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Everything posted by notin
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When you have to tell everyone else they don't understand what you're writing, the problem probably isn't everyone else.
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Really? So you don't think the Sox got a baegain in Fister last year? Teams shop in the bargain aisle for multiple reasons. One is they lack the budget. But even high payroll teams look for depth and cheap players to offset the costs of the David Price's of the world. I think fans think free agency revolves solely around big name players. And he reality is, that is exactly where the bargains are not. Who was a better deal for the Sox last year? Bargain aisle Doug Fister? Or payroll-mega hog Pablo Sandoval?
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I'd prefer Swihart over Duda as well. Maybe Sam Travis, but I have reservations with him...
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They're worth mentioning in articles about those exact type of signings. If Cameron highlighted Morrow as a bargain last year, would he have been right or not? In fact, I would argue they are not all that rare. Every year, MLBTR runs articles about the best minor league deals. And every year they have multiple candidates. It looks like Cameron is basically saying players like Fister and Hunter are going to outperform their perceived value, and he offers support as to why. That you perceive them to be insignificant dumpster dives offers more to support his argument than to discredit it. I actually wouldn't mind Hunter coming to Boston. Not so sure about Fister. When it comes to potential bargain FA SP, I actually like Miles Mikolas more than Fister...
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Oooh. Drop ' em and measure!! If the Sox do sign Duda, it's Dombrowski's fault. Not anyone on this board. Most of the 1b options available after Santana and Hosmer are very bland and unappealing. At some point, a resurgent Alex Avila becomes a smarter depth option ( although his concussion history should dissuade a lot of teams. I still prefer Santana, but I am warming up to Martinez. If the Sox do put Martinez in the OF, then 1b might be handled by whomever the Sox can get in a deal for Bradley...
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Cameron points out Fister was a top 20 starter last year over the last two months of the season. If his slow start was related to getting back into MLB game shape, he could absolutely be a bargain. Just because a player is a "dumpster dive" on a minor league deal doesn't mean they can't be a bargain. Was Brandon Morrow a bargain for the Dodgers last year?
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It's not about upside. It's about anticipated performance relative to anticipated salary. If Hunter signs for $3-4 million and delivers as a third option behind a closer at about 1.0 fWAR, he becomes a bargain. That's what Cameron is pointing out. Projected performance relative to projected salary. If someone signs Hunter for $6mill per year, he's not really as much of a bargain...
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True, and I hope Dombrowski feels that way. He could unload every bad Sox contract (Ramirez, Sandoval, Castillo) for Cabrera and it still wouldn't be worth it...
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There may be a blind spot to idiocy when it comes to Cabrera. Most of us look at Cabrera's contract and think it's horrible. That 34yo Cabrera is owed $182mill over the next six years is crazy. But Dombrowski is the guy who wrote that contract and might not think its so crazy...
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I understand your posts. You think the entire NL is pitching around Duda and also think it would be a bad idea to get him out of a weak Mets lineup and move him into Boston where he won't be so easily pitched around, presumably letting him unleash that power. I think you overestimate his power but underestimate his discipline. I agree he isn't much, but the debate over who is better between him and Moreland isn't so easy to determine. I'm pretty sure you csn find months where Moreland struggled...
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I'm not so wild about Duda either. But the funny thing is, your attempts to discredit him as a player really kept making him sound better and better. Now out of Duda, Morrison, Alonso, and Bruce, all things considered, I could see choosing Duda, especially for one year in a platoon role. That the Mets didn't want him back then becomes irrelevant, since it's for an entirely different role...
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Kind of hoping for Jose Miguel Fernandez to get signed and enter the 2b competition....
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I think so, too. Plus one or two other names...
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He maintained the same walk rate in Tampa, where he rarely hit below fifth in a lineup that outhomed the Sox. I think you're making a lot of assumptions about his walk rate in New York. If anything, teams would be foolish to walk him so often given that he wasn't some elite slugging machine who was in scoring position the second he stepped up to the plate. He's a decent slugger and a moderate hitter with a good eye. He's what Kyle Schwarber is going to become. If the goal is to sign Duda in order to prevent Hanley's option from vesting, allowing the Sox to give an extra $22million to Manny Machado, I can see the merits
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That might all be a good reason to NOT like him. After all of the names and varying degrees of projected success throughout all the scenarios discussed on here, if he goes off-script, I'm not so sure I have faith. Like if he goes and trades Bradley and Groome for Miguel Cabrera, I will single-handedly start the online petition to get him fired....
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You say all that stuff like it's supposed to be negative. Really that seems like pro-Duda arguments...
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They probably are bargains. Fister was OK on a minor league deal last year. Hunter is a decent pitcher with a history of arm troubles. Both are likely to be worth more than their paychecks. Free agency isn't always about looking for All Stars.
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And some of the complaintsa about Dombrowski are simply not valid. One is he had no plan beyond Sandoval at 3B, which is far from true. Marco Hernandez was clearly Plan B, and probably just a stopgap for Devers, who was also very liekly on the radar. It looked to me like there was a clear plan if Sandoval failed...
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I'm not wild about either Duda or Moreland. But most important, if the Sox get either, they had better be secondary pieces behind another deal for a better player. Much better player. Really if the Sox get Duda/Moreland and no one else, that's status quo. And if they get Duda/Moreland and another big name, that likely means Bradley gets dealt.. So I'm ok passing...
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I agreed. And I'm no Dombrowski fan. Although its not as bad as when seabeachfred refers to John Henry as "prune face"...
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If he's on the Mariners, he's available. Jerry DiPoto would trade away his own grandmother..
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A couple of "under the radar" names that make sense to me are Miles Mikolas and Jose Miguel Fernandez. Mikolas is a former big leaguer returning from Japan, where he dominated for 3 years. Mikolas' best pitch is his deadly curveball, which reminds me of Alex Cobb or Adam Wainwright. Several years ago on BDC, I used to highlight some lesser known players for the Sox to target. Mikolas was one of those guys. Fernandez is a 29yo Cuban 2b recently released by the Dodgers. No one knows why he was let go beyond a 40-man roster spot. Fernandez is a great hitter, not much power. No idea about his glove...
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No because they'd be stupid to commit to him one way or the other at this point. ..
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Santana is actually only 16 months older than JD Martinez, not years...
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If Price is healthy, we have an upgrade in the rotation already. The role of closer is vastly overrated and no one "needs" an elite closer. In fact, the Sox could probably fill a few holes above and below by dealing Kimbrel. If two months of Chapman is worth Torres, McKinney, Warren and more, then one year of Kimbrel is a valuable trade commodity. The Sox have other experienced closers in the pen already, like Smith and Thornburg. They could deal Kimbrel and then sign Shaw to backfill the setup role....
