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notin

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Everything posted by notin

  1. Unfortunately it isn't. Teams still have LOOGY specialists. But it should be a thing of the past. They are a stupid solution, especially coupled with the rampant league-wide deployment of the shift...
  2. I do agree that is a better usage. In the bullpen, I would prefer them in a long relief role that allowed them to pitch multiple innings in games where the starter was ineffective. In this capacity, they reduce the workload on the rest of the bullpen and prevent using 4 or 5 pitchers chasing a potentially unwinnable game, and therefore resulting in 1 or 2 additional losses from chasing that game. A lot of times, long relievers don't start with a clean inning, but I wouldn't let that impact the decision on their usage...
  3. This isn't about the better pticher as much as it is the situational wildness, right? Ryan also pitched 27 seasons and had 277 wild pitches. 10.3 per season. Niekro pitched for 24 seasons and had 226 wild pitches. 9.4 per season. Not sure on passed balls, but those are not solely attributable to the pitcher. Mark Baldwin was a turn of the century fastball pitcher who had 221 wild pitches pitches, which is an amazing achievement for someone who only pitched for 7 years...
  4. The wOBA for the American League is .316. Only Devers, Nunez, Bradley and the catchers are below that. If the Sox start Moreland and Holt over Bradley and Nunez, that leaves 2 hitters at or below league average. And Devers (.310) is barely below...
  5. I think the solution might be Nunez to the bench, Moreland to first, Hanley to DH, Martinez to LF, Benintendi to CF and Bradley to Pawtucket. Swihart will be unaffected. But they could also DFA Swihart. It doesn't look like they will miss him...
  6. I get why most are on fastballs, but I think for most catchers, the knuckler might be more a matter of reputation. We all watched Wakefield pitche for years in every role, including closer. Do you recall a stretch where passed balls or wild pitches were ever a problem? Who do you think averaged more wild pitches per seasons - Nolan Ryan or Phil Niekro?
  7. It's actually not a concern. They're not going to win more than 60% of their games this year, so winning 50% (or lower) for a large stretch is expected at some point. If they were 13-9 instead would you be worried? If a team plays at a 13-9 clip for an entire season, they would win about 98 games...
  8. While a lot of people feel that way, the Sox do have a good catching staff that can handle it. The overwhelming majority of wild pitches and passed balls we all see are on fastballs, but no one would ever say that about a fastball pitcher. The biggest issue with a knuckleballer is that if he doesn't have it, it is simple batting practice for any major league hitter. But then that can be said about any breaking ball as well...
  9. 1. I think Swihart was only in the lineup because Moreland and Bradley are lefties. Personally, I would take Moreland in a lefty-lefty match up right now over offensive non-factor Swihart batting from his weaker side. But I think Coara was taking into account that Manea had no-hit the Sox his last time out and was hoping for better results. 2. There are the occasional plays where I think "Bradley would have had that", but really, that is just conjecture. It might occasionally be correct, but there are a lot of factors. There was a sac fly in the Yankee series when Betts was in CF and his throw home was short and late and my first thought was "Bradley nails that guy at the plate." But in reality, probably not. He's more likely to sail his throw 20 feet up the third base line as he is to nail the runner. A better chance with Bradley? Defintely. But anything beyond that is conjecture...
  10. We also did before when Manny was here with Ortiz. For all his craziness, Manny did top the 1.000 OPS mark 5 times in Boston and in his first 7 full seasons, only once had an OPS under .982. (Interestingly enough, the Sox won a World Series that year.)
  11. There are 17 players hitting under .200 with enough at bats to qualify. Some names inlclude Matt Carpenter, Jason Kipnis, Joey Gallo, Chris Davis, Ian Desmond, Kole Calhoun, Dexter Fowler and Carlos Santana. All of them are staying in the majors...
  12. I think the most misused word in the English language has to be "can't". Devers has had 400 career plate appearances in MLB; what he can and can't do is still a mysery to most people, possibly even including the Sox staff. Now what he has done and hasn;t done might not be, but just because he hasn't done something doesn't mean he can't. I'm also not so sure I'd say he hasn't hit breaking pitches. I might go so far as to say he has struggled against sinkers and cut fastballs, but that is all. https://www.fangraphs.com/pitchfx.aspx?playerid=17350&position=3B
  13. Or simple demote Bradley and use his last option...
  14. No one can snag him up. He has an option left. Bradley's isn't getting DFA'd or released while he still has an option left. Pedroia might be back in a couple weeks. If he is and there are no other injuries, it is entirely possible Bradley is demoted to Pawtucket to clear space on the 25-man roster for Pedroia. Two problems resolved...
  15. I don't think he was disappointing the Pythagorean theorem for wins, which he developed. I think what he was getting at was that WAR for a player seems to be separated from the team play and focused on the individual. Sort of the opposite of win shares. For example, if the Yankees were 2 games below their projected wins (in real time), how could Judge be worth 8 wins?
  16. What stat is perfect? What method of player evaluation is perfect? James himself has had his own all-encompassing stats, like Win Shares, which eventually lead to the pre-cursors of WAR, VORP and WARP. If the only criticism of WAR is that it isn't perfect, tell me what metric is...
  17. As far away from the situation as we all are, I'm surprised any of us can see anything at all...
  18. It appears to be drifting that way. A lot was made of the declining salaries this past off-season for the available free agents. But the one position that actually made out quite well was relief pitcher. With starters going an average of about 5.1 IP/start, teams are more and more realizing bullpens are not just a roster spot you dump off the guy who couldn't cut it in the rotation. Bullpens are responsible for nearly 4IP every game on average. Probably why you never hear the expression "banished to the bullpen" anymore. Maybe in a couple of years, we will start seeing pitchers who couldn't cut it in the bullpen as being "banished to the rotation." OK, maybe not...
  19. I think you might have been thiinking about SLG, where he is second in MLB from 2014-2017, behind only Trout...
  20. I bet Kimbrel thinks he is capable of getting a 12 out save. Talent is certainly a big part of it, but you don't get as far as Kimbrel if you have easily shakable confidence. I know he has 0 6 out saves in his career. But how many pitchers have any number of 5 out saves? That Kimbrel has zero 5-out saves is probably more a statement about bullpen specialization and opportunities than it is about Kimbrel...
  21. That isn't true, but it isn't far off. From 2014-2017 (4 seasons), JD Martinez ranks seventh among all qualified hitters in MLB in OPS. His .936 OPS trails only Trout, Votto, Goldschmidt, Stanton, Harper and Big Papi. If you only look at 2015-2017, his OPS is a little higher (.943), but he still trails the same six names. (Apparently Papi was still considered a qualified hitter over that stretch.) Not second, but still impressive. Especially for a guy who was once released from a last place team while still making minimum wage...
  22. I believe this was his only appearance in a seventh game of a World Series.
  23. I thought this would be an easy one. No more guesses? I'll throw out a couple Tom Bolton Bill Lee
  24. Wheeler also missed 2 1/2 seasons with his injuries. He's pitched 120 innings since 2014, counting this season...
  25. Velasquez is the only pitcher with options remaining, making him a candidate. Hembree is making a case for himself, however...
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