short-term assets in hopes that some will build up trade value to swap for prospects at the 2021 deadline. It's hard for a franchise like the Red Sox to step back for a(nother) year, but spending big money in hopes of fielding a competitive 2021 team might not be a wise investment.
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Count me among fans of Christian Arroyo. San Francisco drafted Arroyo (#25) in the same 2013 first round as current Seattle players J.P. Crawford (#16), Marco Gonzales (#19) and Phil Ervin (#27), none of whom was drafted by the Mariners. That year the Red Sox and Mariners made forgettable first-round picks in Trey Ball (#7) and D.J. Peterson (#12), respectively. https://www.baseball-reference.com/draft/?year_ID=2013&draft_round=1&draft_type=junreg&query_type=year_round The Yankees drafted Aaron Judge with the 32nd pick.
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Taijuan Walker and James Paxton will return to the up-and-coming Seattle Mariners. Or not.
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Indeed. Brusdar Graterol pitched only one inning, throwing just 12 pitches, 11 for strikes, surrendering a single to Michael Brantley while striking out George Springer, Alex Bregman and Carlos Correa (each on only three pitches): MLB Gameday: Astros 1, Dodgers 8 Final Score (09/13/2020) | MLB.com WWW.MLB.COM Follow MLB results with FREE box scores, pitch-by-pitch strikezone info, and Statcast data for Astros vs. Dodgers at Dodger Stadium
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FWIW the Los Angeles Dodgers, with baseball's best record, are sending righthander Brusdar Graterol to the mound tonight against the Houston Astros for first MLB start:
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The 1998 Seattle Mariners went 76-85 with a club that included Ken Griffey Jr., Alex Rodriguez, Edgar Martinez and Randy Johnson. Even lefties James Moyer and Jeff Fassero posted bWAR of 5.6 and 4.1, respectively: https://www.baseball-reference.com/teams/SEA/1998.shtml
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If only Chaim Bloom could negotiate as well as Talk Sox posters! With all due respect, Dodgers president of baseball operations Andrew Friedman probably would have taken us posters to the cleaners with Red Sox fans so motivated to move David Price's contract.
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The last maligned contract* of a Seattle third baseman was for Adrian Beltre, who in December 2004 signed a five-year, $64 million deal with the Mariners. Beltre posted 16.1 fWAR, valued at $88.3 million, in five years with Seattle, including only 2.2 fWAR, valued at $14.0 million, in his final season. Beltre left Seattle for a one-year, $9 million contract in Boston, where in 2010 he posted 6.4 fWAR, valued at $38.7 million. The future Hall of Famer played eight more seasons in Texas, where he posted 36.3 fWAR, valued at $276.2 million. Career trajectories are hard to project. https://www.fangraphs.com/players/adrian-beltre/639/stats?position=3B * on second thought the most maligned contract for a Seattle third baseman went in December 2009 to Chone Figgins, who in 308 games under his four-year, $36 million contract posted a negative 0.7 fWAR, valued at a negative $4.3 million
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Whose preferered narrative would be supported by the 2020 fWAR of a negative 0.6 by J.D. Martinez and 1.3 by Kyle Seager?
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Neither will maintain that pace but mvp78 noted that "Devers [] has bounced back considerably" in a minuscule sample.
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Or not. In September Rafael Devers has posted 0.6 fWAR in nine games while Kyle Seager has posted 0.4 fWAR in six games: https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=3b&stats=bat&lg=all&qual=0&type=8&season=2020&month=1000&season1=2020&ind=0&team=0&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=0&startdate=2020-09-01&enddate=2020-09-11