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notin

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Everything posted by notin

  1. notin
    Pitching is important to defense, but I also disagree with that split. But on the other hand, I don't really have a counter-proposal to say what I think it is. However, if you look at the differences between FIP and ERA, the numbers are usually similar enough that 80% becomes very tough to justify...
  2. notin
    Be fair here. He wasn't disparaging someone for disagreeing with advanced statistics. He was calling someone out for disparaging statistics without understanding them. There is a very, very big difference. I'm not sure why playing the game makes any difference. Plenty of people involved in MLB clearly use these advanced numbers, so high school and college play from us is really relatively insignificant. And certainly no one has said sabermetric stats are infallible. But they are certainly superior to eye test testimony in many cases, especially comparative ones. And really, the traditional "back of the baseball card" stats all have their own inherent flaws, too. Batting average is one of the most misleading stats in the game, but we all use it repeatedly, including me. And I do it while knowing the inherent flaws. But I use it for the same reasons everyone else does - its very recognizable and familiar...
  3. notin
    I didn't mean for you too retype the entire thing. A link or a mention of a thread would have worked for me But more important, it's really a hypothesis built on other hypothesis and extrapolated. I can't rip it since I don't have a counter-theory, but that also doesn't make it fact...
  4. notin
    Also true. This applies to most stats, including Bradley's hitting numbers...
  5. notin
    Carson Smith was placed on the DL with an injury to this right (throwing) shoulder. Poyner was recalled...
  6. notin
    That's really all how Jackie feels about it, I guess. He might view it as the manager having confidence in him to overcome his weakness against LHP. Or that he is a positive addition to the lineup regardless of how he hits. That's all pretty dependent on Jackie as a person (and to be fair, Cora knows him and I don't). But I don't think benching him does much for anyone's confidence. But hey, maybe that is the best way to handle Bradley...
  7. notin
    This whole "tanking" thing only irritates the MLBPA. While MLB can and has imposed fines for not spending revenue sharing, that is about as far as it goes. There will always be teams in rebuilding mode to get better down the road, and MLB isn't going to penalize that as it adds an extra layer of excitement to the season in late July...
  8. notin
    So he decided to preserve his confidence by benching him?
  9. notin
    Oh I am not completely a stats guy. If I were, I would not have added the addendum about performance within a season. I love Bradley as a CF, and I don't like him less just because Lewis Brinson posts better dWAR numbers. However, when making a statement like "Bradley is the best" or "top 3" or whatever - anything comparative - I don't think watching Bradley and Bradley alone is a good basis for any comparative judgement. My data is far, far too biased in his direction. And for comparisons, using data like dWAR or UZR or whatever stat you like that does look at all players equally is really the best way to go...
  10. notin
    Als bear in kind dWAR and stats like that aren't definitive statements about ability. As a standalone year, they tell you who is having the better season, and players do have good and bad defensive seasons. So while Bradley's dWAR may be closer to the middle of the pack than normal, it doesn't necessarily mean he is average among his peers. Just like Matt Carpenter's batting average this year doesn't mean he is the worst hitter in MLB. (But it does mean Carpenter is having the worst season to date.)
  11. notin
    This is exactly the point. You're disregarding an evaluation technique that DOES take into account every one of these players in every game they play, and eschewing it in favor of watching Jackie Bradley play everyday and the others sporadically, and probably mostly on television.
  12. notin
    WE certainly are seeing a lot of extremely skilled defensive players and athletes in CF in the AL. Buxton, Kiermeier, Hicks, Pillar, Zimmer, Trout and Leonys Martin for starters. I haven't seen Dee Gordon out there yet. And the NL has Cain, Pollock, Inciarte, Hamilton, and Brinson (who Fangraphs loves defensively, but I've never seen play). I named about a dozen extremely talented defensive center fielders, the existence of whom doesn't negate Jackie's ability to play the position. Not sure why it is so improbable...
  13. notin
    I missed that argument. Got a link or tell me what thread/page it's on? Because as a blanket statement, I would not agree. But I'm open to proof/theories about it...
  14. notin
    Why? How many of the players ranked ahead of him have you seen do worse over the course of 35 games?
  15. notin
    Not really arguing against hindsight, as the original supposition was Bradley would have struck out. Maybe he would have, but since he actually didn't bat, we don't know what he would have done. Bradley (31.0%) has hit the ball hard as often as Swihart (31.8%) this year
  16. notin
    I'm pretty sure his offense is dragging his WAR down. Defensively, he is the Sox best option in CF.
  17. notin
    So his improvement could have been attributed to getting healthier, right?
  18. notin
    None of which answers the question. What do you prefer in that t-bat? K or GIDP? Whether or not anyone wants a batter to strike out doesn't mean it is always the worst outcome. In fact, if there is one outcome that is potentially worse than a strikeout, isn't it a GIDP?
  19. notin
    Then why was his OPS only .717 the year before?
  20. notin
    Bradley has an OPS of .520. It would be a slap in the face if he had an OPS of .720, but right now he is showing the world he has some bugs to work out at the plate. He's been there before. Sending him to AAA allows the Sox to keep everyone...
  21. notin
    Mesoraco is also a major leaguer. That isn't nothing. Getting a 27yo AA player is nothing...
  22. notin
    In that at-bat, which wuld you prefer - K or GIDP? Swihart is rusty at this point. He made the team based on a terrific ST and he has been left alone since. Not sure what defense there is for him. He probably should have been traded in March when teams wanted him...
  23. notin
    They can trade him after they DFA him, too...
  24. notin
    After a 17-2 start, if the Sox went 76-67 the rest of the way, they would still win 93 games and make the post-season....
  25. notin
    If he hits, he is an asset. If he doesn't, he gets benched and his option doesn't kick in. Win-win...
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