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notin

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Everything posted by notin

  1. notin
    The NFL has seen teams win 100% of their regular season games, and seen one team win 0%. The range can’t get any bigger. MLB just doesn’t compare. Most teams win 40-60% every year, and the few that fall outside that range rarely do so by much. And the ones that do fall outside by much (2024 White Sox, for example) are newsworthy…
  2. notin
    Exactly. Mayer and/or Anthony will very likely do the same thing at some point…
  3. notin
    The NFL routinely sees teams win 13 games. Thats 81% of the 16 game schedule and 76% of the 17 game schedule. Name one MLB team that has ever won 76% of their 162 game schedule. And many teams exceed the 13 wins threshhold in the NFL, even getting as high as 100%. The range in the NFL absolutely crushes the one in MLB.
  4. notin
    Right. The Phillies had a worse record (different team) and were much further back (different scenario). Changing managers is the antithesis of giving up. But I’ve been responding to posts saying the Sox should bring up Roman Anthony so he’s acclimated when the Sox are “ready to compete”. The mention of Girardi reminded me of the 2022 Phillies, who clearly didn’t give up despite being worse than this current Sox team…
  5. notin
    The problem is 2021 was a long time ago, and for Whitlock a TJ surgery ago. He might not be the same pitcher today he was then…
  6. notin
    Not sure what your point is. Even the many that have won over 97 games, very few have gone over by much. Even the rate 106 win team only wins 65% of the time. My point is that MLB has the tightest range in winning percentage of any sport, and over a long season the difference between the best and an average team isnt so that much. And, if you like, we can get into the difference between 81 wins and making the postseason. What’s that take nowadays? We’ve seen 84 wins get in (and go to the World Series). Your point? I have no idea…
  7. notin
    And it’s not like Mayer is guaranteed to do any better. And certainly won’t fix any pitching issues. I could see benching Story and replacing him with Mayer for multiple reasons, not only his recent slump but it’s also the only way the Sox could entice him into opting out (which is also not guaranteed). Campbell? Let him play through it…
  8. notin
    I’m just pointing out 22-23 is too early to give up. Girardi provided the segue way to the perfect recent example…
  9. notin
    And that was not his first outing. Whitlock has 4 blown saves in his last 5 outings. The first two came when he gave up runs in his second inning. The third was a ghost runner scoring, which I think is more understandable since it’s a dumb rule. And then his last bad outing. His durability for pitching 2 innings has been questioned before. Not every RP can do it multiple times…
  10. notin
    Many? Ladt year it was one team, and they won 98 games. The year before - 2 teams. 3 did in 2022. Of course none of them were over by much, and no one approached 70%. And MANY teams make the postseason without winning 60% of the time. Also, we have seen WS champions with as low as 83 wins. Is that so different than 81?
  11. notin
    Exactly. And that statement applies to many teams…
  12. notin
    So how do Anthony and Mayer fix this club? They could create some fan enthusiasm, which is certainly good. But do they put a product on the field more capable of winning? Because right now, there are a lot posts saying “This bullpen is AWFUL!! So we need a new outfielder!!”
  13. notin
    It’s 10%. Thats it. What other sport has a 10% difference in winning percentage between the best and the median?
  14. notin
    Actually Whitlock looks like a prime candidate for questionable usage. His first inning is typically effective, but his second is often much less so. So why does Cora keep giving him second innings?
  15. notin
    Thank you for that perfect segue way. In 2022, Girardi was the opening day manager for the Phillies. After 51 games, the Phillies were 22-29 and 12 1/2 games out, for which Girardi was fired. And as you all know, the Phillies went to the World Series that year. 22-23 is mediocre, but it’s early. Plenty of time here. I know someone will respond with “but this is different. This Sox team looks BAD!” Well, did the Phillies go 22-29 by looking good?
  16. notin
    And sometimes the bullpen is just full of bad or struggling pitchers. But sometimes the manager makes the bullpen less effective. Right?
  17. notin
    See, you’re trying to create problems where the solution is easier, even in the analogy. The Sox three biggest issues right now are bullpen, rotation thanks to the immense question mark Tanner Houck has become, and first base. Neither Anthony nor Mayer is a solution to these issues…
  18. notin
    And the difference between the two clearly isnt that much. Kind of the point there…
  19. notin
    Will he also protect late inning leads? Because that’s why the Sox keep losing lately. If your upstairs bedroom was on fire, would you run to the kitchen and blast the fire extinguisher everywhere, just because it was easier to get to? I get the Christmas Morning anticipation to see Anthony. But right now, that’s not where the fire is…
  20. notin
    And it’s been a source of contention between myself and that site for some time now…
  21. notin
    So he can win when given a team most managers could win with? Not exactly the loftiest praise. Casas injury aside, could no manager win with this team?
  22. notin
    When they’re ready to compete? When exactly is that? Despite the opinions here on the board, I can promise you the Sox haven’t run up the white flag. They’re looking bad now, but they’re also still winning almost 50% of the time in a game where winning 60% of the time is elite…
  23. notin
    Anthony just puts a new name in the OF. With Rafaela hitting, Jarren Duran is the weak link, but he’s also their best leadoff option. And it’s not like Anthony is a lock to top his .674 OPS this year. Mayer could more easily outproduce Story. So that makes more sense. But it does nothing about the bullpen issues and nothing to replace Houck in the rotation…
  24. notin
    I could understand Devers’ point more on this if it was just being done to replace a struggling Casas or something like that, or especially if they just sprung it on him for no reason at all. But a starting player got injured. This was hardly foreseeable. Obviously changes have to be made…
  25. notin
    Rafaela like the weak replaceable link and his contract looks better every day lately. Theres no need to rush to Anthony. We’ve reached the point where we don’t even know he’s an upgrade…
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