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Everything posted by notin
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They either guess or do something really boring like 3 year averages…
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You turned Bill Monbouquette into an Italian!!
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Or that Manny was that low..
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I’m ok with that assessment. But if you were ranking the best players in MLB, would Ortiz be only two places behind Yaz?
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Before 1969, the mound was higher…
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Does Rico Petrocelli and his 31.9 fWAR by age 28 factor into this?
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Ok but I was putting clutch hits into context. Ortiz certainly had his, but Yaz did, too. If Ortiz’ walk off hits are a big factor, so should be Yaz going 16 for 28 with 5 HRs in the last week of 1967 to push the Sox to the AL pennant. Ortiz was a great player, but Yaz was a better one…
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That is a tough call, admittedly. But that ALCS in 2013 was one where the Sox desperately needed to turn things around. They hit shut out in game one at home and scored 1 run in 16 innings, andwere just a few outs away from going 0-2 at Fenway. At least the 2004 team wasn’t dead offensively in the ALCS. But the game 4 one in 2004 was huge, especially followed by the walkoff single some 20 hours later…
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The WAPM never projected PAs. All I did was assume 600 PAs. Or 450PAs for RHH and 150 for LHH if there was a platoon…
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No. There’s math behind any projection system that helps the projector determine performance. But how often anyone plays? That’s just guessing. Just because it isn’t always accurate doesn’t make it guessing…
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Papi’s best walkoffs we’re in games 4 and 5 of the 2004 ALCS. But his biggest home run was in game 2 of the 2013 ALCS…
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Projecting PAs is just guesswork. I like how Steamer600 handles things. “Give a player 600 PAs and this is how he should do.”
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Part of this is also because we’re Sox fans. You probably haven’t thought about Ben Zobrist in years. Papi had some huge clutch hits as key walk offs, including TWO IN ONE DAY in the 2004 ALCS. But he wasn’t the 63rd best player in MLB even with that. But what he was was a Hall of Fame caliber player with a huge room-filling personality…
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It is important. There’s a big difference between getting 1.0 fWAR in 100 PAs and in 600 PAs…
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Totality the personality that separates him from the pack. Luis Gonzalez got the most clutch and most famous and most critical walk off hit in MLB history. Does he even get talked about anymore? Jim Thome is the all time MLB leader in walk off home runs. While he is in the HOF and deservedly so, did you even know he was the career leader?
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Based on how many PA? That’s a very important factor..
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I wouldn’t rank Ortiz anywhere near Yastrzemski on an All Time list. But both were certainly great players. I do think Ortiz does get helped a lot by his personality…
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Ok, first of all, in the WAPM system, it’s wWAR. But I understand the confusion. fWAR was the basis for the now defunct WAFL system.
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I believe the only One True Projection System is the WAPM. The rest are all posers. Especially PECOTA…
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But he wasn’t on the 1978 team, which the post was responding about…
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No. He’s all about the Book of Steamer…
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The 1978 team didn’t win anything, except 99 games, which was the most at the time for the Sox since 1946. The team also boasted 4 Hall of Famers (Rice, Yaz, Fisk, Eck’s) and a couple other very noteworthy candidates in Tiant and Evans…
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The Mariners have never even been to one, and I believe are the only team in MLB that hasn’t…
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And in another annual Rite of February, west coasters have started griping about East Coast bias…
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But how many of those minutes were spent facing each other?
