notin
-
Posts
53,728 -
Joined
-
Last visited
-
Days Won
46
Content Type
Profiles
Boston Red Sox Videos
2026 Boston Red Sox Top Prospects Ranking
Boston Red Sox Free Agent & Trade Rumors, Notes, & Tidbits
Guides & Resources
2025 Boston Red Sox Draft Pick Tracker
News
2026 Boston Red Sox Draft Tracker: Picks & Bonuses
Forums
Blogs
Events
Store
Downloads
Gallery
Everything posted by notin
-
By that logic, the Sox should also stop drafting pitchers completely...
-
Or.... crazy thought! We could quit pretending that a high salary guaranteed a good reliever and maybe notice that Smith, Jeffress, Yates, and Givens were all better than Kimbrel last year. And Keone Kela - whom I forgot to mention but is also likely available- was only slightly less effective. But I guess some people expect only high priced players who will make more difficult to impossible to retain the core like Betts and insist John Henry owes it to them to spend more. Maybe the Sox should give Kimbrel his 6 year / $100 mill and let EVERYONE walk. That way, in 2024, we know who will handle the ninth inning. As for who handles the other eight innings or who hits to ever get a lead, well, who cares? After all, we’d have a closer. None of the guys I mentioned were untried as closers. But do you remember who the last “unproven” closers for Boston were? Some guys named Papelbon and Uehara. I think they worked out all right, even without all that “closing experience” and without being the highest paid in the game...
-
Milwaukee is a possibility with either Jeffress (one year remaining) or Knebel (rough year last year, demoted to minors, might or might not be available). San Fran’s Will Smith should be available, as he’s entering his walk year. Mychael Givens is a possibility. Kirby Yates is reportedly available...
-
Re-sign Bogaerts. Let the rest walk. Maybe keep one of Holt or Nunez at that price...
-
Ummmm...that implies we let either of them go...
-
Actually if the Japanese posting process with blind bids is any guideline, it would probably lead to insane overbidding...
-
I do find it hypocritical that closers are considered for the Hall more readily than DHs...
-
Anyone who has followed DD's career knows the closer actually is the one position he tends to take chances with. The guy has put together rosters where the closer role has included names like Braden Looper, Todd Jones, Fernando Rodney, Jose Valverde, Joaquin Benoit, and Joe Nathan (at age 39). But I do expect him to make a trade, because THAT is what he does. I expect either Michael Chavis or Bobby Dalbec (or both) to be traded, because both are among the Sox best prospects and the Sox need neither since the current MLB third baseman is younger than both of them...
-
Well, if the budget is allowed to go up from the current rumors, then anything can happen. But if we are as limited as some think, these 4 guys are not coming to Boston. Unless there is a subsequent salary-clearing deal like Porcello or Bogaerts. But honestly, I would just assume keep both Porcello and Bogaerts and try to get a closer another way...
-
Really? If I set the over/under for Kimbrel's next contract at 3 yrs/$25mill, where is your bet?
-
I doubt Kimbrel signs for less than Joe Kelly did, and anything above that appears to be out of the budget. But there are still plenty of good relievers available on the free agent market, and the Sox have a surplus or two to deal from. I think he can add two good relievers to this team...
-
Maybe it's time someone told you....
-
Porcello’s contract might be one of the most perfectly timed contracts in MLB. He probably won’t have better years than his ones in Boston under that contract. It kicked in as he was peaking, and will probably end close to when he starts declining...
-
The Sox might be "in on" Ottavino, but how far in? I haven't heard anything about an offer. I haven't much in the way of any offers for Ottavino, so I suspect once he gets a few, the Sox drop out. If they do go heavy on a reliever, they might have to shed payroll elsewhere. I doubt Henry adopts the "let's go for it one more time" attitude. That strikes me as more of a pipe dream from the fans than the logic employed by a billionaire businessman. I do think DD adds two more relievers (and possibly jettisons Thornburg). One more signing that will make no one's nipples explode with delight. And there will likely be a trade, since we have an issue with an overcrowded roster on the bench...
-
It he’s not signing a one year deal either. Unlike us fans, Dombrowski doesn’t have the luxury of looking solely at 2019 and has to consider all the future ramifications on his payroll. If he doesn’t do that, he isn’t doing his job...
-
The early indications are that he appears to be reigning it in somewhat. But Dombrowski was hired for his baseball acumen and while getting a good reliever or two on a budget is certainly more difficult, it’s something he should be able to do one way or another...
-
My bad. I’ve heard numerous roposals for salary floors and ceilings. I do think MLB owners would probably like this, but the MLBPA would not....
-
But draft picks in baseball are an even bigger crapshoot than other sports. Most picks after the first round turn out to be useless or marginal, and even first round picks, which typically carry the majority of future value in any draft, only have a 70% success rate for even making an MLB roster, let alone contributing. Not to mention, by the time they start contributing, they’re approaching free agency and pricing themselves out of the small market range. Your “home team discount” plan also does nothing but widen the talent gap between small and large markets. Those teams don’t lose players due to financial penalties...
-
What exactly is his ridiculous standard? He's only had a fWAR higher than 1.5 one time since he left the Braves. When he was on the Braves, he never had one below 2.3...
-
Because the successful and popular teams need someone to play against. All these teams are part of the same business...
-
Gee, typically you look at the fWAR of the players, but then Holt (1.4) would be better than Knebel (1.0). Was Knebel really the closer last year? He lost the job to Jeremy Jeffress and was demoted to the minors at one point (which may have lead to another year of control). He did lead the team with 16 saves, but Knebel only had 2 saves after July 27th. Could they get better for Holt? Maybe, but Holt had 367 PA's and a 109 OPS+ while playing 6 positions last year and is a former All Star. If one likes post-season stats, he has a .976 OPS in the last 3 post-seasons. He's not a bad player at all and certainly not just a utility player...
-
Brock Holt for Corey Knebel also fills a big need on each team by dealing from a surplus on the other. The big stumbling block might be Holt having one year of service time while Knebel has 3. But Milwaukee might be fine with one year while waiting for Keaton Hiura to take over 2b...
-
But those circumstances create a certain amount of parity...
-
That’s because baseball has parity that gets lost in volume. The best teams in baseball win about 60% of their games and the worst teams still win about 40%. Picture a season where every team in the NFL was in between 10-6 and 6-10. That’s where MLBis, but with 10x the number of games...
-
But what team will want one year of Moreland or one year of Nunez? I can see a few teams wanting one year of Holt, including Oakland, San Diego, Minnesota, Houston, the Yankees (not likely), Atlanta, and Cleveland. Not all these teams might be willing to part with a reliever for him, however. Nunez can be the starter at 2b. If both players are healthy, he’s probably the better option anyway. It’s easy to forget after his great season and postseason, but Holt isn’t that far removed from hitting .200 in only 140 at bats himself. He might be a good sell high option...
