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Everything posted by notin
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He probably could have. There is certainly something in all MLB contracts that gives the team the ability to speak about medical issues...
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Judge also had a better BABIP than Dunn ever had and by a lot. Judge's xBABIP was signiifcantly lower. So given normal luck, you can expect a 20-30 point drop in his BA next year. Which will lead to a corresponding drop in OBP and SLG...
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Also true. And frankly, I really don't want his opinion on anything medical...
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Inasnely slow. Sure Ohtani and Stanton are holding up some signings. But this is ridiculous...
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I agree people are making way too much about the surgery thing, like they are trying to find fault in Dombrowski. I don't expect a GM for any team to tip his hand about anything...
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+1 And saying Ohtani is overhyped because Daisuke wasn't as good as advertised is like saying Moncada is overhyped because Rusney Castillo didn't pan out...
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I expect the Sox get one of Santana or Martinez. I wouldn't be surprised if the Sox sign both....
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The Sox were never even linked to Verlander, and we could have competed with that mediocre offer from Houston. The bigger deal was the $56mill Verlander was owed in 2018-19....
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Maybe we should just clone Mike Trout a few times and fill the lineup with GMPs
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Then he moves on to Morrison, Bruce and Duda...
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Maybe a Rule 5 pick...
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It's even simpler than that. Most of them are represented by Boras, who NEVER moves quickly...
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We'll get excited once the off-season starts...
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A lot of times that's because they only get a handful of save opportunities before the manager tries so.eone else. If the team is dping well, no one wants to risk it while the new guy learns the job...
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Seventh or eighth, depending on how many on and who is up. A ot of factors van be involved. But really, it's the inning that makes you sweat as a fan. THAT is what he should be for. Saving him for the ninth is silly sometimes. 44% of all ninth innings are lead of by the 6-9 hitters. Are those really going to be tough innings? I think the only time Kimbrel should try to protect a 3 run lead against the botom of the order should be if he hasn't pitched in 4 days...
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No. I'd agree that's why they like it. This is the job, after all. Rolaids Relief Award (remember that?) used to track what they called "Tough Saves", which were saves when the closer came in with the tying run on base. Usually the league leader had like 4. I think the single season record was 8.
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It's also the entire crux of the argument about why closers are overrated (as a role). You pointed out the Sox were 22-19 in one run games. As I am getting hypothetical and no there is no real answer, what do you think their record would have been if Kimbrel pitched in the 7th or 8th innings if the game was on the line then? I'm talking about games where the set up guys and other relievers put the Sox behind by a run.
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I think the Sox sign Santana, possibly next week. I think they will still revisit signing JD Martinez in late January when Boras is still trying to wring that last drop of blood from any GM he can...
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Oh it won't happen. If healthy Chen would be a terrific closer. But his elbow issues coupled with a massive contract make him a crazy gamble. Plus he has an option year that relies on IP. He probably prefers to start. Colon is another gamble too. He's like 46 years old and any season now, his velocity will drop to batting practice levels. But a pitcher with his control, command, and the ability to get batters to miss would work quite well in the role. I only named those two because they are the right type of pitchers. But someone healthier and younger would be more ideal...
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And teams are trying to work against that as well. Last year the Nationals tried to avoid using Kodak Glover as the closer because they wanted to avoid paying him more in arbitration. No one liked this idea except all the hitters who teed off on Blake Treinen. The Phillies similarly kept their best reliever out of the closer role as well. But my issues are not about the economics of the closer. When lefty specialists are getting $6mill, Kimbrel's paycheck isn't a concern. But the turnkey style of bullpen management rampant throughout the league is. I'd rather see Kimbrel in the same role as Andrew Miller is in Cleveland - coming in when the game is truly on the line. Saving him for the ninth inning while you hope everything before that works out is a massive waste of his talents....
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I think the role of closer is overrated because it causes many managers to misuse their best reliever. I can't tell you how many times I've seen a game where a manager uses another reliever in a very tough situation, only to save his closer ( aka best reliever) to face lesser hitters in the ninth inning, and with no one on base. I even made posts a few times this year expressing anger with Farrell over these exact situations. There is no point in even having a closer as good as Kimbrel if he sits on the bench in the eighth inning while someone else faces the 4-5-6 hitters, just so Kimbrel can come in in the ninth and face the bottom of the order. But hey, he gets the all-important save. Assuming there was still a lead to protect. And certainly MLB people do agree with analytics, like it or not. Bill James certainly did, since he wrote a lot of them. Former GM Jim Bowden uses them in discussions on MLB Radio Network. Gabe Kapler was shocked at how prevalent they were durong his managerial interviews (for minor league jobs, no less).They are more widespread than you realize.
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By what measure are you ranking these closers? I know it isn't fWAR and it certainly isn't (and shouldn't be) saves...
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Anything to support this belief?
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So maybe it's time to sell high? Kimbrel tied his career best in fWAR last year. But fWAR emphasizes my belief that fans overvalue the role of closer, since the stat basically says Mariano Rivera had a very similar career to Gary Gaetti. I do think there are other options at closer, some on the team and some others. One available pitcher who would make a very good closer is Wei-Yin Chen. But there are elbow concerns there. Bartolo Colon probably would as well, but who really knows if he wants to. (He probably should at this point in his career. ) But I would be extremely surprised if the Sox dealt Kimbrel.
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I can't believe they tendered Holt at all...
