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Everything posted by notin
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So we’re the Astros, Guardians, Yankees, and Dodgers. Per baseball-reference, the only team in MLB with a payroll over $202mill was the Red Sox. Let’s not pretend that the Orioles are the destined result for any team spending under $208mill...
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While the contracts of Panda and Pedroia certainly can be a hindrance, you’re still asking Dombrowski to put together a winning team with the other $208million, and DD should be able to do that if he is a good GM. Most of MLB manages to pull off putting together a team with much less..,
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It’s not a nothing offer. Hernandez’ stock rose with his AFL performance. Smith has one year left on his contract. If you compare Smith to Alex Colome performance-wise, he’s about the same pitcher (4.1 fWAR the in 3 seasons prior). In the past 18 months, Colome has been traded twice, once for Andrew Moore and Tommy Romero and once for Omar Navarez. The trade to Seattle was when he still had 2 years left...
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The same way Andrew Moore and Tommy Romero did? Smith has been worth 4.1 fWAR over the past 3 seasons, the exact same amount Alex Colome was worth in the three seasons prior to his trade to Seattle. The difference is Smith, unlike Colome, has only one year left on his current contract...
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Per rotoworld, the Giants plan on making reliever Will Smith available once the closer market thins out. Smith is a relief stud. If the Sox can score Smith (for Dalbec and Hernandez?) and sign, say, Kelvin Herrera, how would that make people feel about this bullpen?
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Give it a try and see if it says “42”...
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Most of the opinions on Kimbrel were from former scout and front office executive Keith Law, whose opinions on Kimbrel run completely opposite yours (and, so as not to single you out, probably a very large number of fans as well). You might think Tomase, who’s written some strange things in his day, might be of his rocker. I could agree with that plenty of times. But Keith Law typically knows what he is talking about...
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I have to defend Dombrowski here. His job does involve looking at 2020 NOW. Not in 2020. Now! It may not be popular with the fans, but that is the cold, hard reality of his job. And that won’t change just because fans don’t like it. As the saying goes “Don’t listen to the people in the stands, or else you’ll wind up sitting with them.”...
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Like my thoughts, this assumes Grandal works really cheap...
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That might be reality. But teams do things like that all the time. Just because the Sox are among the biggest spenders doesn’t make them immune to budgets. The Dodgers also made a deal this off-season to unload salary. They’re notorious big spenders as well...
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Here’s the thing. There are at least two other teams with no closer and a big wallet - the Cubs and the Angels. And then there’s always those teams with closers who just want more in the bullpen. If DD can spend, I would think he’d have his guy by now. Waiting out Martinez only worked last year because no one else got involved. But in this closer market, there are too many other teams making calls. Waiting this out is doing nothing. There are still thee chairs left and two closers to sit down in this game of reverse musical chairs. Which makes me think - DD doesn’t want those big name multiyear guys. One year deals? (Herrera and/or Allen?) Maybe. Trades? Also important- see who is this year’s Moustakas - you know, will there be a guy who turned down a QO and still can’t get better offers than 1year $6mill. I think DD is hoping it’s Yasmani Grandal...
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Have you asked her about the meaning of life?
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Health. They’re not all injury prone types to miss 3 months each. But they do have their share of accident prone types who might miss a few weeks. There’s also a chance of them being susceptible more so to right handed pitching with that righty heavy lineup, but I’m not overly convinced. Machado-Judge-Stanton isn’t going to be a breeze for RHP. But also - they don’t have Machado yet. Have they even made an offer?
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I disagree. Eovaldi had had enough issues in the past that would have made me hesitant about guaranteeing $68mill to a pitcher whose only thrown 235 IP in the last 3 years combined. I could see going after Keuchel over a closer if starter was the goal. But I think spending $17mill AAV on Eovaldi when for $20mill you can have Kelly and Miller seemed a little wishful. Pearce isa WS hero, so it did make bringing him back palatable. But if the budget was the issue, why not let Chavis handle the RHH 1b role?
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And, let’s be real here, the fans, too.,,
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IfAlexa says so, then clearly there is no plan...
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U I think Dombrowski - like most GMs - values trying for a sustainable run of excellence over two quick titles. The attention span of most (all) fans is pretty short, and no matter how many times they hear about one title this year being enough to make them happy, we all know it isn’t to be believed. The Sox could win the World Series in2019, but if the 2020 team sucks, no one will mention 2019. Remember on BDC some fans complaining “this team hasn’t won a playoff game since the 2004 World Series!!”. That was in the preseason of 2007!!
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I might have looked into the bullpen before signing Pearce and Eovaldi...
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Well so far, that’s where they are. Big time or not, it’s possible being one of the most expensive teams in history isn’t sitting well with some people. And they only have to trade one to take on an expensive closer. But the Chavis/Dalbec/Hernandez crowd should be significant starting point to get a cheap one...
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If nothing else, the rush to sign Pearce was puzzling. Beyond being a World Series hero, he’s really not some elite missing piece...
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I was hesitant to call them top, but I think both are good and likely options....
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At this point, that just leaves Kimbrel, right? Who else would be top? I expect him to add at least one and possibly/hopefully two relievers...
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He also built the most expensive team in baseball and apparently that part of it might not be so sustainable...
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But unfortunately the really is DD’s job to worry about tomorrow...
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. Yeah but who cares what we think anyway? What might be important is Dombrowski might be thinking the same way. And he’s not getting the idea from us...
