notin
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Everything posted by notin
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Clearly you are unfamiliar with the work of Dan Straily, Trevor Cahill and Adam Warren this year. And how does Warren go to San Diego and become one of the worst pitchers?
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If it expired one year earlier, DD might have extended him. It’s not like he’s an expendable valuable relief pitcher...
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The plan should be as easy as the directions on a shampoo bottle. 1. Deal Betts 2. Reset 3. Sign Betts...
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Actually.... https://2080baseball.com/reports/bobby-dalbec/
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I don’t think he will be. But I do think he should be. Heck I think the Sox should have already dealt him...
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So the Sox called up Chris Owings today, a clear sign Dombrowski means business. This move should finally pacify the bloodthirsty mob that has been clamoring for the Sox to acquire a 27yo utility player with a .415 OPS. Dombrowski does mean business. He is going to show that he can get the Sox to the postseason even if he has to use the absolute worst player in MLB this year to do it...
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Well I still think dealing Betts can be the right move, I just don’t think it will happen. I also think no way Bradley gets offered arbitration unless one of two things happens. 1) JD Martinez opts out. This isn’t so likely because his pay doesn’t drop until 2021 and he can opt out prior to them. And, his 2019 is not quite his 2018. But even if he does, there’s still a chance the Sox re-up Martinez over tendering Bradley. 2) The other chance for Bradley tone tendered would be if Dombrowski isn’t paying attention to the Sox and making every decision blindly. I mention this because it seems like what he’s been doing since last October anyway...
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And matching hat!!! Don’t undersell it!
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Calling it now. No reset. Resetting makes a 2020 title more difficult. And then Sale and Price are two years older in 2021. That doesn’t bode well. If the 2020 fails, then perhaps a major restructuring happens coinciding with Betts departure...
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Maybin would have been ok, but he’s hardly on anyone’s wishlist. Carpin brought him up at one point as a free agent. If the Sox are in the market for an outfielder, they might not even get a CF. They could move Betts or Benintendi to CF. If I’m looking at that list for potential bargains, somehow I seem to think Corey Dickerson. Not sure why, but probably because he was once non-tendered after a season in which he played in the All Star game, so I guess I think he’s disrespected. Kole Calhoun might be a good option as well...
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No. Not like Lester, who was offered obviously less as one of the top free agents available. Like it or not, I doubt many teams view Bradley as a bargain at $12mill. And it’s hardly “grasping at straws.” Players who get non-tendered re-sign with their former team every year. Last year, Mike Fiers, Matt Bush, Caleb Joseph, Adrian Sampson, and a few others all re-signed with the team that declined to tender them a contract. Legares sand Maybin are both free agents (assuming the Mets decline Legares option) and neither are going to command a lot of money. If offered a starting chance in Boston, there’s a good chance the Sox could get one or an equal. And there are others. And while I can’t the two names I mentioned as examples, I can guarantee that DD won’t non-tender Bradley and then leave the position unmanned. I think the Sox make every effort to keep Betts and there are a few contract casualties along the way, which is why it might be unwise...
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8/10 Angels @ SOX 4:00PM EST.
notin replied to SPLENDIDSPLINTER's topic in Mike Grace Memorial Game Thread Forum
Maybe Cora has given up too.., -
I don’t see it. The Sox have roughly $130mill committed to 7 players next year. Plus several arbitration cases besides Bradley that include Betts, Benintendi, Barnes, and ERod, none of whom are getting non-tendered and who could all add up to about $50-60mill. That puts the Sox at potentially $190mill for 11 players. Add in benefits and it’s $205mill with 29 salaries left to account for. Wright will be non-tendered. Possibly Hembree as well. And Bradley is possiblity, especially if JD Martinez doesn’t opt out this year (which would be unwise). I don’t think Betts goes anywhere, which might also be unwise. But it’s not like once Bradley is non-tendered, he’s necessarily gone. He might be brought back for less. And if he isn’t, the Sox are not going to lay with just two outfielders. Those pitchers who love his defense might find Juan Legares or Cameron Maybin equally lovable for a budget conscious team...
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If his previous raises are any guide, he will be in the $11-12mill range....
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This one does work out with today’s values: Dodgers get: Mookie Betts Pirates get: Catcher Will Smith, 2b Jeter Downs, Darwinzon Hernandez Red Sox get: Julio Urias, Felipe Vazquez
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The Mets or the Dodgers, whose window closes a little more with every ache and pain Kershaw feels. I think the Mets really lack the SP to give p, whereas the Dodgers might be willing to part with Urias, especially if they don’t win this year, and much more likely if they lose in the WS for the third year in a row. Also I think Syndergaard is FA after 2021, not 2020...
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FWIW, this is JBJ’s fourth arbitration year. His OPS has dropped every year. He has also gotten raises every year....
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Hopefully both. But I doubt anything happens anyway...
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You know, it has been done before...
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Safe bet plenty of teams have interest in a former MVP capable of putting them over the top. Pick any team that makes the postseason this year and doesn’t win (except the Yankees) and they’ll have interest in Betts. To me the only question is, will Dombrowski’s asking price reflect that it’s only for one year of Betts? Or will he want a package that normally gets you 3 or 4 years of a 27yo former MVP?
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I doubt it’s lower. JBJ isn’t the first player to go into an arbitration year after having a worse season. The bottom line for the Sox is, if he doesn’t accept their offer, they have to offer arbitration to even see if it will be lower. Given the history, can they risk it?
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I’ve played around with http://www.baseballtradevalues.com. The main issue is Betts trade value on that site is likely to drop at season’s end. Of course, the value of many of the other players will drop as well. But let’s pretend all drop equally and these deals make sense. Which do you prefer? 1. To San Diego for Hunter Renfroe and AA RHP Luis Patino? 2. To LAD for Julio Urias, Will Smith and Andrew Toles? 3. To Atlanta for AA CF Drew Water and AA RHSP Kyle Wright? 4. To CWS for Reynaldo Lopez and AA 2b Nick Madrigal? I like 1 and 4...
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Agree 100%. Although one of the best fan-proposed non-rumors I would think about pulling the trigger on is Hunter Renfroe and Luis Patino from the Padres...
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Interesting question. Hopefully Duquette wasn’t so blind as to think they had a shot before the season. Possible he held out because either a) he was hoping to work out an e tension mid season or there were literally no other players in Baltimore worth buying tickets to watch or c) both?
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I could see Atlanta trying to deal Waters and Wright as opposed to the two mentioned in the article. I doubt they deal Pache for Betts straight up. But in a very competitive NL East they might view Betts as a missing piece for a title. And they aren’t likely to miss Waters if they have several more years of Pache-Acuna...
