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Everything posted by notin
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While you think it was an obvious statement, it might not have even been true. I mean, he’s definitely clearing waivers. So there’s a good chance the Sox still keep him anyway…
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Not until he gets officially DFAd…
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My goal is to get rid of Joe Jacques. But if the Sox do push him on to the 40 man, it’s because he’s cheap. And as he’s already 26, he’s also probably close to being expendable…
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Agreed. I’d greatly prefer even Lauer over that crowd. But I’m just hoping they don’t do it half ass like they did last year and not even bother at the very least adding a reliever…
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I think that would be more important if they view Sogard as anything more of an emergency fill-in/organizational depth who probably never secures a bench spot in Bostson full time. If he is just some emergency fill-in, they might see what he can do while he is swinging well and hope it translates to a decent week or two with the parent club. And if they need to DFA him afterwards, he could easily sneak through waivers. Especially in April, when fewer 40 man roster spots open up around the league for a waiver claim.
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If the plan really is to wait until next year, it could easily go wrong. Even the players who have not yet extended still have 8 months to do so. If the Sox are not sold on Montgomery for some reason, I think the plan is to get another starter internally, which means more Houck and/or Whitlock and possibly Winckowski. At the very least, if that is the plan, hopefully they at a minimum backfill the vacated bullpen spot. Ryne Stanek is the best available RP still looking for work...
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He will probably wait until the losers of the Snell sweepstakes decide to get involved…
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Still hopeful on Montgomery. I mean, he’s gotta pitch somewhere…
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… who don’t think attributing pitcher credit for a team effort makes sense…
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Using bWAR, Tiant and McLain WS a close race. But that same method has Cy Young runner up Clemens clearly dominating over the winner Welch with values of 10.4 and 2.9. Clemens lead the league in multiple categories; Welch only lead in wins. Clemens was clearly the better pitcher. Welch just pitched on a better team. Bartolo Colon over Johan Santana in 2005 was another such award mishap…
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What do the 2024 Red Sox have to do with Cy Young voting logic from 1968 to 1990?
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I think too many fans think the MLB teams have this internal division between the Old School Baseballers and the Analytics team, you like how they portrayed it in the 2011 Moneyball, which, it turns out, fictionalized some of the internal workings of the A’s solely for the purpose of creating more Hollywood drama that is so important in making movies, particularly ones in the Drama genre. All those internal fights - fictionalized. It turns out Beane never fired head scout Grady Fuson in an argument over analytics. (Fuson embraced them but left Oakland voluntarily to pursue an opportunity with Texas.). Also, Beane also didn’t fight with Howe, especially over his contract either since 1) Howe did have an agent who would do that, and 2) that wasn’t even Howe’s option year. The Sox have more than Breslow pushing analytics. The team thought they were too heavy after the back-to-back last place finishes in 2014 and 2015. But after 2017, they interviewed Alex Cora, and he bluntly told them they weren’t doing anywhere near enough…
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He might not have embraced the green text just yet…
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Did they emphasize the importance of pitcher W-L record?
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Reyes has a huge edge. Although maybe Sogard can get some early session at bats while Grissom is out…
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It is good that some players are already clicking. It’s not like he said he was excited about their W-L record. The goals in ST are usually just 1) get loose and 2) don’t get hurt. For some of the MiLB guys, notably Sogard, they have the added goal of getting noticed…
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I’m actually worried Whitlock is pitching his way into the rotation…
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Has anyone mentioned Sogard as an early season replacement for Grissom? I get the major obstacle is that he’s not on the 40 man roster. But he could be, once they (finally) DFA Joe Jacques…
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Not to mention all of the early conclusions based on one season. The Sox have certainly had their analytical successes. Their issues aren’t the amount of analysts they have; they revolve around the fact that they’re just have no flat out direction. The goal appears to be “cheaper and more competitive,” But what are they doing along those lines to achieve that goal? Because this “waiting for divine inspiration” strategy they’ve been deploying all off-season just might not get the job done…
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Hopefully all of them. Who wants a loose cannon data analyst?
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Exactly what qualitative data would you provide?
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In 2022, the Dodgers had 29. The Rays had 37. The Sox had 18. How did those teams do? Also no one only had 3….
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Just because they’re doing analytics doesn’t mean they’re doing them as well as possible or using the information perfectly. The only reality is the days of succeeding without analytics are done. Analytics in MLB right now are like a pitching coach. I think we can are that every pitching coach isn’t going to be equally successful, but does that mean teams with a bad one should just go without? The Sox are also not helped by being in a very analytically-driven division, assuming the Yankees embrace them. (They do. Heavily.)
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So 3 people doing analytics? Why even waste time scouting at that point? This chart is two years out of date, but there seems to be a fairly strong correlation between the teams not taking analytics seriously and teams winning 70 or fewer games repeatedly…
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Mata gets injured every time we type his name…
