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Everything posted by notin
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Are you referring to a different Dombrowski than the one I’m watching? Dave Dombrowski? It seems that most of the behaviors you attribute to him are simply flat out incorrect. Resetting is a fairly new concept around MLB, and he’s already done it once...
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The Arenado extension works heavily against the Sox for Mookie. Arenado has been worth 25.3 fWAR in the past 5 seasons. Betts has been worth 24.9 in the last 3....
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Is this slow off-season even coming from the owners? “Collusion” implies the owners worked it out together. Typically the charge is the owners work together to not sign each other’s free agents. That the Dodgers weren’t even in on Machado and the Nats dropped out on Harper very early does seem contradictory. I think a lot of owners or GMs or both realized the flaw in paying players heavily for the downside of their careers based on what they did on the rise and peak...
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The C-word gets thrown around every off-season when contract records aren’t shattered before Christmas. That teams weren’t throwing big money at Brad Brach while bigger names were still available is hardly proof. Brach needs to realize his best selling point was that he was the cheap alternative reliever. And he needs to understand that when your selling point is a lower cost, it’s not something anyone is willing to pay extra for...
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I do wonder if he actually tops Machado. Betts will have the disadvantage of being 2 years older when he hits free agency...
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What if, along with Bogaerts and Martinez, I threw in Porcello for free? Or do you want Door Number 2?
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Are we in the chat now?
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The Midwest gets some serious bitter cold. Not so much snow, but lots and lots of cold down to temperatures so low sometimes, you know it’s just God’s way of being sarcastic. I’d rather have snow than cold. At least you can shovel snow...
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That wasn’t an option...
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Or: Bogaerts at $220/9 and Martinez at $100/4 or Betts at $320/9?
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I’m the same chat, they place Mookie at 10/$350mill to 10/$392mill. Bogaerts at $24mill AAV or Betts at $39mill AAV?
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Minor league deal. He’ll be a free agent again next off-season...
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JD Martinez OR Tate Matheny? Boy that really is a conundrum...
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Not really fair. Until the 1980’ the NBA has a major exposure problem. Games were never televised nationally and even the playoffs were scheduled around when networks wanted to air them. Sometimes they played in the late afternoon on weekdays!
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If Pearce hits RHP better than Moreland, this is a recent development and probably a marginal difference. For his career, Pearce has a .743 OPS vs RHP, which is less than Moreland’s .780. Pearce did have a .828 OPS vs RHP last year, but only in 130 plate appearances. Moreland hit his career .780 vs RHP last season. I’d be hesitant to expect too much from Pearce. He’s a good bench bat/weak side platoon player, but the Sox are probably better off not expanding that role too much...
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Those are just the internal options. Jose Iglesias might not be a bad stopgap option a year from now...
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Maybe. Pearce himself has only been worth 1 fWAR three times in a 12 year MLB career. But all 3 have come in the last 5 seasons. But now that I think of it, Swihart might have been the right-handed platoon partner...
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Really how many entire urban areas are dedicated to one sport? Boston also has a really good basketball following. They have a solid football following right now, too, but I don’t think it’s representative of when the Patriots are not doing well (whenever that’s is)...
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Yeah I’ve railed about that one a few times. I’m not even sure how much of an upgrade Pearce is over Chavis and/or Travis...
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What I would like explained to me is: After acquiring Kimbrel, DD did some binge shopping for relievers with closing experience, acquiring Thornburg, Smith and Reed. But then after losing Kimbrel and Kelly from the bullpen - Colten Brewer? Will he even be in Boston in April?
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But those other regions are as large or larger, have further to the next competing market, have transplanted fans who move when they retire, etc. and everything the Sox have for a fan base. But they apparently also have some sort of regional or cultural stigma against mediocre baseball teams. Detroit even has just as long of a history as Boston with baseball and Michigan plus northern Indiana has about the same population as New England. Toronto has no other competing team in the entire country. Atlanta has about 20% more people in their metro area alone . So why are these markets so much smaller?
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I didn’t say they weren’t. I think this whole “too many teams are tanking” is overblown and not exactly anything new in MLB (or any sport). But they certainly might start out poorly. Remember when Detroit acquired Miguel Cabrera and the press penned them in for the AL Central title with over 1,000 runs scored? And then they came in last in the AL Central after an 0-9 start? It can happen and wouldn’t be unprecedented...
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That always confused me. Boston is about the same size as Detroit and is smaller than Toronto and Atlanta (metropolitan areas, not city), but somehow the Sox can support a much more expensive team than all three, and do so year in and year out.. And it’s not like those teams don’t have recent successes. But they do all apparently have fan bases with less patience....
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OK. But I might be correct in assuming he’s not the highest priority. He might have the advantage of being the easiest to keep...
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I was reading one article somewhere that did a study of fWAR accrued by everybteam in recent drafts. The conclusion was that the overwhelming majority came from first round picks. Certainly everything that comes after isn’t luck, but it does appear to be less and inconsistent. The Sox have 5 first round picks in your list. It’s a bit early to give pass/fail grades to Chavis and Groome (although Groome hasn’t given anyone a reason to get excited either), but certainly Benintendi and Kopech have worked out for Boston, even without Kopech ever making the MLB squad. If both Chavis and Groome do pan out, that’s actually a pretty good run of first rounders. Remember, about 30% of all first round picks never play Major League Baseball...
