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Everything posted by notin
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Wait. So are you saying it would be a good thing if MLB stacked the deck for the richer teams? Like they did all through the 1990’s and 2000’s? The deck isn’t stacked against the Sox and Yankees just because they are forced to play under the same rules as everyone else...
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Then why was Golden State (from OAKLAND) playing Cleveland in the finals every year? The NBA should want an annual Lakers/Knicks final. And they’ve never had one...
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I watched that series. MLB, and really no sport, should just cater to certain fans. Leave that kind of bias to the NCAA...
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While neither of us is probably right, your perception that players in small market cities (which are still CITIES) are just blue collar lunchpail-carrying Regular Joe’s who can just mix in with the masses while large market players are limo-driven rock stars living in ivory towers seems a little narrow-minded, too.
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But how many high leverage at bats did it take him to get clutch hits? It’s all about the total opportunities, too. Otherwise, you’re just confirming what I said about confirmation bias...
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Well, yes and no. The fan perception of clutch is usually just a confirmation bias. The definition of clutch that has been dispelled is that certain players get better in key situations. The stats actually tell you they perform the same. But that confirmation bias typically has fans only remembering the successes and forgetting the failures. This in turn allows for redefining the clutch player to any success in key situations, and not improved rate of success. Fans also like to select samples for definition of key, and a big one is al postseason numbers. While we all get why, there are two major flaws. 1. Post season numbers typically involve a bunch of small samples over a number of years. A bunch of small samples don’t always equal one large sample. And 2. Not every postseason AB or IP is in a high leverage situation. Using postseason numbers does make it easy to look stuff up, but it doesn’t make it accurate...
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If they show up anywhere, it’s in the stats. Hitting streaks, recent samples, high leverage. The real illusion is fans saying they see these things. Everyone remembers the big hits, but most forget the outs in the same situation...
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On board. Price has never pitched like Price since coming to Boston. Eovaldi is pretty good when healthy, but he’s never healthy....
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Kind of like game 7 of the 1986 World Series. I wanted the Red Sox to win, but deep down I knew they were done...
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If by defense, you mean Betts and Bradley, who really knows? The entire sports media world thinks the Sox are trading Betts, so that is a point against it happening. And one early report says the Sox plan on tendering Bradley. Of course, that same report says the plan is to tender him a contract and then trade him. Although who the source is for that story is beyond me, as the team has no GM...
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He never pitched before?
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Absolutely true. But unless we are talking about knuckleball pitchers running the bases, right?
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Even if that were true all the time, those numbers typically represent history, and said history was achieved by humans, complete with faults and foibles. I would say that the stats alone account for the human element, and probably do so to a greater degree than any of us are capable...
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Gerrit Cole's teammates all think he is headed to the Angels or Dodgers. He's a So Cal native and a UCLA alum and the Angels desperately need pitchers with two working elbows...
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Honestly, I don't think I would have minded losing to the Cards all that much. Not nearly as much as I minded losing to the Mets. I mean, a team wins the World Series every year. But a comeback from 3 games to 0 in a best of 7 is a once in a lifetime event. And to do it to the Yankees made and end it in NY (remember when the camera kept cutting to their fans?) made it soooo much better. And that series made me a huge Joe Buck fan with his call to end game 5. Of course, winning against St. Louis was nice, too...
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Ever seen his post-season resume? 1999 Cleveland Guardians. Up 2 games to none over Boston in a best of 5. Lost 2002 San Francisco Giants. Up 3-2 in the World Series with a 5-0 in the 7th inning of game 6. Lost. 2003 Chicago Cubs. Bartman series. Cubs up 3 games to 2 with a 3-0 lead in the 8th inning of game 6. Gave up 8 runs and lost the game and the series. 2004. New York Yankees. Yup, Lofton was a Yankee that year. 2007. Cleveland Guardians. Up 3 games to 1 before JD, Beckett and the Curse of Kenny set in. Lost.
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Pedro also threw significantly harder. So correlation = causation? He was 31 years old and having a career year, but he was as inconsistent as most knuckleballers. The previous season, his ERA was over 5.00. And he was an idiot for diving back into that base...
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Farrell didn't microfracture Wright's knee. That was the injury that really did him in. And at some point, Wright did commit the actual dive back into the base. Pitchers pinch run all the time without doing stupid maneuvers like that. So while (and I said this at the time) Drew Pomeranz would have been a better choice since he had pinch run earlier that year for San Diego, Wright did injure himself...
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This is about as surprising as the sun rising in the east...
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And we lost all that without playoff mega-jinx Kenny Lofton on our roster...
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I'm not so sure how this works. The Rays paid $5mill to Seattle at the time of the original non-Yankee deal Whether that money went to the buyout of Encarnacion is immaterial; it's already changed hands, right? After all, if Encarnacion's option was exercised and the Yankees kept him, the Rays would not get the money back, right? My understanding is, when cash is included in a deal, we as fans say Team A is paying th salary of the player. But in reality, the money is fungible and the cash is simply transferred. For example, if Encarnacion decided to retire mid-season for whateer reason, it's not like anyone gets a pro-rated amount of cash back...
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The Yankees are an unlikely landing spot for Martinez, as they would have to pay the parting gift of $5mill to Encarnacion first. So if they pay a $17mill AAV to Martinez, it costs them $22mill total. The Red Sox would be able to top that offer and still save AAV money...
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The Yankees also have to make a decision on Edwin Encarnacion. His $20mill salary for 2020 might look a little daunting, but he is on the books for $5mill if he isn't retained. So is he a worthwhile investment at $15mill? That's basically Andrew McCutchen/Mickey Brantley type money there...
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Shaughnessy i certainly closer to being an insider than I am, but that doesn't make him one. I doubt the Sox themselves know how all their future decisions will be made until they actually hire/promote a GM...
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Nervous? If not for my vested interest in watching an 86 year drought end, it was actually probably the most lopsided World Series in history. Not only did the Sox never trail at any point in the World Series, there was only one inning that ended with the two teams tied, and that was the 6th inning of game 1 before the Sox took a lead they would truly never relinquish the following inning. The Sox jumped out to a lead in the first inning of all four games. I was nervous with anticipation, but that was a series I never really felt was in doubt...
