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Everything posted by notin
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How old is your clock? Very outdated analogy...
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The Sox might have the better record, but consider this about Houston. It is entirely possible both Seattle and Oakland make the postseason. If that happens, Houston will have played over 1/3 of their regular season games against playoff teams. Worse record or not, they will have built their season playing a tough schedule filled with good teams..,
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While not perfect, the metrics actually do account for those plays. UZR takes that into account...
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How’s that 86 win prediction looking?
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I would be surprised if he was non-tendered. But we’ve all been surprised by non-tenders at some point...
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The most amazing thing was the Sox did it without Sale...
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Not to mention, Swihart is on the disabled list. I’d rather have Bradley batting over Dan Butler...
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More than likely they sign him. But if DD makes a few off-season acquisitions he might be non-tendered. That’s not very likely considering how early in the off season contract tenders are offered...
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Unless there is a crunch for roster spots...
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The fact that he got hurt that way strongly indicates he may be too fragile and immature for MLB...
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He’s keeping the arm. But the rest of him got amputated...
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How many of these other teams had two top 20 prospects including a top five?
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Agreed. I like these moves. Pearce especially since he has made his mark against the Yankees...
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In that respect, isn’t this more about Henry than Dombrowski? Cherington was building a long term pipeline. In fact, trying to keep Cherington on was one of Dombrowsk’s better ideas, since Cherington was good at scouting and drafting, whereas Dombrowski has a sportier record there. But then, according to many, Dombrowski fired Cherington, which, all things considered, was not a smart move. So according to you, Henry mandated the change, Cherington was fired for making it possible, and Dombrowski gets all the credit. That about right?
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And Sox fans repeatedly console themselves over this deal because Moncada and Kopech are not superstars yet and are therefore busts. Hey unless Dombrowski pulls off a few miracle draft picks, this team could actually be pretty bad when 25% of the luxury tax money is going to Price and Betts and the Sox lineup features Sam Travis and Josh Ockimey and CJ Chatham. Because these are the guys who will help the Sox pay for Benintendi and Devers in arbitration. And it is very possible the Sox have no pitching then and no prospects to deal for it. If that is a last place team in 2020 or 2021, will you be content and say “well, we did really well and had a fun team in 2018” and be content? You know, like everyone did in 2014 and 2015?
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Porcello is the same pitcher he was in 2015? Or Kelly or Hembree? And certainly Roriguez’ career numbers in 2015 were premature. Really Dombrowski has run this team the way a fan would - chase a lot of big name players for short term success. This is what he did in Detroit,too. And look at them. Now in Detroit, he did see something he liked in JD Martinez and his gamble on him was extremely successful. If he can do something like that again, it can mitigate the financial aspect of having no farm...
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If your argument for Dombrowski's ability to evaluate pitching hinges on him reviewing one year of data, you're not winning me over. This guy is and has always been in a position to be an evaluator of talent. And he certainly knew Porcello before he got here...
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Thornburg and Smith are not really great supports for your argument. Pomeranz has definitely fallen out of favor despite a good last year. So it's Sale and a closer. Why do you keep saying Dombrowski had n pitching and had to rebuild the entire staff? He did inherit Porcello, Rodriguez, Wright, Johnson, Barnes, Kelly, Hembree and Workman. Or do you think Thornburg and Smith are more important than the bulk of the staff? Side note - which acquistion took more baseball accumen - emptying the farm for Chris Sale or trading a pending free agent for Rick Porcello? Chris Sale and his talent were hardly a secret to anyone with a pulse. But why is it when a GM acquires a player like Porcello and watches him turn into a high level pitcher, it is written off as "luck"?
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Outside of Sale, exactly who did he acquire with all the prospects that rebuilt this staff again?
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That's not how the math there works. Not really sure why you think the Sox would play .500 baseball over the past 68 games if Hanley was here (which is what it would take to still be 14 games over .500). The Sox had a .653 winning percentage with Hanley, which would translate to 73-39 record today if that pace held. Smaller lead, but still in first place...
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Agree. There was no way to tell.
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Albert Pujols, mentioned in the post you replied to, had a .672OPS at age 37. This is comparable to the OPS of the Sox players fans complain about like Bradley and Nunez. I would never assume a 37yo is going to even be good, let alone someone we want out there. Pedroia is only 34 and fans want him to voluntarily retire and forego the remainder of the his deal...
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You do realize this isn't always true, right?
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I suppose we will find differing definitions of "worker bees", but players like Trot Nixon and Kevin Youkilis certainly made affording Manny and Ortiz easier as well as adding the occasional ancillary piece, like Foulke...
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But given that is is probably not the same medical staff that entire time, maybe that should be an indication that sports medicine isn't as easy as we all think. The idea of diagnosing an injury (in many cases with limited medical equipment) and treating and then hoping that treatment not only works really fast but also lasts long term seems like a brutal assignment to me...
