It’s not exactly accurate to link Eovaldi in with pitchers who “eventually break down.” He’s had TJ twice and pitched more than 125 IP exactly one time since 2016. He only pitched 109 IP last year. And he’s only 33. Durability has been a concern for him for over a decade now. The Sox signed him for 4 seasons, and he only pitched two of them injury-free, and that’s counting an abbreviated 2020 as a full season. Even the spend-happy Rangers only went two years on him.
As for Wacha, he was good last year when available, but he isn’t 2013-15 Wacha anymore and hasn’t been for a long time. He could easily be Kluber next year, and has the option (his choice) to extend that for 3 more years. We don’t like having Kluber for one season but Wacha has a good month and he’s preferable for four years?
And I do think the back end is important. The Sox dragged $31mill worth of David Price around for several years and, because he made $31mill, had less money for other potential improvements or retentions. I can’t for certain day not signing Price meant keeping Mookie. But it is possible that flop of a contract put some caution into the minds of ownership when negotiating with him.
And where was all that Sale praise from 2020-2022? He was pulling down some $87mill for 40 IP. While he’s bouncing back now, he did spend those years as nothing but an albatross that might have shaped this roster differently. Heck, imagine if Sale and Bogaerts simply switched contracts (you no, so X had a $29mill AAV and no opt out). Would that have a positive or negative effect on this roster today?